Hawaii Warriors (64) vs. Boise State Broncos (13.5) Preview & Prediction (12/07/2019)

Raymond Report NCAAF preview on today’s game between the Hawaii Warriors vs. Boise State Broncos for Saturday, December 7th, 2019.

Hawaii Warriors vs. Boise State Broncos Game Notes

The Hawaii Warriors are coming off a 0-0 lost to the Army Black Knights . Plus, the Hawaii Warriors are currently 7-4 SU on the season and are . Also the Boise State Broncos are currently 11-1 SU on the season, won their last game over the Colorado State Rams.

Hawaii Warriors 13.5   ( 416 ) Vs. Boise State Broncos Boise State Broncos -13.5  ( -550 ) Vs. Hawaii Warriors
Hawaii Warriors

Hawaii Warriors
O/U :64.5

Vs.
Date: 2019-12-07
Time: 16:00:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Boise State Broncos

Boise State Broncos
SIDE :13.5

18.13 Forecast
(O/U 62.27 )
44.14
44% C.O.C 38%
55% C.O.G.O 55%
-1 MSV -13.6
(A) BULLISH MVI (A) BULLISH
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL, CFB and NFL)
C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.
C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.
MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.

PVI = (Performance Value Index) – The Performance Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-1) in their last 3 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.
Raymond Report
Hawaii Warriors Boise State Broncos
Season Record : 7-4 Season Record : 11-1
Away Record : 3-2 Away Record : 6-1
Home Record : 4-2 Home Record : 5-0
Line : 13.5 Line : -13.5
O/U : 64.5 O/U : 64.5
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: 0 – 0 vs Army Black Knights Last game: Win 31 – 24 vs Colorado State Rams
SU: 24-54 ATS: 35-40-3 O/U: 36-40-2
SU: 75-13 ATS: 38-51-0 O/U: 31-53-5
Current game: vs. Boise State Broncos Current game: vs. Hawaii Warriors
SU: 0-7 ATS: 2-5-0 O/U: 3-4-0
SU: 7-0 ATS: 5-2-0 O/U: 3-4-0
Next Game: Vs. Next Game: Vs.
SU: 0-0 ATS: 0-0-0 O/U: 0-0-0
SU: 0-0 ATS: 0-0-0 O/U: 0-0-0
Days Rest : 6 (RD) Days Rest : 7 (HF)
(L) SU:  (22.6 %) ATS:  (49.1%) O/U: (41.1%)
(L) SU: (79.2%) ATS: (47.1%) O/U: (47.4%)
(T) SU: (10-42) ATS: (23-26-3) O/U: (24-17-11)
(T) SU: (13-1) ATS: (7-7-0) O/U: (3-8-3)
Streaks : 1 SU Win – 2 ATS Lost – 5 Over Streaks : 2 SU Win – 3 ATS Lost – 1 Under
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 55.56% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 22.22%
Home Favorite: 2 Win -1 Lost   (PF)37 – (PA)36.33 Home Favorite: 5 Win -0 Lost   (PF)33 – (PA)17.8
Home Underdog: 2 Win -1 Lost   (PF)28.33 – (PA)35 Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Road Favorite: 2 Win -0 Lost   (PF)33 – (PA)19 Road Favorite: 4 Win -1 Lost   (PF)40.4 – (PA)25.6
Road Underdog: 1 Win -2 Lost   (PF)37 – (PA)38 Road Underdog: 2 Win -0 Lost   (PF)36 – (PA)31
Last 3 game: 3 Win 0 Lost    (PF)25.67 – (PA)19.33 Last 3 game: 3 Win 0 Lost    (PF)43 – (PA)18
Last 5 game: 4 Win 1 Lost    (PF)32 – (PA)26 Last 5 game: 5 Win 0 Lost    (PF)40.2 – (PA)22.6
Last 7 game: 4 Win 3 Lost   (PF)31.86 – (PA)35 Last 7 game: 6 Win 1 Lost   (PF)40.71 – (PA)25.43
Last 10 game: 6 Win 4 Lost   (PF)32.8 – (PA)32.8 Last 10 game: 9 Win 1 Lost   (PF)36.7 – (PA)21.7
Last 15 game: 7 Win 4 Lost   (PF)33.91 – (PA)33.27 Last 15 game: 11 Win 1 Lost   (PF)36.58 – (PA)23.25
Situations (Hawaii Warriors) Situations (Boise State Broncos)
Coming off a vs Independents IA opponent (Army) Coming off a vs Mountain West opponent (Colorado State)
Coming off 3 unders Coming off a road favorite win
Coming off a game scored 3 points or less against Coming off a 5 game winning streak
Coming off 2 game home stand Coming off 1 under
Coming off a game scored 31 points or more
Coming off a game scored 24 points or less against
Coming off 2 game road stand
Coming off 1 ATS lost
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a Road team – During Week 12 to 16 – Last 5 years – Scored 0 – 3 POINTS FOR in their last game – Allowed 0 – 3 AGAINST in their last game 15-30-1 10-22 30-2-14
Query ATS SU O/U
When Boise State team played as a Home team – After a division game – Coming off 2 game Road stand 8-5-0 12-1 6-6-0
When Boise State team played as Home team as a Favorite – Playing on Saturday – Scored 31 points or more FOR in their last game – Coming off a Road win as a Favorite 24-19-0 39-4 18-24-0
When Boise State team played as a -10.0 or more Favorite – Playing on Saturday – Allowed 22 – 28 AGAINST in their last game 4-11-2 15-2 8-8-0
When Boise State team played as a -10.0 or more Favorite – During Week 12 to 16 – Allowed more than 20 points AGAINST in back to back games 5-4-1 10-0 6-3-0
When Boise State team played as Home team as a Favorite – After a division game – Allowed 24 points or less AGAINST in their last game 21-20-1 36-5 18-22-0
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a Home team – Vs Division Opponent – During Week 12 to 16 – Coming off a Road win as a Favorite – Coming off back to back SU Road wins 39-32-2 57-13 38-33-2
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a Home team – After a division game – Playing on Saturday – Coming off a 5 game winning streak – Coming off a 1 ATS lost 71-64-6 115-25 69-69-1
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a -10.0 or more Home Favorite – Last 5 years – During Week 12 to 16 – Playing on Saturday – Coming off 1 under – Coming off a 2 game Road stand 8-9-1 17-1 10-8-0
When ANY NCAAF Team played as Home team as a Favorite – After a division game – During Week 12 to 16 – Coming off a Road win as a Favorite – Coming off back to back SU Road wins 35-28-2 54-10 35-28-2

 

What is the Raymond Report?

The Raymond Report is a unique Sports Analytics tip sheet based on the 3-Key Fundamentals of Sports Handicapping;
A) Line/Price Value ($): When calculating the “Value” of a line or price, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a past game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game. (Perception vs. Reality = Value)
B) Percentage Play (%): Every time a team wins or covers (Side or Totals), their chances of repeating that same action decreases, based on the law of average theory.
C) V.I.C. (Vegas Index Cycle): The intangibles of special circumstances. (Letdown factor, Look ahead, Line-moves, Shelf Scouting, Gut Feeling, etc…)
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