Market Pulse Correction Report: Thursday, December 12th, 2024

The NHL market continues its bullish trend for favorites SU, with 61.8% YTD and an impressive 65.7% SU over the last 3 days. However, the ATS market remains heavily bearish, as underdogs are covering 71.3% of the time over the past 3 days. The Over/Under market trends neutral to bearish, with 70.7% of games hitting the Under in the last 3 days.

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Key Corrections to Monitor in NHL:

1. ATS Performance of Favorites: While favorites are consistently winning SU, their inability to cover indicates a market correction for ATS. Underdogs offer strong value in spots where favorites are overvalued.
2. Totals Leaning Under: With 70.7% of games going Under over the last 3 days, expect potential regression toward more balanced scoring outcomes.

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NBA Market Analysis

The NBA market is showing bullish performance for favorites SU, winning 83.3% over the past 3 days. However, both ATS and Over/Under markets are bearish, with dogs covering 83.3% of the time ATS in the past 3 days, and only 16.7% of games going Over in that span.

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Key Corrections to Monitor in NBA:

1. ATS Value with Underdogs: With favorites dominating SU but struggling ATS, look for underdogs to continue covering as public perception overweights the favorite’s likelihood to cover.
2. Low-Scoring Trend: The Over has hit just 16.7% of the time over the past 3 days, which could signal an impending correction toward higher-scoring games.

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Market Pulse Predictions:

• NHL:
  • Totals Lean Under: Monitor games with inflated totals (6.5+) for potential unders, leveraging the strong bearish trend.
  • ATS Underdogs: Identify live underdogs where the line provides extra value against an inflated favorite.
• NBA:
  • ATS Dogs: Focus on strong underdog spots, particularly road teams with competitive ATS records.
  • Overs Correction: Look for games featuring teams with high offensive efficiencies to rebound against the recent under trend.

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Conclusion

Today’s betting landscape presents corrections favoring ATS underdogs and totals trending neutral or reversing bearish trends. By staying attuned to these shifts, bettors can capitalize on market inefficiencies and adjust strategies accordingly.