Categories: Horse Racing

Churchill Downs – Wednesday, November 6, 2024

A promising day of racing is set for Churchill Downs, featuring competitive fields across a range of claiming and allowance races. Let’s dive into the highlights for each race with some recommended bets for added excitement.


Race 1: Claiming – 1 1/16 Miles (Dirt) – $30,000

Post Time: 1:00 PM
Top Pick: (6) My Noble Knight at 4-1 with jockey C. J. Lanerie, showing good potential for a win in this field.
Other Contenders: (3) Ethereal Road at 3-1 offers strong competition, while (4) Cashmeup at 15-1 could surprise as an outsider.

  • Suggested Bets:
    • Exacta Box: 6/3/4
    • Trifecta Box: 6/3/4/7

Race 2: Starter Allowance – 6 Furlongs (Dirt) – $72,000

Post Time: 1:29 PM
Top Pick: (8) Trust Daddy at 3-1 with K. J. Asmussen is well-placed to lead in this fast-paced sprint.
Other Contenders: (1) Line of Scrimmage at 7-2 is a solid place option, with (7) Gettysburg Address at 12-1 adding value to trifectas.

  • Suggested Bets:
    • Exacta Box: 8/1/7
    • Trifecta Box: 8/1/7/3

Race 3: Maiden Claiming – 1 1/16 Miles (Dirt) – $30,000

Post Time: 1:58 PM
Top Pick: (10) Flashlight at 20-1 presents a high-value pick with E. Asmussen.
Other Contenders: (3) Shady Nights at 20-1 and (9) Rando at 4-1 make for a unique trifecta play.

  • Suggested Bets:
    • Exacta Box: 10/3/9
    • Trifecta Box: 10/3/9/11

Race 4: Maiden Special Weight – 5 Furlongs (Dirt) – $120,000

Post Time: 2:27 PM
Top Pick: (6) Adalene at 6-1 with J. L. Ortiz, whose recent form looks promising for this short distance.
Other Contenders: (1) Titania’s Dream at 6-1 and (4) Sweet Trouble at 7-2 add strength to place and show bets.

  • Suggested Bets:
    • Exacta Box: 6/1/4
    • Trifecta Box: 6/1/4/5

Race 5: Allowance Optional Claiming – 6 Furlongs (Dirt) – $134,000

Post Time: 2:57 PM
Top Pick: (7) Lady Moscato at 10-1, driven by K. J. Asmussen, could be a strong underdog play.
Other Contenders: (1) Benedetta at 2-1 and (2) The Big Calhouna at 15-1 enhance this race’s trifecta potential.

  • Suggested Bets:
    • Exacta Box: 7/1/2
    • Trifecta Box: 7/1/2/5

Race 6: Maiden Claiming – 1 1/16 Miles (Dirt) – $20,000

Post Time: 3:26 PM
Top Pick: (4) Tie Breaker Lennie at 12-1 with C. J. Lanerie, could provide a good return at longer odds.
Other Contenders: (8) Operatore Pazzo at 20-1 and (9) Puckster at 20-1 bring additional value to this race.

  • Suggested Bets:
    • Exacta Box: 4/8/9
    • Trifecta Box: 4/8/9/2

Race 7: Starter Allowance – 6 Furlongs (Dirt) – $72,000

Post Time: 3:55 PM
Top Pick: (8) Gerlin’s Empire at 4-1 with J. L. Ortiz, has demonstrated consistent speed for a win here.
Other Contenders: (1) Autumn Rhythm at 4-1 and (2) Rosato at 10-1 add solid options for place and show.

  • Suggested Bets:
    • Exacta Box: 8/1/2
    • Trifecta Box: 8/1/2/6

Race 8: Allowance – 7 1/2 Furlongs (Dirt) – $134,000

Post Time: 4:25 PM
Top Pick: (1) Banishing at 5-1 with S. Camacho, Jr., showing strength in distance races.
Other Contenders: (2) Lambeth at 6-1 and (9) Liberal Arts at 5-2 are reliable choices in this allowance field.

  • Suggested Bets:
    • Exacta Box: 1/2/9
    • Trifecta Box: 1/2/9/5

Race 9: Maiden Claiming – 7 Furlongs (Dirt) – $30,000

Post Time: 4:55 PM
Top Pick: (1) What’s Her Number at 7-2 with J. L. Ortiz, a solid favorite to close out the day’s racing.
Other Contenders: (2) Pink Moon at 15-1 offers high-value potential, while (6) Redheadedstranger at 20-1 is an intriguing long shot.

  • Suggested Bets:
    • Exacta Box: 1/2/6
    • Trifecta Box: 1/2/6/9

Closing Thoughts

With diverse odds and a mix of favorites and underdogs, Churchill Downs is set for an engaging day. Races 1, 5, and 9 offer particularly strong trifecta opportunities, while high-value contenders like Flashlight in Race 3 and Lady Moscato in Race 5 bring excellent potential returns.

Ron Raymond
Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper and founder of ATSstats.com, creator of the Raymond Report sports betting system. Active in the industry since 1996, Ron has nearly three decades of experience analyzing market cycles, performance indicators, and value metrics across the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and CFL. Ron’s data-driven approach has helped thousands of bettors think strategically, manage risk, and win with confidence.
Ron Raymond

Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper and founder of ATSstats.com, creator of the Raymond Report sports betting system. Active in the industry since 1996, Ron has nearly three decades of experience analyzing market cycles, performance indicators, and value metrics across the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and CFL. Ron’s data-driven approach has helped thousands of bettors think strategically, manage risk, and win with confidence.

Recent Posts

AIPL Leaderboard Update: ShadowCalc Takes the Lead and The Velvet Rope Stays Red Hot

DATE: Wednesday, March 18, 2026LEAGUE STATUS: ACTIVE (Session 01 - Session 06)TOTAL AI CAPPERS: 58DATA…

6 hours ago

Sports Betting Models for the Modern Handicapper: Why AI is Changing the Game

Listen, if you’re still making your picks based on a "feeling" or because a team…

6 hours ago

Dallas Stars vs. Colorado Avalanche: NHL System Trends & Betting Preview

DALLAS STARS (42-25) VS. COLORADO AVALANCHE (44-22)DATE: WEDNESDAY, MARCH 18, 2026LOCATION: BALL ARENA, DENVER, COSTART…

9 hours ago

Raptors vs. Bulls: System Trends and Analytical Preview

DATE: Wednesday, March 18, 2026SITUATION: NBA Regular Season SlateDATASET: Raymond Report / ATS Stats Proprietary…

9 hours ago

NBA Betting Trends: High-Percentage Systems for the Mid-Week Slate

DATE: Wednesday, March 18, 2026 SUBJECT: NBA Mid-Week Slate Analysis METHODOLOGY: ATS Stats Proprietary System…

9 hours ago

Beyond the Spread: Why NHL Betting Analytics are Changing the Game

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: NHL ANALYTICS STATE OF THE MARKET DATE: Wednesday, March 18, 2026 SUBJECT: Shift…

13 hours ago