Saskatchewan Roughriders vs. Ottawa REDBLACKS Preview & Prediction (6/20/19)

CFL Handicapper Ron Raymond, provides a preview and prediction on Thursdays game (6/20/19) between the Saskatchewan Roughriders and the Ottawa REDBLACKS.

The Saskatchewan Roughriders are coming off a tough 23-17 lost to the Hamilton Tigercats in week 1 of the 2019 CFL campaign. The game started with high emotions on Saskatchewan first drive from scrimmage, as Tigercats LB Simone Lawrence knocked out Riders starter Zach Collaros out of the game with a late hit to the head and it sent the Roughriders scrambling for the first half without their starting quarterback.

The Ottawa REDBLACKS started the season with an impressive 32-28-character win over the defending Grey Cup Champions Calgary Stampeders, as the REDBLACKS had to play catch up most of the game and they finally put the nail in the coffin with 1:22 left in the game, when Davis scored on a 5 yard dive over the pylon to secure the win.

Defensively, both teams seem fundamentally sound, but I’m not anticipating an offensive clinic on Thursday, as the Riders will have a decision to go with either Isaac Harker or Cody Fajardo.

Ottawa on the other hand, will go with first year starter, Dominic Davis, but he was far from perfect on Saturday with 4 interceptions, but threw for 276 yards and completed 65.9% of his passes.

Look for both teams to try to establish the run this Thursday at TD Place in Ottawa, as the team who goes up over 10 points, will force the other team to start throwing the ball more and that doesn’t favor the Riders.

If this turns into a defensive battle, the UNDER might be worth a look?

Since 1996, the UNDER is 12-3-0 for Saskatchewan after they’ve allowed between 22-28 Points Against in their last game. Also, Ottawa is playing on 4 days rest and the UNDER is 6-2-0 for the REDBLACKS the last 3 seasons in this situation.

Make sure to check out my CFL premium picks inside the members area at ATS STATS.

ROUGHRIDERS vs. REDBLACKS CFL WEEK 2 PREVIEW

Saskatchewan Roughriders 6   (  ) Vs. Ottawa REDBLACKS Ottawa REDBLACKS -6  (  ) Vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders
Saskatchewan Roughriders

Saskatchewan Roughriders
O/U :49.5

Vs.
Date: 2019-06-20
Time: 19:30:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Ottawa Red Blacks

Ottawa Red Blacks
SIDE :6

19.25 Forecast
(O/U 45.59 )
26.34
100% C.O.C 0%
50% C.O.G.O 50%
3 MSV -2
(C) BEARISH MVI (A) BEARISH
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL, CFB and NFL)
C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.
MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.

VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-3) in their last 3 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.


L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – 
The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
MLB Betting
Saskatchewan Roughriders Ottawa Red Blacks
Season Record : 0-1 Season Record : 1-0
Away Record : 0-1 Away Record : 1-0
Home Record : 0-0 Home Record : 0-0
Line : 6 Line : -6
O/U : 49.5 O/U : 49.5
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Lost 17 – 23 vs Hamilton Tigercats Last game: Win 32 – 28 vs Calgary Stampeders
SU: 6-9 ATS: 9-6-0 O/U: 5-10-0
SU: 1-1 ATS: 2-1-0 O/U: 3-0-0
Current game: vs. Ottawa Red Blacks Current game: vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders
SU: 7-4 ATS: 5-6-0 O/U: 5-6-0
SU: 4-7 ATS: 6-5-0 O/U: 5-6-0
Next Game: Vs. TORONTO Next Game: Vs. WINNIPEG
SU: 0-0 ATS: 0-0-0 O/U: 0-0-0
SU: 0-0 ATS: 0-0-0 O/U: 0-0-0
Days Rest : 6 (+3.5/+6.5 RD) Days Rest : 4 (-3.5/-6.5 HF)
(L) SU:  ( %) ATS:  (%) O/U: (%)
(L) SU: (%) ATS: (%) O/U: (%)
(T) SU: (0-0) ATS: (0-0-0) O/U: (0-0-0)
(T) SU: (0-0) ATS: (0-0-0) O/U: (0-0-0)
Streaks : 1 SU Lost – 1 ATS Lost – 1 Under Streaks : 1 SU Win – 1 ATS Win – 1 Over
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 100% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 0%
Home Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Home Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Road Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Road Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Road Underdog: 0 Win -1 Lost   (PF)17 – (PA)23 Road Underdog: 1 Win -0 Lost   (PF)32 – (PA)28
Last 3 game: 0 Win 1 Lost    (PF)17 – (PA)23 Last 3 game: 1 Win 0 Lost    (PF)32 – (PA)28
Last 5 game: 0 Win 1 Lost    (PF)17 – (PA)23 Last 5 game: 1 Win 0 Lost    (PF)32 – (PA)28
Last 7 game: 0 Win 1 Lost   (PF)17 – (PA)23 Last 7 game: 1 Win 0 Lost   (PF)32 – (PA)28
Last 10 game: 0 Win 1 Lost   (PF)17 – (PA)23 Last 10 game: 1 Win 0 Lost   (PF)32 – (PA)28
Last 15 game: 0 Win 1 Lost   (PF)17 – (PA)23 Last 15 game: 1 Win 0 Lost   (PF)32 – (PA)28
Situations (Saskatchewan Roughriders) Situations (Ottawa Red Blacks)
Coming off a road underdog lost (HAM) Coming off a road underdog win (CAL)
Coming off 1 under Coming off 1 over
Coming off a game scored 17 points or less Coming off a game scored 31 points or more
Coming off a game scored 21 points or more against Coming off a game scored 28 points or less against
Coming off 1 ATS lost Coming off 1 ATS win
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
When SASKATCHEWAN team played as a Road team -Vs Non Conference Opponent – Coming off a game scored 17 points or less 6-7-0 6-7 2-11-0
Query ATS SU O/U
When ANY CFL Team played as a Home team -Vs Non Division Opponent -Before a non conference game – Coming off a Road win as a Underdog – Coming off a 1 ATS win 8-7-1 14-2 6-8-2

 

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