UL Lafayette Ragin Cajuns (56) vs. Appalachian State (6.5) Preview & Prediction (12/07/2019)

Raymond Report NCAAF preview on today’s game between the UL Lafayette Ragin Cajuns vs. Appalachian State for Saturday, December 7th, 2019.

UL Lafayette Ragin Cajuns vs. Appalachian State Game Notes

The UL Lafayette Ragin Cajuns are coming off a 53-3 win over the Troy Trojans . Plus, the UL Lafayette Ragin Cajuns are currently 8-2 SU on the season and are . Also the Appalachian State are currently 10-1 SU on the season, won their last game over the Troy Trojans.

UL Lafayette Ragin Cajuns 6.5   ( 211 ) Vs. Appalachian State Appalachian State -6.5  ( -255 ) Vs. UL Lafayette Ragin Cajuns
UL Lafayette Ragin Cajuns

UL Lafayette Ragin Cajuns
O/U :56

Vs.
Date: 2019-12-07
Time: 12:00:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Appalachian State

Appalachian State
SIDE :6.5

18.25 Forecast
(O/U 47.17 )
28.92
27% C.O.C 35%
62% C.O.G.O 62%
-18 MSV -18.89
(A) BULLISH MVI (A) BULLISH
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL, CFB and NFL)
C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.
C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.
MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.

PVI = (Performance Value Index) – The Performance Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-1) in their last 3 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.
Raymond Report
UL Lafayette Ragin Cajuns Appalachian State
Season Record : 8-2 Season Record : 10-1
Away Record : 5-0 Away Record : 6-0
Home Record : 3-2 Home Record : 4-1
Line : 6.5 Line : -6.5
O/U : 56 O/U : 56
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Win 3 – 53 vs Troy Trojans Last game: Win 48 – 13 vs Troy Trojans
SU: 31-52 ATS: 52-30-1 O/U: 36-38-9
SU: 30-9 ATS: 13-24-2 O/U: 23-16-0
Current game: vs. Appalachian State Current game: vs. UL Lafayette Ragin Cajuns
SU: 0-4 ATS: 3-1-0 O/U: 1-3-0
SU: 4-0 ATS: 1-3-0 O/U: 1-3-0
Next Game: Vs. Next Game: Vs.
SU: 0-0 ATS: 0-0-0 O/U: 0-0-0
SU: 0-0 ATS: 0-0-0 O/U: 0-0-0
Days Rest : 13 (RD) Days Rest : 7 (HF)
(L) SU:  (27.2 %) ATS:  (49.8%) O/U: (43.1%)
(L) SU: (79.2%) ATS: (47.1%) O/U: (47.4%)
(T) SU: (8-12) ATS: (12-8-0) O/U: (10-4-6)
(T) SU: (0-0) ATS: (0-0-0) O/U: (0-0-0)
Streaks : 3 SU Win – 3 ATS Win – 4 Under Streaks : 1 SU Win – 1 ATS Win – 1 Under
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 33.33% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 22.22%
Home Favorite: 3 Win -1 Lost   (PF)31.5 – (PA)9.25 Home Favorite: 4 Win -1 Lost   (PF)44 – (PA)24.4
Home Underdog: 0 Win -1 Lost   (PF)28 – (PA)38 Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Road Favorite: 4 Win -0 Lost   (PF)39.75 – (PA)19.5 Road Favorite: 3 Win -0 Lost   (PF)44.67 – (PA)14.33
Road Underdog: 1 Win -0 Lost   (PF)45 – (PA)25 Road Underdog: 3 Win -0 Lost   (PF)23.67 – (PA)17.67
Last 3 game: 3 Win 0 Lost    (PF)46 – (PA)12.33 Last 3 game: 3 Win 0 Lost    (PF)46.33 – (PA)17.67
Last 5 game: 5 Win 0 Lost    (PF)41.2 – (PA)12 Last 5 game: 4 Win 1 Lost    (PF)36 – (PA)18.4
Last 7 game: 6 Win 1 Lost   (PF)35.71 – (PA)14.43 Last 7 game: 6 Win 1 Lost   (PF)37.43 – (PA)14.57
Last 10 game: 8 Win 2 Lost   (PF)35.8 – (PA)17.8 Last 10 game: 9 Win 1 Lost   (PF)36.9 – (PA)17.7
Last 15 game: 8 Win 2 Lost   (PF)35.8 – (PA)17.8 Last 15 game: 10 Win 1 Lost   (PF)38.64 – (PA)19.82
Situations (UL Lafayette Ragin Cajuns) Situations (Appalachian State)
Coming off a vs Sun Belt opponent (Troy) Coming off a vs Sun Belt opponent (Troy)
Coming off a home fav win Coming off a road favorite win
Coming off a 5 game winning streak Coming off a 4 game winning streak
Coming off 1 under Coming off 2 unders
Coming off a game scored 40 points or more Coming off a game scored 40 points or more
Coming off a game scored 3 points or less against Coming off a game scored 13 points or less against
Coming off 1 ATS win Coming off 1 ATS win
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a Road team – During Week 12 to 16 – Last 4 years – Playing on Saturday – Coming off a Home win as a Favorite – vs. opponent with a 80% or more winning % – Coming off a 5 game winning streak 5-5-0 5-5 8-2-0
Query ATS SU O/U
When Appalachian State team played as a Home team – Playing on Saturday – Allowed 13 points or less AGAINST in their last game 4-8-1 11-2 7-6-0
When Appalachian State team played as a Home team – Last 4 years – Allowed more than 10 points AGAINST in back to back games 2-9-0 10-1 5-6-0
When Appalachian State team played as Home team as a Favorite – Last 5 years – Playing on Saturday – Allowed more than 10 points AGAINST in back to back games 1-8-1 10-0 5-5-0
When Appalachian State team played as a Home team – Last 5 years – Allowed more than 10 points AGAINST in back to back games 2-10-1 11-2 7-6-0
When Appalachian State team played as Home team as a Favorite – Playing on Saturday – Allowed more than 10 points AGAINST in back to back games 1-8-1 10-0 5-5-0
When Appalachian State team played as Home team as a Favorite – Last 3 years – Coming off a Road win 3-7-1 10-1 6-5-0
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a -3.5 to -6.5 Home Favorite – Vs Division Opponent – During Week 12 to 16 – Coming off back to back SU wins – Coming off a 1 ATS win 9-4-0 10-2 3-10-0

What is the Raymond Report?

The Raymond Report is a unique Sports Analytics tip sheet based on the 3-Key Fundamentals of Sports Handicapping;
A) Line/Price Value ($): When calculating the “Value” of a line or price, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a past game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game. (Perception vs. Reality = Value)
B) Percentage Play (%): Every time a team wins or covers (Side or Totals), their chances of repeating that same action decreases, based on the law of average theory.
C) V.I.C. (Vegas Index Cycle): The intangibles of special circumstances. (Letdown factor, Look ahead, Line-moves, Shelf Scouting, Gut Feeling, etc…)
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