Louisiana State Tigers (62.5) vs. Alabama Crimson Tide (5.5) Preview & Prediction (11/09/2019)

Raymond Report NCAAF preview on today’s game between the Louisiana State Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide for Saturday, November 9th, 2019.

Louisiana State Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Game Notes

The Louisiana State Tigers are coming off a 23-20 win over the Auburn Tigers . Plus, the Louisiana State Tigers are currently 7-0 SU on the season and are coming off 2 unders. Also the Alabama Crimson Tide are currently 8-0 SU on the season, won their last game over the Arkansas Razorbacks.

Louisiana State Tigers 5.5   ( 185 ) Vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Alabama Crimson Tide -5.5  ( -221 ) Vs. Louisiana State Tigers
Louisiana State Tigers (62.5) vs. Alabama Crimson Tide (5.5) Preview & Prediction (11/09/2019)

Louisiana State Tigers
O/U :62.5

Vs.
Date: 2019-11-09
Time: 15:30:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Louisiana State Tigers (62.5) vs. Alabama Crimson Tide (5.5) Preview & Prediction (11/09/2019)

Alabama Crimson Tide
SIDE :5.5

19 Forecast
(O/U 44.75 )
25.75
33% C.O.C 42%
57% C.O.G.O 57%
-22.79 MSV -29.42
(A) BULLISH MVI (A) BULLISH
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL, CFB and NFL)
C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.
C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.
MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-3) in their last 3 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
Louisiana State Tigers Alabama Crimson Tide
Season Record : 7-0 Season Record : 8-0
Away Record : 3-0 Away Record : 2-0
Home Record : 4-0 Home Record : 6-0
Line : 5.5 Line : -5.5
O/U : 62.5 O/U : 62.5
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Win 20 – 23 vs Auburn Tigers Last game: Win 7 – 48 vs Arkansas Razorbacks
SU: 34-20 ATS: 29-25-1 O/U: 25-28-2
SU: 94-11 ATS: 53-52-1 O/U: 49-52-5
Current game: vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Current game: vs. Louisiana State Tigers
SU: 6-4 ATS: 5-3-2 O/U: 4-4-2
SU: 4-6 ATS: 3-5-2 O/U: 4-4-2
Next Game: Vs. Next Game: Vs.
SU: 0-0 ATS: 0-0-0 O/U: 0-0-0
SU: 0-0 ATS: 0-0-0 O/U: 0-0-0
Days Rest : 13 (RD) Days Rest : 13 (HF)
(L) SU:  (27.3 %) ATS:  (49.8%) O/U: (43%)
(L) SU: (70.7%) ATS: (47.6%) O/U: (43.4%)
(T) SU: (5-7) ATS: (5-5-2) O/U: (3-6-3)
(T) SU: (17-8) ATS: (13-12-1) O/U: (15-9-2)
Streaks : 7 SU Win – 1 ATS Lost – 2 Under Streaks : 8 SU Win – 1 ATS Win – 2 Under
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: % Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 55.56%
Home Favorite: 4 Win -0 Lost   (PF)40.5 – (PA)14.25 Home Favorite: 6 Win -0 Lost   (PF)49.17 – (PA)11.83
Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Road Favorite: 3 Win -0 Lost   (PF)49 – (PA)29.67 Road Favorite: 2 Win -0 Lost   (PF)47 – (PA)25.5
Road Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Road Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Last 3 game: 3 Win 0 Lost    (PF)33.67 – (PA)20.33 Last 3 game: 3 Win 0 Lost    (PF)43.33 – (PA)16
Last 5 game: 5 Win 0 Lost    (PF)41.8 – (PA)21 Last 5 game: 5 Win 0 Lost    (PF)47.6 – (PA)17.2
Last 7 game: 7 Win 0 Lost   (PF)44.14 – (PA)20.86 Last 7 game: 7 Win 0 Lost   (PF)49.57 – (PA)17
Last 10 game: 7 Win 0 Lost   (PF)44.14 – (PA)20.86 Last 10 game: 8 Win 0 Lost   (PF)48.63 – (PA)15.25
Last 15 game: 7 Win 0 Lost   (PF)44.14 – (PA)20.86 Last 15 game: 8 Win 0 Lost   (PF)48.63 – (PA)15.25
Situations (Louisiana State Tigers) Situations (Alabama Crimson Tide)
Coming off a vs Southeastern opponent (Auburn) Coming off a vs Southeastern opponent (Arkansas)
Coming off a home fav win Coming off a home fav win
Coming off a 7 game winning streak Coming off a 8 game winning streak
Coming off 2 unders Coming off 2 unders
Coming off a game scored 21 points or more Coming off a game scored 40 points or more
Coming off a game scored 20 points or less against Coming off a game scored 7 points or less against
Coming off 1 ATS lost Coming off 2 game home stand
Coming off 1 ATS win
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
Query ATS SU O/U
When Alabama team played as a -3.5 to -6.5 Home Favorite – Playing on Saturday – Coming off a Win over Southeastern win opponent 6-6-0 9-3 8-2-0
When Alabama team played as Home team as a Favorite – Vs Division Opponent – Coming off a Home win as a Favorite 20-17-0 32-5 19-13-1
When Alabama team played as Home team as a Favorite – Playing on Saturday – Coming off 2 game Home stand 8-7-0 14-1 9-4-0
When Alabama team played as Home team as a Favorite – Last 5 years – After a division game – Coming off a Win over Southeastern win opponent 15-17-1 30-2 15-17-1
When ANY NCAAF Team played as Home team as a Favorite – During the month of November – After 12 to 15 days off – Coming off a 5 game winning streak – Coming off a 1 ATS win 7-3-0 8-2 4-5-1
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a Home team – Opponent coming off a bye – Playing on Saturday – Coming off 2 unders – Coming off a Win over Southeastern win opponent 6-5-0 9-2 4-6-0
When ANY NCAAF Team played as Home team as a Favorite – Last 4 years – Playing on Saturday – Coming off a 5 game winning streak – Coming off a 28-31 point win 12-7-1 18-2 10-10-0
When ANY NCAAF Team played as Home team as a Favorite – Opponent coming off a bye – During the month of November – During Week 8 to 12 – Coming off a game scored 40 points or more – Coming off a Home win 6-7-1 13-1 7-6-0
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a Home team – After a conference game – During Week 8 to 12 – Playing on Saturday – Coming off a Win over Southeastern win opponent – Coming off a Home win as a Favorite 14-12-0 26-0 15-10-0

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