CARD OVERVIEW
Ron Raymond’s Raymond Report Tipsheet covers an 11-race Saturday card at Keeneland, beginning at 1:00 PM ET and closing with Race 11 at 6:20 PM ET. The schedule includes dirt and turf races, five opening races carrying purses from $110,000 to $140,000, two $400,000 stakes, and three high-value stakes to close the card.
Race 10 is the feature: a $1,250,000 stakes at one mile on the turf. Race 8 carries an $800,000 purse, while Race 9 carries $650,000.
The supplied sheet lists M/L prices for each horse. Pool totals, payouts and posted return figures were listed at $0.00 or were not posted at the time of publication. No results are included.
CARD AT A GLANCE
| Race | Purse | Type | Post | Distance / Surface | WIN Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $110,000 | Maiden Special Weight | 1:00 PM | 7 furlongs, dirt | (7) Mayfield |
| 2 | $120,000 | Allowance | 1:32 PM | 6 furlongs, dirt | (5) Dormie |
| 3 | $120,000 | Allowance | 2:04 PM | 1 3/16 miles, turf | (9) Charm of Venice |
| 4 | $140,000 | Allowance Optional Claiming | 2:36 PM | 6 1/2 furlongs, dirt | (6) Lips Say Bliss |
| 5 | $130,000 | Allowance Optional Claiming | 3:08 PM | 1 1/8 miles, dirt | (6) Copper Missile |
| 6 | $400,000 | Stakes | 3:40 PM | 5 1/2 furlongs, turf | (5) Okiro |
| 7 | $400,000 | Stakes | 4:12 PM | 6 1/2 furlongs, dirt | (3) Queen’s Martini |
| 8 | $800,000 | Stakes | 4:44 PM | 1 mile, turf | (2) Lush Lips |
| 9 | $650,000 | Stakes | 5:16 PM | 1 1/16 miles, dirt | (2) Q B Rocket |
| 10 | $1,250,000 | Stakes, Feature | 5:48 PM | 1 mile, turf | (8) Kupuna |
| 11 | $110,000 | Maiden Special Weight | 6:20 PM | 6 furlongs, dirt | (1) Niosa |
RACE-BY-RACE RAYMOND REPORT
RACE 1: $110,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Post: 1:00 PM | Distance: 7 furlongs | Surface: Dirt
| Position | Horse | Jockey | M/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | (7) Mayfield | T Gaffalione (35%) | 6-1 |
| PLACE | (5) Alworth | L Saez (34%) | 9-2 |
| SHOW | (3) Summit Ridge | E Morales (28%) | 12-1 |
| JOKER | (8) Unlimited | J Alvarado (29%) | 10-1 |
| ALT 1 | (2) Commentate | J L Ortiz | 3-1 |
| ALT 2 | (4) Dream Machine | I Ortiz, Jr. | 9-5 |
Exacta: 7/5 BOX, 5/3 BOX, 3/8 BOX
Trifecta: 7/5/3 BOX, 8/5/3 BOX
Pool note: Total pool odds listed for 8 horses.
Best WIN percentage record: 5/1.
Best trainer IN THE MONEY record: 4/1/2/8.
Data note: The alternates are the two shortest listed prices: Dream Machine at 9-5 and Commentate at 3-1. The WIN pick, Mayfield, is listed at 6-1.
RACE 2: $120,000 ALLOWANCE
Post: 1:32 PM | Distance: 6 furlongs | Surface: Dirt
| Position | Horse | Jockey | M/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | (5) Dormie | L Saez (34%) | 4-1 |
| PLACE | (3) Never a Doubt | J Alvarado (29%) | 6-1 |
| SHOW | (6) Maker of Mischief | J L Ortiz (27%) | 3-1 |
| JOKER | (4) Never Sleep | J Loveberry (23%) | 5-1 |
| ALT 1 | (2) Game Sayayin | C E Rojas | 8-1 |
| ALT 2 | (1) Chancery | A Concepcion | 8-5 |
Exacta: 5/3 BOX, 3/6 BOX, 6/4 BOX
Trifecta: 5/3/6 BOX, 4/3/6 BOX
Pool note: Total pool odds listed for 6 horses.
Best WIN percentage record: 1.
Best trainer IN THE MONEY record: 4/3/5/6.
