East Carolina Pirates (72) vs. Southern Methodist Mustangs (21) Preview & Prediction (11/09/2019)

Raymond Report NCAAF preview on today’s game between the East Carolina Pirates vs. Southern Methodist Mustangs for Saturday, November 9th, 2019.

East Carolina Pirates vs. Southern Methodist Mustangs Game Notes

The East Carolina Pirates are coming off a 46-43 lost to the Cincinnati Bearcats . Plus, the East Carolina Pirates are currently 1-6 SU on the season and are coming off 3 overs. Also the Southern Methodist Mustangs are currently 8-1 SU on the season, lost their last game to the Memphis Tigers.

East Carolina Pirates 21   ( 980 ) Vs. Southern Methodist Mustangs Southern Methodist Mustangs -21  ( -1800 ) Vs. East Carolina Pirates
East Carolina Pirates (72) vs. Southern Methodist Mustangs (21) Preview & Prediction (11/09/2019)

East Carolina Pirates
O/U :72

Vs.
Date: 2019-11-09
Time: 15:30:00

Generated from
Previous Games
East Carolina Pirates (72) vs. Southern Methodist Mustangs (21) Preview & Prediction (11/09/2019)

Southern Methodist Mustangs
SIDE :21

23.36 Forecast
(O/U 64.45 )
41.09
38% C.O.C 50%
15% C.O.G.O 15%
15.08 MSV -13.65
(C) BEARISH MVI (A) NEUTRAL
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL, CFB and NFL)
C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.
C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.
MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-3) in their last 3 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
East Carolina Pirates Southern Methodist Mustangs
Season Record : 1-6 Season Record : 8-1
Away Record : 1-3 Away Record : 4-1
Home Record : 0-3 Home Record : 4-0
Line : 21 Line : -21
O/U : 72 O/U : 72
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Lost 46 – 43 vs Cincinnati Bearcats Last game: Lost 48 – 54 vs Memphis Tigers
SU: 27-56 ATS: 29-54-1 O/U: 42-36-6
SU: 33-38 ATS: 33-39-0 O/U: 36-29-7
Current game: vs. Southern Methodist Mustangs Current game: vs. East Carolina Pirates
SU: 2-1 ATS: 2-1-0 O/U: 1-2-0
SU: 1-2 ATS: 1-2-0 O/U: 1-2-0
Next Game: Vs. Next Game: Vs.
SU: 0-0 ATS: 0-0-0 O/U: 0-0-0
SU: 0-0 ATS: 0-0-0 O/U: 0-0-0
Days Rest : 6 (RD) Days Rest : 6 (HF)
(L) SU:  (22.6 %) ATS:  (49%) O/U: (41.1%)
(L) SU: (77.7%) ATS: (48%) O/U: (42.2%)
(T) SU: (12-41) ATS: (26-27-0) O/U: (23-22-8)
(T) SU: (22-8) ATS: (11-19-1) O/U: (16-9-6)
Streaks : 3 SU Lost – 1 ATS Lost – 2 Over Streaks : 8 SU Win – 1 ATS Lost – 1 Push
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 88.89% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: %
Home Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Home Favorite: 4 Win -0 Lost   (PF)46 – (PA)25.5
Home Underdog: 0 Win -3 Lost   (PF)26.67 – (PA)39.33 Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Road Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Road Favorite: 2 Win -0 Lost   (PF)41 – (PA)26
Road Underdog: 1 Win -3 Lost   (PF)17 – (PA)34.5 Road Underdog: 2 Win -1 Lost   (PF)42 – (PA)40.67
Last 3 game: 0 Win 3 Lost    (PF)30.33 – (PA)44 Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (PF)42.33 – (PA)35.33
Last 5 game: 1 Win 4 Lost    (PF)26.4 – (PA)36 Last 5 game: 4 Win 1 Lost    (PF)43.6 – (PA)32.8
Last 7 game: 1 Win 6 Lost   (PF)21.14 – (PA)36.57 Last 7 game: 6 Win 1 Lost   (PF)43.71 – (PA)31.29
Last 10 game: 1 Win 6 Lost   (PF)21.14 – (PA)36.57 Last 10 game: 8 Win 1 Lost   (PF)43.56 – (PA)30.67
Last 15 game: 1 Win 6 Lost   (PF)21.14 – (PA)36.57 Last 15 game: 8 Win 1 Lost   (PF)43.56 – (PA)30.67
Situations (East Carolina Pirates) Situations (Southern Methodist Mustangs)
Coming off a home underdog lost (Cincinnati) Coming off a road underdog lost (Memphis)
Coming off a 4 game losing streak Coming off 1 over
Coming off 3 overs Coming off a game scored 40 points or more against
Coming off a game scored 40 points or more against Coming off 2 game road stand
Coming off 2 game home stand Coming off 2 ATS lost
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
When ANY NCAAF Team played as Road team as a Underdog – During Week 8 to 12 – Last 2 years – Vs Division Opponent – Coming off a Loss over American Athletic opponent – Scored 40 points or more AGAINST in their last game 10-2-0 4-8 5-7-0
Query ATS SU O/U
