Categories: NBA

Miami Heat vs. Los Angeles Lakers NBA Finals Preview (09/30/2020)

Miami Heat vs. Los Angeles Lakers NBA Finals Preview (09/30/2020) – Sports Handicapper Ron Raymond has released his NBA Finals Preview for the game between the Miami Heat vs. Los Angeles Lakers for Wednesday, September 30th, 2020. The Raymond Report is a sports betting tipsheet based on 3 key fundamentals of handicapping, value, percentage play and performance cycles. Get your NBA Prediction using the Raymond Report sports betting tipsheet.

Get the full Raymond Report on tonight’s Heat vs. Lakers game inside the members area.

Miami Heat (217.5) vs. Los Angeles Lakers (4.5) NBA Finals Preview (09/30/2020)

Miami Heat +4.5   ( +170 ) Vs. Los Angeles Lakers (Total:217.5) Los Angeles Lakers -4.5  ( -200 ) Vs. Miami Heat (Total:217.5)

Miami Heat
O/U :217.5

Vs.
Date: 2020-09-30
Time: 21:00:00
Generated from 19
Previous Games

Los Angeles Lakers
SIDE :4.5

103.35 Forecast
(O/U 212.35 )
109
7-3 L10(SU) 8-2
8-2-0 L10(ATS) 6-3-1
7-3-0 L10(O/U) 5-5-0
31.82% C.O.W 79.17%
39% C.O.C 48%
24% C.O.G.O 24%
-3.41 MSV -6.04
(A) BULLISH PVI (A) BULLISH
14-12 SU 12-7
14-11-2 ATS 9-10-0
15-12-0 O/U 8-11-0
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (NBA)
C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The ‘Law of Average’ edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.

PVI = (Performance Value Index) – The Performance Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 7-game cycle.
BULLISH = Team is either (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) in their last 7 games.
NEUTRAL = Team is either (3-4 or 4-3) in their last 7 games.
BEARISH = Team is either (0-7, 1-6 or 2-5) in their last 7 games.

Miami Heat (217.5) vs. Los Angeles Lakers (4.5) NBA Finals Preview (09/30/2020)

 

Miami Heat Los Angeles Lakers
Line : 4.5 Line : -4.5
MoneyLine : +170 MoneyLine : -200
O/U : 217.5 O/U : 217.5
Season Record : Season Record :
SU: 56-32 ATS: 48-38-2 O/U: 51-36-1
SU: 64-22 ATS: 45-38-3 O/U: 41-45-0
Home Record : Home Record :
SU: 34-9 ATS: 27-15-1 O/U: 28-15-0
SU: 32-12 ATS: 23-20-1 O/U: 19-25-0
Away Record : Away Record :
SU: 22-23 ATS: 21-23-1 O/U: 23-21-1
SU: 32-10 ATS: 22-18-2 O/U: 22-20-0
Last game: Won 113 – 125 vs Boston Celtics Last game: Won 107 – 117 vs Denver Nuggets
SU: 54-44 ATS: 47-51-1 O/U: 43-56-0
SU: 37-22 ATS: 32-26-1 O/U: 29-28-2
Current game: vs. Los Angeles Lakers Current game: vs. Miami Heat
SU: 9-15 ATS: 11-13-0 O/U: 9-15-0
SU: 15-9 ATS: 13-11-0 O/U: 9-15-0
Next Game: Vs. Next Game: Vs.
SU: 0-0 ATS: 0-0-0 O/U: 0-0-0
SU: 0-0 ATS: 0-0-0 O/U: 0-0-0
Days Rest : 2 (+3.5/+6.0 RD) Days Rest : 3 (-3.5/-6.0 HF)
(L) SU: (7-21-0 ) ATS: (10-16-2 ) O/U: (12-15-1)
(L) SU: ( 2-1-0) ATS: (1-2-0) O/U: (1-2-0)
(T) SU: (0-0) ATS: (0-0-0) O/U: (0-0-0)
(T) SU: (0-0) ATS: (0-0-0) O/U: (0-0-0)
Streaks : 1 SU Win – 1 ATS Win – 4 Over Streaks : 2 SU Win – 1 ATS Win – 3 Over
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 42.86% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 38.78%
Situational Stats Situational Stats
Home Favorite: 28 Win -3 Lost   (PF)116.19 – (PA)106.35 Home Favorite: 32 Win -12 Lost   (PF)113.64 – (PA)106.23
Home Underdog: 6 Win -6 Lost   (PF)113.42 – (PA)109.42 Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Road Favorite: 12 Win -10 Lost   (PF)109.91 – (PA)107.64 Road Favorite: 25 Win -8 Lost   (PF)113.03 – (PA)108.94
Road Underdog: 10 Win -13 Lost   (PF)107.87 – (PA)112.78 Road Underdog: 7 Win -2 Lost   (PF)114.78 – (PA)108
Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (PF)115 – (PA)114.33 Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (PF)112.33 – (PA)109.67
Last 5 game: 3 Win 2 Lost    (PF)111.4 – (PA)112.2 Last 5 game: 4 Win 1 Lost    (PF)113.6 – (PA)109.2
Last 7 game: 5 Win 2 Lost   (PF)111 – (PA)109.86 Last 7 game: 6 Win 1 Lost   (PF)113.86 – (PA)106
Last 10 game: 7 Win 3 Lost   (PF)112.3 – (PA)110.1 Last 10 game: 8 Win 2 Lost   (PF)112.3 – (PA)106.5
Last 15 game: 12 Win 3 Lost   (PF)112.2 – (PA)107.2 Last 15 game: 12 Win 3 Lost   (PF)113.93 – (PA)106.53
Situations (Miami Heat) Situations (Los Angeles Lakers)
Coming off a vs. Atlantic Opponent. (BOS) Coming off a vs. Northwest Opponent. (DEN)
Coming off a home underdog win Coming off a home fav win
Coming off a 1 game winning streak Coming off a 2 game winning streak
Coming off 4 overs Coming off 3 overs
Scored 120 or more points FOR in their last game Scored 115 or more points FOR in their last game
Allowed 116 or less points AGAINST in their last game Allowed 110 or less points AGAINST in their last game
Coming off a 1 game Home Stand Coming off a 1 game Home Stand
Coming off 1 ATS win Coming off 1 ATS win
After 2 days off After 3 day off
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
Query ATS SU O/U
Ron Raymond
Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper and founder of ATSstats.com, creator of the Raymond Report sports betting system. Active in the industry since 1996, Ron has nearly three decades of experience analyzing market cycles, performance indicators, and value metrics across the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and CFL. Ron’s data-driven approach has helped thousands of bettors think strategically, manage risk, and win with confidence.
Ron Raymond

Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper and founder of ATSstats.com, creator of the Raymond Report sports betting system. Active in the industry since 1996, Ron has nearly three decades of experience analyzing market cycles, performance indicators, and value metrics across the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and CFL. Ron’s data-driven approach has helped thousands of bettors think strategically, manage risk, and win with confidence.

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