CFL Handicapper Ron Raymond provides a preview and prediction on the game between the Montreal Alouettes vs. Edmonton Eskimos this Friday, June 14, 2019.
The Alouettes are coming off a disastrous season, as they went 5-13 SU last year, finished third in the Eastern Division with 10 points and owned a 3-6 SU Road record away from Molson Stadium. Plus, Montreal will start the season on the road this Friday in Edmonton as a double-digit Road Underdog (+10) and QB Antonio Pipkin will get the start at Commonwealth stadium vs. the Eskimos.
Edmonton Eskimos enter this game as a double-digit favorite and they’ve only been a double-digit favorite 4 times over the last 5 seasons. In fact, as a -10.0 point or more favorite the last 5 years, the Eskimos are 0-4-0 ATS, but 4-0 SU with an over/under record of 4-0-0 favoring the OVER.
As for the Edmonton Eskimos, they will have a new quarterback under center this season with Trevor Harris, who played for the Ottawa REDBLACKS last season and he’s back with his former Offensive Coordinator Jason Maas who was once the OC in Ottawa. As for last years starting quarterback for Edmonton, former Eskimos QB Mike Reilly has signed with the B.C. Lions in the off season as a free agent.
RAYMOND REPORT PREDICTION
The Raymond Report CFL Computer Forecast likes the Edmonton Eskimos to win this game by 11 points, as the forecast has predicted the final score: 27.75 to 18.67 for the Eskimos.
C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.
C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.
MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.
VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.
BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-3) in their last 3 games.
BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.
L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.
The Raymond Report is a detailed sport analytical tipsheet, breaking down upcoming game matchups between two teams. The information provided in the Raymond Reports, gives the players a statistical advantage, which they can apply to their betting strategies. Get the information the sportsbooks don’t want you to know about today!