Categories: NFL

Denver Broncos (50.5) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (13) Prediction (12/06/2020)

Kansas City Chiefs' Damien Williams (26) scores a touchdown against the San Francisco 49ers during the second half of the NFL Super Bowl 54 football game Sunday, Feb. 2, 2020, in Miami Gardens, Fla. (AP Photo/Lynne Sladky)

Sports Handicapper Ron Raymond has released his free Raymond Report preview and prediction on tonight’s NFL Sunday Night Football game of the week between the Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs for Sunday, December 6th, 2020.

RAYMOND REPORT LITE (NFL)

Denver Broncos (50.5) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (13) Preview (12/06/2020)

Denver Broncos +13 ( +663 ) Vs. Kansas City Chiefs (Total:50.5)

Kansas City Chiefs -13 ( -909 ) Vs. Denver Broncos (Total:50.5)

Denver Broncos O/U :50.5	Vs. Date: 2020-12-06 Time: 21:20:00 Generated from 7 Previous Games	Kansas City Chiefs SIDE :13
11.75	Forecast (O/U 49.9 )	38.15
2-3	L5(SU)	5-0
2-3-0	L5(ATS)	2-2-1
2-3-0	L5(O/U)	3-2-0
24%	C.O.W	89.47%
61%	C.O.C	70%
61%	C.O.G.O	61%
7.78	MSV	-10
(C) NEUTRAL	PVI	(A) BULLISH
0-2	SU	3-0
1-1-0	ATS	2-1-0
1-1-0	O/U	1-2-0

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL,NFL & NCAAF)

C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The ‘Law of Average’ edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.

PVI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.
BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-1) in their last 3 games.
BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.

Denver Broncos (50.5) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (13) Prediction (12/06/2020)

Denver Broncos

Kansas City Chiefs

Line : 13

Line : -13

Money Line : +663

Money Line : -909

O/U : 50.5

Season Record :

SU: 4-7

ATS: 5-6-0

O/U: 5-6-0

SU: 10-1

ATS: 6-4-1

O/U: 5-6-0

Home Record :

SU: 2-4

ATS: 2-4-0

O/U: 2-4-0

SU: 4-1

ATS: 3-2-0

O/U: 2-3-0

Away Record :

SU: 2-3

ATS: 3-2-0

O/U: 3-2-0

SU: 6-0

ATS: 3-2-1

O/U: 3-3-0

Last game: Lost 31 – 3 vs NEW ORLEANS SAINTS

Last game: Win 27 – 24 vs TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS

SU: 2-1

ATS: 2-1-0

O/U: 3-0-0

SU: 0-3

ATS: 0-3-0

O/U: 3-0-0

Current game: vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Current game: vs. Denver Broncos

SU: 15-23

ATS: 18-19-1

O/U: 18-19-1

SU: 23-15

ATS: 19-18-1

O/U: 18-19-1

Next Game: At CAROLINA PANTHERS

Next Game: At MIAMI DOLPHINS

SU: 1-1

ATS: 0-1-1

O/U: 1-1-0

SU: 5-2

ATS: 4-3-0

O/U: 2-5-0

Days Rest : 6 (RD)

Days Rest : 6 (HF)

(L) SU: (20-45-0 )

ATS: (33-31-1 )

O/U: (36-28-1)

(L) SU: ( 42-17-1)

ATS: (29-30-1)

O/U: (32-27-1)

(T) SU: (0-2)

ATS: (0-2-0)

O/U: (1-1-0)

(T) SU: (3-0)

ATS: (2-1-0)

O/U: (1-2-0)

Streaks : 1 SU Lost – 1 ATS Lost – 3 Under

Streaks : 6 SU Win – 1 ATS Tie – 1 Under

Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 66.67%

Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 33.33%

Situational Stats

Home Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A

Home Favorite: 4 Win -1 Lost (PF)32 – (PA)22

Home Underdog: 2 Win -4 Lost (PF)15.67 – (PA)26.83

Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A

Road Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A

Road Favorite: 5 Win -0 Lost (PF)30.8 – (PA)21.6

Road Underdog: 2 Win -3 Lost (PF)23 – (PA)27.4

Road Underdog: 1 Win -0 Lost (PF)34 – (PA)20

Last 3 game: 1 Win 2 Lost (PF)11.67 – (PA)27

Last 3 game: 3 Win 0 Lost (PF)31.67 – (PA)28.67

Last 5 game: 2 Win 3 Lost (PF)18.6 – (PA)29

Last 5 game: 5 Win 0 Lost (PF)34.6 – (PA)22.2

Last 7 game: 3 Win 4 Lost (PF)18.14 – (PA)28.57

Last 7 game: 6 Win 1 Lost (PF)33 – (PA)24

Last 10 game: 4 Win 6 Lost (PF)19.5 – (PA)28.2

Last 10 game: 9 Win 1 Lost (PF)31.4 – (PA)21.8

Last 15 game: 4 Win 7 Lost (PF)19 – (PA)27.09

Last 15 game: 10 Win 1 Lost (PF)31.64 – (PA)21.64

Situations (Denver Broncos)

Situations (Kansas City Chiefs)

Coming off a vsNFC South opponent (NWO)

Coming off a vsNFC South opponent (T.B.)

Coming off a home underdog lost

Coming off a road favorite win

Coming off 3 unders

Coming off a 6 game winning streak

Coming off a game scored 3 points or less

Coming off 1 under

Coming off a game scored 31 points or more against

Coming off a game scored 27 points or more

Coming off 2 game home stand

Coming off a game scored 24 points or less against

Coming off 1 ATS lost

Coming off 2 game road stand

Trends

Query	ATS	SU	O/U
When DENVER BRONCOS team played as a Road team – Vs Division Opponent – Last 4 years – Coming off a loss	2-8-0	2-8	2-8-0

Query	ATS	SU	O/U
When KANSAS CITY CHIEFS team played as Home team as a Favorite – Last 5 years – Coming off a 1 under	8-7-0	12-3	6-8-1
When KANSAS CITY CHIEFS team played as a Home team – Last 4 years – Before a non division game – Coming off a Road win	7-5-0	10-2	3-9-0
When ANY NFL Team played as a Home team – With 6 days off – During Week 12 to 16 – Coming off a 5 game winning streak – Coming off back to back SU Road wins	13-11-3	23-4	10-17-0
When ANY NFL Team played as a Home team – During the month of December – During Week 12 to 16 – Coming off a 5 game winning streak – Coming off back to back SU Road wins	14-11-1	21-5	11-15-0
When ANY NFL Team played as Home team as a Favorite – Coming off vs National Conference opponent – During the month of December – Coming off a Road win as a Favorite – Coming off a 5 game winning streak	15-15-0	24-6	13-17-0

Ron Raymond

Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper and founder of ATSstats.com, creator of the Raymond Report sports betting system. Active in the industry since 1996, Ron has nearly three decades of experience analyzing market cycles, performance indicators, and value metrics across the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and CFL. Ron’s data-driven approach has helped thousands of bettors think strategically, manage risk, and win with confidence.

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