LA Lakers vs. Memphis Grizzlies: Game Preview and Analysis (11/06/24)

In this matchup, the Lakers and Grizzlies showcase closely aligned offensive averages but some differences in recent performance and situational stats. Here’s an analysis of their strengths and projected outcomes.

Season Averages: Offense and Defense

All Games Average:

• Lakers: 116.14 points scored, 118.43 points allowed.
• Grizzlies: 117.13 points scored, 115 points allowed.

Edge: Both teams are high-scoring but struggle defensively, suggesting a potentially high-scoring game if both offenses are in rhythm.

Home vs. Road Performance

• Lakers on the Road: 112.25 points scored, 120.75 points allowed.
• Grizzlies at Home: 118.75 points scored, 113.75 points allowed.

Edge: Memphis performs well offensively at home, with a more stable defense than the Lakers’ road defense. The Lakers’ higher points allowed on the road could open opportunities for Memphis to capitalize.

Recent Form

Last 3 Games:

• Lakers: 114.67 points scored, 124.67 points allowed.
• Grizzlies: 116.67 points scored, 104 points allowed.

Edge: Memphis has tightened up defensively over the last three games, allowing only 104 points on average, which may pose a challenge for the Lakers.

Situational Performance

• Against Division Opponents:
• Lakers: 119.67 points scored, 117.33 points allowed.
• Grizzlies: 108 points scored, 128 points allowed.

Edge: The Lakers have shown better offensive consistency in division games, while Memphis’s defense has struggled in these situations.

Performance Following Wins and Losses

• After a Loss:
• Lakers: 120.5 points scored, 129.5 points allowed.
• Grizzlies: 117.33 points scored, 109.67 points allowed.

Edge: Memphis bounces back well defensively following losses, while the Lakers’ post-loss defense tends to falter, allowing 129.5 points. This may give Memphis an edge if both teams come off losses.

Projected Score and Key Factors

Projected Score: Memphis 118, Lakers 114

Key Factors:

• Memphis’s Home Defense: Memphis has a defensive advantage at home, which could make it harder for the Lakers to establish offensive momentum.
• Lakers’ Inconsistency on the Road: The Lakers struggle defensively on the road, often allowing more points than their average, which Memphis can exploit.
• Grizzlies’ Recent Defensive Form: Memphis’s recent trend of improved defense over the last three games could tilt the matchup in their favor, especially if they continue this trend.

Overall, Memphis’s home court, better recent defensive form, and ability to capitalize on the Lakers’ road weaknesses suggest they have the advantage in this matchup.