RACE 3: $120,000 ALLOWANCE
Post: 2:04 PM | Distance: 1 3/16 miles | Surface: Turf
| Position | Horse | Jockey | M/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | (9) Charm of Venice | T Gaffalione (35%) | 5-1 |
| PLACE | (1) Marcinkowski | L Saez (34%) | 8-1 |
| SHOW | (4) Paseo | B J Hernandez, Jr. (30%) | 10-1 |
| JOKER | (8) Classic Glide | C A Torres (29%) | 15-1 |
| ALT 1 | (11) Tulip | J Alvarado | 3-1 |
| ALT 2 | (5) Episist | J L Ortiz | 6-1 |
Exacta: 9/1 BOX, 1/4 BOX, 4/8 BOX
Trifecta: 9/1/4 BOX, 8/1/4 BOX
Pool note: Total pool odds listed for 11 horses.
Best WIN percentage record: 1.
Best trainer IN THE MONEY record: 11/3/10/5.
RACE 4: $140,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
Post: 2:36 PM | Distance: 6 1/2 furlongs | Surface: Dirt
| Position | Horse | Jockey | M/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | (6) Lips Say Bliss | T Gaffalione (35%) | 7-2 |
| PLACE | (1) Autodrive | B J Hernandez, Jr. (30%) | 9-2 |
| SHOW | (3) C K Wonder | J L Ortiz (27%) | 5-2 |
| JOKER | (4) Durante | I Ortiz, Jr. (20%) | 6-1 |
| ALT 1 | (5) Touch of Destiny | J Graham | 30-1 |
| ALT 2 | (2) Floodlites | J R Velazquez | 7-5 |
Exacta: 6/1 BOX, 1/3 BOX, 3/4 BOX
Trifecta: 6/1/3 BOX, 4/1/3 BOX
Pool note: Total pool odds listed for 6 horses.
Best WIN percentage record: 1.
Best trainer IN THE MONEY record: 2/6/1/4.
RACE 5: $130,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
Post: 3:08 PM | Distance: 1 1/8 miles | Surface: Dirt
| Position | Horse | Jockey | M/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | (6) Copper Missile | D Machado (41%) | 20-1 |
| PLACE | (1) Urban Planner | T Gaffalione (35%) | 12-1 |
| SHOW | (3) First Resort | L Saez (34%) | 8-1 |
| JOKER | (10) Who Dey | B J Hernandez, Jr. (30%) | 4-1 |
| ALT 1 | (7) Archie the Giza | C A Torres | 10-1 |
| ALT 2 | (5) Groveland | F Arrieta | 20-1 |
Exacta: 6/1 BOX, 1/3 BOX, 3/10 BOX
Trifecta: 6/1/3 BOX, 10/1/3 BOX
Pool note: Total pool odds listed for 10 horses.
Best WIN percentage record: 1.
Best trainer IN THE MONEY record: 8/5/3/6.
Price-point note: Copper Missile is the largest WIN-line upset profile in the supplied card data at 20-1. Urban Planner is listed at 12-1 on the PLACE line. The WIN selection is paired with D Machado, whose listed jockey percentage of 41% is the highest on the card.
RACE 6: $400,000 STAKES
Post: 3:40 PM | Distance: 5 1/2 furlongs | Surface: Turf
| Position | Horse | Jockey | M/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | (5) Okiro | T Gaffalione (35%) | 12-1 |
| PLACE | (8) My Boy Prince | L Saez (34%) | 5-1 |
| SHOW | (3) No Nay Hudson | J L Ortiz (27%) | 8-1 |
| JOKER | (6) Joe Shiesty | F De La Cruz (22%) | 5-2 |
| ALT 1 | (4) Nobals | G Corrales | 15-1 |
| ALT 2 | (10) Doncho | I Ortiz, Jr. | 7-2 |
Exacta: 5/8 BOX, 8/3 BOX, 3/6 BOX
Trifecta: 5/8/3 BOX, 6/8/3 BOX
Pool note: Total pool odds listed for 10 horses.
Best WIN percentage record: 1.
Best trainer IN THE MONEY record: 4/2/3/1.
RACE 7: $400,000 STAKES
Post: 4:12 PM | Distance: 6 1/2 furlongs | Surface: Dirt
| Position | Horse | Jockey | M/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | (3) Queen’s Martini | T Gaffalione (35%) | 30-1 |
| PLACE | (7) Echo Sound | L Saez (34%) | 5-2 |
| SHOW | (5) Zeitlos | B J Hernandez, Jr. (30%) | 6-1 |
| JOKER | (2) Jersey Pearl | F Arrieta (29%) | 15-1 |
| ALT 1 | (4) Evanescence | J L Ortiz | 4-1 |
| ALT 2 | (6) Eclatant | I Ortiz, Jr. | 6-5 |
Exacta: 3/7 BOX, 7/5 BOX, 5/2 BOX
Trifecta: 3/7/5 BOX, 2/7/5 BOX
Pool note: Total pool odds listed for 7 horses.
