LSU Tigers (7) vs. Texas Longhorns (57.5) CFB Preview (09/07/2019)

#6 LSU TIGERS -6.5 vs #9 Texas Longhorns

Raise your hand if you want to know how legit the Texas Longhorn are this season?  College Football is always a little better when traditional powerhouse programs are National Championship contenders.

This is not only the best non-conference game this weekend, but it’s one of the better ones for this entire season.  Texas made quick work of the last SEC opponent they faced when they crushed a disinterested Georgia team in the Sugar Bowl, but this game will be much different.  A fully engaged LSU team must pretty much win out to have a shot at the college playoff so all hands will be on deck for the Tigers in Austin.  If LSU follows up Auburn’s victory over Oregon, and Florida’s victory over Miami with a win at Texas, this would easily solidify the SECs position as the most dominant football conference in the country.

Oregon, Texas, and Miami are all likely the second best teams in their conference, and they are getting beat by teams that likely won’t even play in their conference championships – this is a telling stat, so the question remains, is Texas officially back yet.  We will find out tonight, LSU led by QB Joe Burrow will lead the Tigers to victory in this one as the Longhorns won’t have faced a better defense than what they are up against tonight. LSU wins while barely covering.

Des Boodam’s Prediction

LSU 24 Texas 17

LSU (7) vs. Texas (57.5) Preview (09/07/2019)

 

LSU -7   ( -260 ) Vs. Texas Texas 7  ( 215 ) Vs. LSU
LSU

LSU
SIDE :7

Vs.
Date: 2019-09-07
Time: 19:30:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Texas

Texas
O/U :57.5

36.78 Forecast
(O/U 65.11 )
28.33
0% C.O.C 0%
0% C.O.G.O 0%
-26 MSV -15.5
(A) BULLISH MVI (A) BULLISH
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL, CFB and NFL)
C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.
C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.
MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.

VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-3) in their last 3 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
MLB Betting
LSU Texas
Season Record : 1-0 Season Record : 1-0
Away Record : 0-0 Away Record : 0-0
Home Record : 1-0 Home Record : 1-0
Line : -7 Line : 7
O/U : 57.5 O/U : 57.5
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Win 3 – 55 vs Georgia Southern Last game: Win 14 – 45 vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
SU: 31-20 ATS: 26-25-1 O/U: 23-27-2
SU: 65-29 ATS: 47-45-2 O/U: 36-48-10
Current game: vs. Texas Longhorns Current game: vs. Louisiana State Tigers
SU: 0-0 ATS: 0-0-0 O/U: 0-0-0
SU: 0-0 ATS: 0-0-0 O/U: 0-0-0
Next Game: Vs. Next Game: Vs.
SU: 0-0 ATS: 0-0-0 O/U: 0-0-0
SU: 0-0 ATS: 0-0-0 O/U: 0-0-0
Days Rest : 6 (-3.5/-6.5 RF) Days Rest : 6 (3.5/6.5 HD)
(L) SU:  (0 %) ATS:  (0%) O/U: (0%)
(L) SU: (0%) ATS: (0%) O/U: (0%)
(T) SU: (0-0) ATS: (0-0-0) O/U: (0-0-0)
(T) SU: (0-0) ATS: (0-0-0) O/U: (0-0-0)
Streaks : – – 0 Push Streaks : – – 0 Push
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: % Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 0%
Home Favorite: 1 Win -0 Lost   (PF)55 – (PA)3 Home Favorite: 1 Win -0 Lost   (PF)45 – (PA)14
Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Road Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Road Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Road Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Road Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Last 3 game: 1 Win 0 Lost    (PF)55 – (PA)3 Last 3 game: 1 Win 0 Lost    (PF)45 – (PA)14
Last 5 game: 1 Win 0 Lost    (PF)55 – (PA)3 Last 5 game: 1 Win 0 Lost    (PF)45 – (PA)14
Last 7 game: 1 Win 0 Lost   (PF)55 – (PA)3 Last 7 game: 1 Win 0 Lost   (PF)45 – (PA)14
Last 10 game: 1 Win 0 Lost   (PF)55 – (PA)3 Last 10 game: 1 Win 0 Lost   (PF)45 – (PA)14
Last 15 game: 1 Win 0 Lost   (PF)55 – (PA)3 Last 15 game: 1 Win 0 Lost   (PF)45 – (PA)14
Situations (LSU) Situations (Texas)
Coming off a vs Sun Belt opponent (Georgia Southern) Coming off a vs Conference USA opponent (Louisiana Tech)
Coming off a home fav win Coming off a home fav win
Coming off 1 over Coming off 1 over
Coming off a game scored 40 points or more Coming off a game scored 40 points or more
Coming off a game scored 3 points or less against Coming off a game scored 14 points or less against
Coming off 1 ATS win Coming off 1 ATS win
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
When LSU team played as a -3.5 to -6.5 Favorite – Playing on Saturday – Coming off a Win over Sun Belt opponent 12-10-0 18-4 10-12-0
When LSU team played as Road team as a Favorite – After a non conference game – Coming off a Home win – Scored 40 points or more FOR in their last game 7-4-0 10-0 5-5-0
When LSU team played as a Road team – Vs Non Conference Opponent – Playing on Saturday – Coming off a Win over Sun Belt opponent 6-5-1 10-2 8-4-0
When LSU team played as Road team as a Favorite – Playing on Saturday – With 6 day off – Coming off a Win over Sun Belt opponent 20-17-0 29-7 14-18-1
When ANY NCAAF Team played as Road team as a Favorite – With 6 days off – Last 5 years – During the month of September – Coming off 1 over – Allowed 0 – 3 AGAINST in their last game – Scored 3 points or less AGAINST in their last game 7-3-0 9-1 3-6-1
When ANY NCAAF Team played as Road team as a Favorite – After a non division game – Last 2 years – Allowed 0 – 3 AGAINST in their last game – Scored 3 points or less AGAINST in their last game 13-8-0 17-4 11-10-0
When ANY NCAAF Team played as Road team as a Favorite – During the month of September – Last 2 years – Playing on Saturday – Coming off a Home win – Coming off a 28-31 point win 5-5-1 9-2 8-3-0
Query ATS SU O/U

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