Georgia Bulldogs (55.5) vs. Louisiana State Tigers (7) Preview (12/07/2019)

The Georgia Bulldogs and LSU Tigers will take the field Saturday for the SEC Championship at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia. The Bulldogs will look to end the regular season 12-1 following a 52-7 win against Georgia Tech last week. LSU will look to remain undefeated and finish the season 13-0 after beating Texas A&M 50-7 their last time on the field.

 

The Georgia Bulldogs are now 11-1 following a 52-7 win against the Yellow Jackets at Georgia Tech last weekend. Jake Fromm was able to connect on 14 of 29 passes for 254 yards and four touchdowns.

 

D’Andre Swift was able to run the ball for 73 yards on 10 carries before leaving the game with an injury while Tyler Simmons hauled in 52 yards and a score on three receptions.

 

The Bulldogs have been able to find the endzone for an average of 32.9 points per game this season. Georgia is moving the ball for an average of 420.6 total yards a week, 220.6 through the air with 186.0 on the ground.

 

Defensively, the Dawgs are holding opponents to an average of just 10.4 points per game while allowing them to gain 257.0 total yards, 186.0 passing, and 71.0 rushing.

 

The LSU Tigers will come into this one a perfect 12-0 on the year after beating the Texas A&M Aggies 50-7 last week. Joe Burrow completed 23 of 32 passes for 352 yards and three touchdowns.

 

Clyde Edwards-Helaire ran the ball for 87 yards and a score on 18 carries while Ja’Marr Chase hauled in 197 yards and two touchdowns on seven receptions.

 

The Tigers have scored an impressive 48.7 points per game this season while averaging 560.4 total yards, 390.0 through the air and 170.4 on the ground.

 

On the defensive side of the ball, LSU has held opponents to an average of 22.1 points a week. The Tigers give up an average of 345.9 yards per game, 221.4 passing, and 124.5 rushing.

 

LSU will take the field in Atlanta as seven-point favorites with the total sitting at 55.5 on the game. I promised the boss I wouldn’t be biased while writing this. I’m a huge Georgia Bulldog fan. The SEC is hands down the strongest conference in college football and both of these teams deserve to be sitting where they’re at. LSU will probably make the College Football Playoffs regardless of the outcome of this game and if Georgia wins, I can’t see any reason why they’re not one of the final four teams.

 

Georgia comes into this game facing both injury and suspension issues. Still, with that being said, LSU hasn’t played a defense like this all season long. The SEC is full of stout running backs and Georgia gives up just 71 yards per game on the ground. The Dawgs have both a secondary and linebacking corps that is straight-up nasty and will be in Burrow’s face the entire game. The Tiger’s quarterback has only thrown six interceptions all season long and I’ve got a nice side bet that he throws at least two in this one.

 

As big of a Georgia fan as I am, LSU is good. No, I’m not willing to put a penny on Georgia winning the game. You better believe I’ve got a huge amount of money on them covering the seven points, though. I can’t see them losing by more than a score. Take the Dawgs plus seven.

SEC STATS AND TRENDS

  • Georgia is 4-1 ATS in their previous five games.
  • Georgia is 5-0 ATS in their previous five games played in December.
  • Georgia is 6-0 SU in their previous six games.
  • The total has gone over in seven of Georgia’s previous eight games vs. LSU.

 

 

Georgia Bulldogs 7   ( 215 ) Vs. Louisiana State Tigers (Total:55.5) Louisiana State Tigers -7  ( -260 ) Vs. Georgia Bulldogs (Total:55.5)
Georgia Bulldogs

Georgia Bulldogs
O/U :55.5

Vs.
Date: 2019-12-07
Time: 16:00:00

Generated from 6
Previous Games
Louisiana State Tigers

Louisiana State Tigers
SIDE :7

27.5 Forecast
(O/U 63.83 )
36.33
41.18% C.O.W 83.33%
35% C.O.C 48%
55% C.O.G.O 55%
-20.54 MSV -23.74
(A) BULLISH MVI (A) BULLISH
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL,NFL & NCAAF)
C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The ‘Law of Average’ edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.

PVI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.
BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-1) in their last 3 games.
BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.