Best WIN percentage record: 1.
Best trainer IN THE MONEY record: 6/7/4/5.
Price-point note: Queen’s Martini is listed at 30-1, the longest WIN-line price on the card, in a $400,000 stakes. Eclatant, the second alternate, is listed at 6-5.
RACE 8: $800,000 STAKES
Post: 4:44 PM | Distance: 1 mile | Surface: Turf
| Position | Horse | Jockey | M/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | (2) Lush Lips | T Gaffalione (35%) | 8-1 |
| PLACE | (4) Expensive Queen | L Saez (34%) | 9-2 |
| SHOW | (10) Bless the Broken | B J Hernandez, Jr. (30%) | 12-1 |
| JOKER | (6) Deep Satin | J L Ortiz (27%) | 8-1 |
| ALT 1 | (1) Pin Up Betty | B Curtis | 20-1 |
| ALT 2 | (7) Love You Anyway | A Concepcion | 30-1 |
Exacta: 2/4 BOX, 4/10 BOX, 10/6 BOX
Trifecta: 2/4/10 BOX, 6/4/10 BOX
Pool note: Total pool odds listed for 11 horses.
Best WIN percentage record: 1.
Best trainer IN THE MONEY record: 8/10/7/1.
RACE 9: $650,000 STAKES
Post: 5:16 PM | Distance: 1 1/16 miles | Surface: Dirt
| Position | Horse | Jockey | M/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | (2) Q B Rocket | J Alvarado (29%) | 2-1 |
| PLACE | (1) Coach Pope | J L Ortiz (27%) | 4-5 |
| SHOW | (4) Title Worthy | G Corrales (21%) | 20-1 |
| JOKER | (5) Jaded | I Ortiz, Jr. (20%) | 15-1 |
| ALT 1 | (6) American History | J R Velazquez | 4-1 |
| ALT 2 | (3) Phone Booth | U Rispoli | 12-1 |
Exacta: 2/1 BOX, 1/4 BOX, 4/5 BOX
Trifecta: 2/1/4 BOX, 5/1/4 BOX
Pool note: Total pool odds listed for 6 horses.
Best WIN percentage record: 1.
Best trainer IN THE MONEY record: 2/3/5/1.
Price-point note: Coach Pope carries the shortest listed price on the entire card at 4-5 on the PLACE line.
RACE 10, $1,250,000 STAKES, FEATURE
Post: 5:48 PM | Distance: 1 mile | Surface: Turf
| Position | Horse | Jockey | M/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | (8) Kupuna | T Gaffalione (35%) | 15-1 |
| PLACE | (2) Brilliant Berti | B J Hernandez, Jr. (30%) | 6-1 |
| SHOW | (5) Pass the Hat | J Alvarado (29%) | 8-1 |
| JOKER | (9) Zulu Kingdom | J L Ortiz (27%) | 3-1 |
| ALT 1 | (6) Plensa | A Concepcion | 30-1 |
| ALT 2 | (3) Rhetorical | I Ortiz, Jr. | 2-1 |
Exacta: 8/2 BOX, 2/5 BOX, 5/9 BOX
Trifecta: 8/2/5 BOX, 9/2/5 BOX
Pool note: Total pool odds listed for 9 horses.
Best WIN percentage record: 3/1.
Best trainer IN THE MONEY record: 3/9/5/7.
Feature note: The richest race on the card carries a 15-1 WIN line for Kupuna. Rhetorical, the 2-1 favorite, is listed as the second alternate.
RACE 11: $110,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Post: 6:20 PM | Distance: 6 furlongs | Surface: Dirt
| Position | Horse | Jockey | M/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | (1) Niosa | T Gaffalione (35%) | 5-1 |
| PLACE | (7) Pastya | L Saez (34%) | 6-1 |
| SHOW | (11) Life On Marz | B J Hernandez, Jr. (30%) | 12-1 |
| JOKER | (3) Rock Your Dreams | E Esquivel (28%) | 3-1 |
| ALT 1 | (2) Right in Time | J Alvarado | 9-2 |
| ALT 2 | (12) Nu Why Me | F Arrieta | 20-1 |
Exacta: 1/7 BOX, 7/11 BOX, 11/3 BOX
Trifecta: 1/7/11 BOX, 3/7/11 BOX
Pool note: Total pool odds listed for 16 horses.