When SMU team played as a -10.0 or more Favorite – Playing on Saturday – Coming off a Road loss as a Underdog 5-6-0 9-2 5-6-0
When SMU team played as a -10.0 or more Home Favorite – Playing on Saturday – Coming off a Road loss 6-6-1 11-2 5-8-0
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a -10.0 or more Home Favorite – With 6 days off – During Week 8 to 12 – During the month of November – Coming off a 2 game Road stand – Coming off a Road loss 30-35-1 59-7 27-36-2
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a -10.0 or more Home Favorite – Vs Division Opponent – Playing on Saturday – During the month of November – Coming off 1 game loss – Coming off a Road loss as a Underdog – Coming off a Loss over American Athletic opponent 6-7-0 11-2 5-8-0
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a -10.0 or more Favorite – With 6 days off – During the month of November – During Week 8 to 12 – Coming off 1 game loss – Coming off a 2 game Road stand 18-17-1 33-3 13-21-1
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a -10.0 or more Home Favorite – Last 3 years – Playing on Saturday – During Week 8 to 12 – Coming off a 2 game Road stand – Coming off a Road loss 13-17-0 25-5 14-16-0
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a Home team – Last 4 years – Playing on Saturday – During the month of November – Coming off a 2 game Road stand – vs. opponent with a 11% to 20% winning % 15-5-0 16-3 9-9-2
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a -10.0 or more Home Favorite – Last 3 years – With 6 days off – Coming off a 2 game Road stand – Coming off a 4-7 point loss 8-4-0 12-0 6-6-0
When ANY NCAAF Team played as Home team as a Favorite – After a conference game – During Week 8 to 12 – Playing on Saturday – Scored 40 points or more AGAINST in their last game – vs. opponent with a 11% to 20% winning % 8-4-0 10-2 4-6-1
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a -10.0 or more Home Favorite – With 6 days off – During Week 8 to 12 – Coming off a 2 ATS lost – Coming off a 2 game Road stand 25-19-1 40-5 20-23-1
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a -10.0 or more Home Favorite – With 6 days off – During the month of November – During Week 8 to 12 – Coming off a 2 game Road stand – Coming off a Road loss 30-35-1 59-7 27-36-2
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a -10.0 or more Favorite – Last 2 years – Playing on Saturday – Coming off 1 game loss – vs. opponent with a 11% to 20% winning % 11-10-0 20-1 8-13-0
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a -10.0 or more Favorite – Last 5 years – During Week 8 to 12 – During the month of November – Coming off 1 game loss – Coming off a Road loss – Coming off 1 over 3-8-0 11-0 6-5-0
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a -10.0 or more Favorite – Playing on Saturday – During Week 8 to 12 – Coming off 1 over – Coming off a 2 ATS lost 37-29-2 62-6 33-34-0
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a -10.0 or more Home Favorite – During Week 8 to 12 – With 6 days off – Coming off a 2 game Road stand – Coming off a 2 ATS lost 25-19-1 40-5 20-23-1
When ANY NCAAF Team played as Home team as a Favorite – Last 2 years – During Week 8 to 12 – Coming off a 2 game Road stand – Coming off 1 over 14-7-0 17-4 11-10-0
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a -10.0 or more Favorite – After a conference game – With 6 days off – Coming off a Road loss as a Underdog – Coming off a 2 game Road stand 8-19-1 25-3 14-10-1
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a -10.0 or more Favorite – During Week 8 to 12 – During the month of November – Coming off a Loss over American Athletic opponent – Coming off 1 game loss 12-12-0 21-3 11-13-0
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a -10.0 or more Favorite – Last 2 years – During Week 8 to 12 – Coming off a Road loss as a Underdog – Coming off a 2 ATS lost 7-6-0 10-2 7-5-1
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a Home team – Last 2 years – During Week 8 to 12 – vs. opponent with a 11% to 20% winning % – Coming off a 2 game Road stand 16-8-0 21-3 17-7-0

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