Raymond Report
Georgia Bulldogs Louisiana State Tigers
Season Record : 10-1 Season Record : 11-0
Away Record : 5-0 Away Record : 5-0
Home Record : 5-1 Home Record : 6-0
Line : 7 Line : -7
O/U : 55.5 O/U : 55.5
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Win 52 – 7 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Last game: Win 7 – 50 vs Texas A&M Aggies
SU: 47-21 ATS: 37-31-1 O/U: 32-37-0
SU: 81-16 ATS: 46-48-3 O/U: 46-42-9
Current game: vs. Louisiana State Tigers Current game: vs. Georgia Bulldogs
SU: 3-3 ATS: 2-4-0 O/U: 5-1-0
SU: 3-3 ATS: 4-2-0 O/U: 5-1-0
Next Game: Vs. Next Game: Vs.
SU: 0-0 ATS: 0-0-0 O/U: 0-0-0
SU: 0-0 ATS: 0-0-0 O/U: 0-0-0
Days Rest : 6 (RD) Days Rest : 6 (HF)
(L) SU:  (43-170-0 ) ATS:  (104-103-6 ) O/U: (106-106-1)
(L) SU: ( 212-41-0) ATS:  (130-116-7) O/U: (113-139-1)
(T) SU: (0-0) ATS: (0-0-0) O/U: (0-0-0)
(T) SU: (4-0) ATS: (1-2-1) O/U: (2-2-0)
Streaks : 3 SU Win – 2 ATS Win – 4 Under Streaks : 8 SU Win – 1 ATS Win – 1 Over
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 44.44% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: %
Home Favorite: 5 Win -1 Lost   (PF)27 – (PA)8.33 Home Favorite: 6 Win -0 Lost   (PF)44.67 – (PA)14
Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Road Favorite: 5 Win -0 Lost   (PF)34 – (PA)11.6 Road Favorite: 4 Win -0 Lost   (PF)51.25 – (PA)31.5
Road Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Road Underdog: 1 Win -0 Lost   (PF)46 – (PA)41
Last 3 game: 3 Win 0 Lost    (PF)30.67 – (PA)11.33 Last 3 game: 3 Win 0 Lost    (PF)54.67 – (PA)21.33
Last 5 game: 5 Win 0 Lost    (PF)28.6 – (PA)10.2 Last 5 game: 5 Win 0 Lost    (PF)46.6 – (PA)25
Last 7 game: 6 Win 1 Lost   (PF)25.86 – (PA)10.14 Last 7 game: 7 Win 0 Lost   (PF)44.43 – (PA)23.71
Last 10 game: 9 Win 1 Lost   (PF)30.2 – (PA)10.2 Last 10 game: 10 Win 0 Lost   (PF)46.4 – (PA)24.8
Last 15 game: 10 Win 1 Lost   (PF)30.18 – (PA)9.82 Last 15 game: 11 Win 0 Lost   (PF)47.18 – (PA)22.82
Situations (Georgia Bulldogs) Situations (Louisiana State Tigers)
Coming off a vs Atlantic Coast opponent (Georgia Tech) Coming off a vs Southeastern opponent (Texas A&M)
Coming off a road favorite win Coming off a home fav win
Coming off a 6 game winning streak Coming off a 11 game winning streak
Coming off 1 over Coming off 1 under
Coming off a game scored 40 points or more Coming off a game scored 40 points or more
Coming off a game scored 7 points or less against Coming off a game scored 7 points or less against
Coming off 1 ATS win Coming off 2 game home stand
Coming off 1 ATS win
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
Query ATS SU O/U
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a Home team – Vs Division Opponent – Playing on Saturday – During Week 12 to 16 – Coming off a 5 game winning streak – Coming off a 28-31 point win 16-13-1 26-4 12-17-0
When ANY NCAAF Team played as Home team as a Favorite – Playing on Saturday – During Week 12 to 16 – With 6 days off – Coming off a 1 ATS win – Coming off a Win over Southeastern win opponent 17-24-0 33-8 14-19-0
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a Home team – After a division game – During Week 12 to 16 – Playing on Saturday – Coming off a 2 game Home stand – Coming off a 5 game winning streak Coming off back to back SU Home wins 6-5-0 9-2 5-6-0
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a Home team – After a division game – Playing on Saturday – During the month of December – Coming off a game scored 40 points or more – Coming off a Home win as a Favorite Coming off back to back SU Home wins 8-2-0 9-1 4-6-0

 

What is the Raymond Report?

The Raymond Report is a unique Sports Analytics tip sheet based on the 3-Key Fundamentals of Sports Handicapping;
A) Line/Price Value ($): When calculating the “Value” of a line or price, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a past game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game. (Perception vs. Reality = Value)
B) Percentage Play (%): Every time a team wins or covers (Side or Totals), their chances of repeating that same action decreases, based on the law of average theory.
C) V.I.C. (Vegas Index Cycle): The intangibles of special circumstances. (Letdown factor, Look ahead, Line-moves, Shelf Scouting, Gut Feeling, etc…)
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