Best WIN percentage record: 1.
Best trainer IN THE MONEY record: 10/7/12/5.
JOCKEY WATCH
T Gaffalione is the dominant WIN-line rider in the supplied sheet. He is listed on the WIN pick in eight of 11 races: Races 1, 3, 4, 6, 7, 8, 10 and 11, all at a listed 35%.
D Machado carries the highest listed percentage at 41% and appears once, aboard the 20-1 WIN selection Copper Missile in Race 5. L Saez is listed on the PLACE line in six race rows: Races 1, 3, 6, 7, 8 and 11. The supplied note describes eight PLACE-line appearances, but the individual race data shows six; both figures are preserved here as supplied.
| Jockey | Listed percentage |
|---|---|
| D Machado | 41% |
| T Gaffalione | 35% |
| L Saez | 34% |
| B J Hernandez, Jr. | 30% |
| J Alvarado | 29% |
| C A Torres | 29% |
| F Arrieta | 29% |
| E Morales | 28% |
| E Esquivel | 28% |
| J L Ortiz | 27% |
| J Loveberry | 23% |
| F De La Cruz | 22% |
| G Corrales | 21% |
| I Ortiz, Jr. | 20% |
The Ortiz riders occupy different positions across the report. J L Ortiz appears primarily on SHOW and alternate lines. I Ortiz, Jr. appears predominantly on JOKER and alternate lines, including listed favorites or short prices in the supplied data: Dream Machine at 9-5 in Race 1, Chancery at 8-5 in Race 2, Eclatant at 6-5 in Race 7, Doncho at 7-2 in Race 6 and Rhetorical at 2-1 in Race 10.
FEATURE RACES: 8, 9 AND 10
The purse progression accelerates late:
$110K / $120K / $120K / $140K / $130K in Races 1–5, followed by $400K / $400K in Races 6–7, then $800K / $650K / $1.25M in Races 8–10.
Race 8 is a one-mile turf stakes with Lush Lips on top at 8-1. The primary combinations are 2/4 BOX, 4/10 BOX and 10/6 BOX, with the trifecta sequences 2/4/10 BOX and 6/4/10 BOX.
Race 9 is a 1 1/16-mile dirt stakes led by Q B Rocket at 2-1. Coach Pope is the PLACE pick at the card’s shortest listed price, 4-5. The report’s main combinations are 2/1 BOX, 1/4 BOX, 4/5 BOX, plus 2/1/4 BOX and 5/1/4 BOX in the trifecta.
Race 10 is the day’s $1,250,000 feature. Kupuna is the WIN pick at 15-1, with Brilliant Berti at 6-1 and Pass the Hat at 8-1 underneath. The strongest listed combinations are 8/2 BOX, 2/5 BOX, 5/9 BOX, 8/2/5 BOX and 9/2/5 BOX.
CLOSING SUMMARY
The Keeneland card contains 11 races, with first post at 1:00 PM ET and the $1,250,000 feature scheduled for 5:48 PM ET.
Primary longshot WIN lines include:
- Race 5: (6) Copper Missile at 20-1.
- Race 7: (3) Queen’s Martini at 30-1.
- Race 10: (8) Kupuna at 15-1.
The stakes-focused Exacta sequences are:
- Race 6: 5/8 BOX, 8/3 BOX, 3/6 BOX.
- Race 7: 3/7 BOX, 7/5 BOX, 5/2 BOX.
- Race 8: 2/4 BOX, 4/10 BOX, 10/6 BOX.
- Race 9: 2/1 BOX, 1/4 BOX, 4/5 BOX.
- Race 10: 8/2 BOX, 2/5 BOX, 5/9 BOX.
The stakes Trifecta sequences are:
- Race 6: 5/8/3 BOX, 6/8/3 BOX.
- Race 7: 3/7/5 BOX, 2/7/5 BOX.
- Race 8: 2/4/10 BOX, 6/4/10 BOX.
- Race 9: 2/1/4 BOX, 5/1/4 BOX.
- Race 10: 8/2/5 BOX, 9/2/5 BOX.
The M/L prices shown above are the supplied listed prices. Pool odds, payouts and return figures were not posted and were shown as $0.00 in the source sheet at the time of publication. Review final tote information before making any wagering decision. Visit ATS Stats for additional sports betting statistics and analytical content.
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