Liberty Flames (54.5) vs. Virginia Cavaliers (16.5) Preview & Prediction (11/23/2019)

Raymond Report NCAAF preview on today’s game between the Liberty Flames vs. Virginia Cavaliers for Saturday, November 23rd, 2019.

Liberty vs. Virginia Cavaliers Game Notes

The Liberty Flames are coming off a 31-24 lost to the Brigham Young Cougars . Plus, the Liberty Flames are currently 4-4 SU on the season and are coming off a road underdog lost. Also the Virginia Cavaliers are currently 6-2 SU on the season, won their last game over the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.

Liberty Flames 16.5   ( 562 ) Vs. Virginia Cavaliers Virginia Cavaliers -16.5  ( -800 ) Vs. Liberty Flames
Liberty Flames (54.5) vs. Virginia Cavaliers (16.5) Preview & Prediction (11/23/2019)

Liberty Flames
O/U :54.5

Vs.
Date: 2019-11-23
Time: 12:00:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Liberty Flames (54.5) vs. Virginia Cavaliers (16.5) Preview & Prediction (11/23/2019)

Virginia Cavaliers
SIDE :16.5

14.79 Forecast
(O/U 56.39 )
41.6
42% C.O.C 62%
45% C.O.G.O 45%
-1.27 MSV -7.25
(B) NEUTRAL MVI (A) NEUTRAL
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL, CFB and NFL)
C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.
C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.
MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-3) in their last 3 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
Liberty Flames Virginia Cavaliers
Season Record : 4-4 Season Record : 6-2
Away Record : 2-3 Away Record : 2-2
Home Record : 2-1 Home Record : 4-0
Line : 16.5 Line : -16.5
O/U : 54.5 O/U : 54.5
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Lost 24 – 31 vs Brigham Young Cougars Last game: Win 28 – 33 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
SU: 8-16 ATS: 17-7-0 O/U: 18-6-0
SU: 46-42 ATS: 39-46-3 O/U: 46-40-2
Current game: vs. Virginia Cavaliers Current game: vs. Liberty Flames
SU: 0-1 ATS: 1-0-0 O/U: 1-0-0
SU: 1-0 ATS: 0-1-0 O/U: 1-0-0
Next Game: Vs. Next Game: Vs.
SU: 0-0 ATS: 0-0-0 O/U: 0-0-0
SU: 0-0 ATS: 0-0-0 O/U: 0-0-0
Days Rest : 13 (RD) Days Rest : 13 (HF)
(L) SU:  (27.2 %) ATS:  (49.8%) O/U: (42.9%)
(L) SU: (70.7%) ATS: (47.6%) O/U: (43.5%)
(T) SU: (2-1) ATS: (2-1-0) O/U: (3-0-0)
(T) SU: (9-2) ATS: (6-4-1) O/U: (7-3-1)
Streaks : 1 SU Lost – 2 ATS Win – 1 Under Streaks : 2 SU Win – 1 ATS Lost – 2 Over
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 44.44% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 33.33%
Home Favorite: 1 Win -0 Lost   (PF)17 – (PA)10 Home Favorite: 4 Win -0 Lost   (PF)35 – (PA)20.75
Home Underdog: 1 Win -1 Lost   (PF)17.5 – (PA)20.5 Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Road Favorite: 2 Win -1 Lost   (PF)39 – (PA)26 Road Favorite: 1 Win -1 Lost   (PF)25.5 – (PA)21
Road Underdog: 0 Win -2 Lost   (PF)19 – (PA)33 Road Underdog: 1 Win -1 Lost   (PF)29 – (PA)33
Last 3 game: 1 Win 2 Lost    (PF)40.33 – (PA)32 Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (PF)30.67 – (PA)29
Last 5 game: 3 Win 2 Lost    (PF)31.6 – (PA)23.8 Last 5 game: 3 Win 2 Lost    (PF)32 – (PA)27.2
Last 7 game: 4 Win 3 Lost   (PF)29.57 – (PA)24.43 Last 7 game: 5 Win 2 Lost   (PF)31.29 – (PA)25.29
Last 10 game: 4 Win 4 Lost   (PF)25.88 – (PA)24.38 Last 10 game: 6 Win 2 Lost   (PF)31.13 – (PA)23.88
Last 15 game: 4 Win 4 Lost   (PF)25.88 – (PA)24.38 Last 15 game: 6 Win 2 Lost   (PF)31.13 – (PA)23.88
Situations (Liberty Flames) Situations (Virginia Cavaliers)
Coming off a vs Independents IA opponent (BYU) Coming off a vs Atlantic Coast opponent (Georgia Tech)
Coming off a road underdog lost Coming off a home fav win
Coming off 1 under Coming off a 2 game winning streak
Coming off a game scored 24 points or less Coming off 2 overs
Coming off a game scored 31 points or more against Coming off a game scored 31 points or more
Coming off 4 or more game road stand Coming off a game scored 28 points or less against
Coming off 2 ATS win Coming off 1 ATS lost
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
When Liberty team played as a Road team – Vs Non Conference Opponent – Allowed 31 points or more AGAINST in their last game 6-4-0 5-5 9-1-0
When Liberty team played as a Road team – Vs Non Division Opponent – Playing on Saturday – Allowed 31 points or more AGAINST in their last game 6-4-0 5-5 9-1-0
When Liberty team played as a Road team – Playing on Saturday – Allowed 31 points or more AGAINST in their last game 6-4-0 5-5 9-1-0
When Liberty team played as a Road team – Vs Non Division Opponent – Allowed 31 points or more AGAINST in their last game 6-4-0 5-5 9-1-0
When Liberty team played as a Road team – Vs Non Conference Opponent – Playing on Saturday – Allowed 31 points or more AGAINST in their last game 6-4-0 5-5 9-1-0
When Liberty team played as a Road team – Vs Non Division Opponent – Last 5 years – Allowed 31 points or more AGAINST in their last game 6-4-0 5-5 9-1-0
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a 10 or more Road Underdog – During the month of November – Last 5 years – Coming off a 4-7 point loss – Allowed 29 – 35 AGAINST in their last game 7-5-1 1-12 2-11-0
Query ATS SU O/U
When Virginia team played as Home team as a Favorite – Playing on Saturday – Coming off a Home win 8-9-1 15-3 8-10-0
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a -10.0 or more Home Favorite – During the month of November – After 12 to 15 days off – During Week 12 to 16 – Coming off a Bye – Coming off a 1 ATS lost 15-13-0 23-5 10-17-0
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a -10.0 or more Home Favorite – Vs Non Division Opponent – During Week 12 to 16 – Coming off a Win over Atlantic Coast opponent – Scored more than 30 points in back to back games 11-4-0 15-0 5-9-1
When ANY NCAAF Team played as Home team as a Favorite – Last 5 years – During Week 12 to 16 – After 12 to 15 days off – Coming off a game scored 31 points or more – Coming off a Bye – Coming off back to back SU wins 11-9-2 20-2 13-9-0
When ANY NCAAF Team played as Home team as a Favorite – Last 3 years – During Week 12 to 16 – Playing on Saturday – Coming off a 2 game winning streak – Coming off back to back SU wins 20-21-2 35-4 22-15-6
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a -10.0 or more Home Favorite – After a division game – During Week 12 to 16 – Playing on Saturday – Coming off back to back SU wins – Coming off a Bye 23-14-2 34-5 21-17-1

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