CFL Week 6 Friday Night Preview: Edmonton Elks vs. Ottawa RedBlacks

As we gear up for another thrilling Friday night CFL matchup, all eyes will be on the Edmonton Elks as they face off against the Ottawa Red Blacks. The game is set to kick off at 7:00 PM on July 19, 2024, at the Percival Molson Memorial Stadium. This contest promises to be an intriguing battle as both teams have a lot on the line.

Team Overview

Edmonton Elks (0-5 SU, 3-2 ATS, 3-2 O/U)

• Line: +2.5
• Moneyline: +116
• Total: 52.5
• Current Form: The Elks are desperately seeking their first win of the season. They are coming off a 37-34 loss to the Ottawa Red Blacks, which marked their fifth consecutive defeat. Despite their struggles, they have managed to cover the spread in three of their last five games.
• Key Trends: Edmonton has been competitive in many of their games, but they have been unable to close out victories. Their defensive issues have been a significant factor, allowing an average of 30.4 points per game over their last five.

Ottawa Red Blacks (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS, 2-3 O/U)

• Line: -2.5
• Moneyline: -140
• Total: 52.5
• Current Form: The Red Blacks are in a much better position, riding a streak of three wins in their last five games. They pulled off a narrow 37-34 victory against the Elks in their last outing and have shown resilience, especially at home.
• Key Trends: Ottawa’s defense has been relatively solid, keeping opponents under 30 points in most games. They have covered the spread three times in their last five matchups and will look to maintain their home advantage.

Betting Insights

Chances of Winning (C.O.W)

• Edmonton Elks: 52.17%
• Ottawa Red Blacks: 62.5%

Chances of Covering (C.O.C)

• Both Teams: 37%

Chances Game Going Over (C.O.G.O)

• Both Teams: 50%

Market Spread Value (MSV)

• Edmonton Elks: 3.84
• Ottawa Red Blacks: 3.83

Situational Stats and Trends

Edmonton Elks

• Bearish Trend: Edmonton is currently in a bearish value index, having lost all five of their last games straight up. They are coming off a home favorite loss and a game that went over the total.
• Road Underdog: The Elks have not won as a road underdog, holding a 0-2 SU record in such situations this season.

Ottawa Red Blacks

• Neutral Trend: Ottawa is categorized as neutral in the value index. They are coming off a road underdog win and have shown decent form in recent games.
• Home Favorite: The Red Blacks have been solid as home favorites, with a 2-0 SU and ATS record when playing at home this season.

Situational Trends

• Road Teams Playing on Friday: Teams like Edmonton, playing as a road team on a Friday during Weeks 4 to 8 against an opponent with a 51% to 60% winning percentage, have a 7-5 ATS record.
• Home Favorites After a Non-Division Game: Home favorites like Ottawa, after a non-division game during Weeks 4 to 8 and coming off one ATS win, hold a 14-6-2 ATS record.

Game Prediction

Given the current form and statistical insights, the Ottawa Red Blacks appear to have the upper hand in this matchup. They have been more consistent and resilient, especially at home. The Edmonton Elks, despite showing flashes of competitiveness, have struggled to secure a win and have significant defensive vulnerabilities.

Prediction: Ottawa Red Blacks to win and cover the -2.5 spread. The total might lean towards the over, considering both teams’ recent offensive outputs and defensive lapses.

Stay tuned for an exciting Friday night as the Ottawa Red Blacks and Edmonton Elks clash in what promises to be a highly competitive CFL matchup!