South Alabama (42) vs. Texas State Bobcats (7) Preview & Prediction (11/09/2019)

Raymond Report NCAAF preview on today’s game between the South Alabama vs. Texas State Bobcats for Saturday, November 9th, 2019.

Alabama vs. Texas State Game Notes

The South Alabama are coming off a 30-3 lost to the Appalachian State . Plus, the South Alabama are currently 0-7 SU on the season and are coming off 5 or more unders. Also the Texas State Bobcats are currently 2-5 SU on the season, lost their last game to the UL Lafayette Ragin Cajuns.

South Alabama 7   ( 230 ) Vs. Texas State Bobcats Texas State Bobcats -7  ( -280 ) Vs. South Alabama
South Alabama (42) vs. Texas State Bobcats (7) Preview & Prediction (11/09/2019)

South Alabama
O/U :42

Vs.
Date: 2019-11-09
Time: 15:30:00

Generated from
Previous Games
South Alabama (42) vs. Texas State Bobcats (7) Preview & Prediction (11/09/2019)

Texas State Bobcats
SIDE :7

23.36 Forecast
(O/U 64.45 )
41.09
38% C.O.C 90%
81% C.O.G.O 81%
21.38 MSV 9.6
(C) BEARISH MVI (C) NEUTRAL
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL, CFB and NFL)
C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.
C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.
MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-3) in their last 3 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
South Alabama Texas State Bobcats
Season Record : 0-7 Season Record : 2-5
Away Record : 0-4 Away Record : 1-4
Home Record : 0-3 Home Record : 1-1
Line : 7 Line : -7
O/U : 42 O/U : 42
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Lost 30 – 3 vs Appalachian State Last game: Lost 3 – 31 vs UL Lafayette Ragin Cajuns
SU: 9-39 ATS: 21-27-0 O/U: 22-25-1
SU: 17-26 ATS: 19-23-1 O/U: 20-23-0
Current game: vs. Texas State Bobcats Current game: vs. South Alabama
SU: 0-2 ATS: 0-2-0 O/U: 1-1-0
SU: 2-0 ATS: 2-0-0 O/U: 1-1-0
Next Game: Vs. Next Game: Vs.
SU: 0-0 ATS: 0-0-0 O/U: 0-0-0
SU: 0-0 ATS: 0-0-0 O/U: 0-0-0
Days Rest : 13 (RD) Days Rest : 6 (HF)
(L) SU:  (27.3 %) ATS:  (49.8%) O/U: (43%)
(L) SU: (77.7%) ATS: (48%) O/U: (42.2%)
(T) SU: (1-8) ATS: (4-5-0) O/U: (2-6-1)
(T) SU: (9-3) ATS: (5-6-1) O/U: (5-7-0)
Streaks : 7 SU Lost – 1 ATS Win – 7 Under Streaks : 1 SU Lost – 2 ATS Lost – 1 Under
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: % Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 66.67%
Home Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Home Favorite: 1 Win -0 Lost   (PF)37 – (PA)34
Home Underdog: 0 Win -3 Lost   (PF)8.67 – (PA)30.67 Home Underdog: 0 Win -1 Lost   (PF)14 – (PA)23
Road Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Road Favorite: 1 Win -0 Lost   (PF)48 – (PA)13
Road Underdog: 0 Win -4 Lost   (PF)13.5 – (PA)34.25 Road Underdog: 0 Win -4 Lost   (PF)10.25 – (PA)39.25
Last 3 game: 0 Win 3 Lost    (PF)11 – (PA)29 Last 3 game: 1 Win 2 Lost    (PF)18 – (PA)34.33
Last 5 game: 0 Win 5 Lost    (PF)10.6 – (PA)30.4 Last 5 game: 2 Win 3 Lost    (PF)23.8 – (PA)32.6
Last 7 game: 0 Win 7 Lost   (PF)11.43 – (PA)32.71 Last 7 game: 2 Win 5 Lost   (PF)20 – (PA)32.43
Last 10 game: 0 Win 7 Lost   (PF)11.43 – (PA)32.71 Last 10 game: 2 Win 5 Lost   (PF)20 – (PA)32.43
Last 15 game: 0 Win 7 Lost   (PF)11.43 – (PA)32.71 Last 15 game: 2 Win 5 Lost   (PF)20 – (PA)32.43
Situations (South Alabama) Situations (Texas State Bobcats)
Coming off a vs Sun Belt opponent (Appalachian State) Coming off a vs Sun Belt opponent (UL Lafayette)
Coming off a home underdog lost Coming off a road underdog lost
Coming off a 7 game losing streak Coming off a 2 game losing streak
Coming off 5 or more unders Coming off 2 unders
Coming off a game scored 3 points or less Coming off a game scored 3 points or less
Coming off a game scored 30 points or more against Coming off a game scored 31 points or more against
Coming off 1 ATS win Coming off 2 game road stand
Coming off 2 ATS lost
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
Query ATS SU O/U
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a -7.0 to -9.5 Favorite – Last 4 years – During the month of November – Coming off a loss – Allowed more than 30 points AGAINST in back to back games 11-11-1 17-4 14-6-3
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a -7.0 to -9.5 Favorite – Last 4 years – During Week 8 to 12 – Playing on Saturday – Allowed more than 30 points AGAINST in back to back games – Coming off a Road loss 6-8-0 11-2 8-4-2
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a -7.0 to -9.5 Favorite – Last 3 years – With 6 days off – Coming off a 2 game losing streak – Coming off a loss 10-9-2 19-2 11-10-0

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