By Ron Raymond | ATSStats.com

The 2025 College Football season kicks off with a slate of Week 1 matchups that investors (bettors) will want to analyze like Wall Street stocks. Using the Raymond Report Sports Betting System, we break down the key games with forecasted scores, value indicators, and betting trends.

The Raymond Report approach treats sports betting like the financial markets:

• Shop for Value ($): Look for mispriced odds.
• Play the Percentages (%): Focus on consistency and win probability.
• Stay Disciplined: Avoid emotional “chasing” and stick to the numbers.

🏈 Iowa State Cyclones vs. Kansas State Wildcats – Week 1 Dublin Game

• Location: Aviva Stadium, Dublin, Ireland
• Odds: Kansas State -3.5 (-161), Iowa State +3.5 (+135)
• Over/Under: 49
• Forecast Score: Iowa State 24.43 – Kansas State 24.22

Analysis:
This neutral-site game in Dublin sets the tone for Week 1. The Raymond Report forecast shows Iowa State slightly ahead despite being listed as an underdog at +3.5. Kansas State’s long-term head-to-head edge is strong, but the price suggests they’re overvalued stock at -161.

Raymond Report Play: Iowa State +3.5 or ML +135 – a value investment opportunity in a balanced matchup.

🏈 Idaho State Bengals vs. UNLV Rebels – Point Spread Pick

• Odds: UNLV -24.5 (-333), Idaho State +24.5 (+140)
• Over/Under: 64.5
• Forecast Score: UNLV 42.61 – Idaho State 19.32

Analysis:
UNLV is trading as a blue-chip stock, priced heavy at -24.5. The forecast margin aligns closely with the Vegas spread, leaving limited upside for value shoppers. Idaho State’s track record offers little confidence against a Rebels team projected to dominate at home.

Raymond Report Play: UNLV -24.5 for long-term investors, with a lean Under 64.5 due to inflated totals.

🏈 Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Kansas Jayhawks – Betting Trends

• Odds: Kansas -10 (-526), Fresno State +10 (+390)
• Over/Under: 50.5
• Forecast Score: Kansas 28.34 – Fresno State 20.36

Analysis:
Kansas projects to win comfortably with an 8-point forecast edge. At -10, the Jayhawks may be slightly overpriced, but their 72% confidence index gives bettors a solid investment case. Fresno’s road outlook offers little upside.

Raymond Report Play: Kansas -10 with Under 50.5. A steady, dividend-style play for disciplined investors.

🏈 Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers – Over/Under Pick

• Odds: Western Kentucky -10 (-400), Sam Houston +10 (+310)
• Over/Under: 62
• Forecast Score: WKU 33.49 – Sam Houston 24.35

Analysis:
The forecast margin nearly mirrors the -10 line, making WKU the rightful favorite. The real market opportunity lies in the total, with the Raymond Report projecting just 57.84 points — well below the Vegas number of 62.

Raymond Report Play: Western Kentucky -10 with stronger value on Under 62.

🏈 Stanford Cardinal vs. Hawaii Warriors – Late Night Pick

• Odds: Hawaii -2.5 (-135), Stanford +2.5 (+115)
• Over/Under: 51.5
• Forecast Score: Hawaii 26.73 – Stanford 26.67

Analysis:
This is the definition of a toss-up stock. The forecast is nearly dead even, while the moneyline on Stanford (+115) creates an opportunity for contrarian investors. With the total forecast above the Vegas number, there’s also potential value on the Over.

Raymond Report Play: Stanford +2.5 or ML +115 with Over 51.5.

📌 College Football Week 1 Betting Recap

• Best Value: Iowa State +3.5 (Neutral site in Dublin)
• Safer Blue-Chip: Kansas -10 (home strength)
• Total Investment Angle: Under 62 (Sam Houston vs. Western Kentucky)

The 2025 NCAAF season begins with volatility, and disciplined investors will benefit from sticking to the numbers. As always — shop for value, play the percentages, and manage your bankroll like a pro.

🎥 Learn Ron’s System

📌 The Raymond Report Sports Betting System – Explained in 5 Minutes!