MLB 80% Club: Stats the Sportsbooks Don’t Want You to See

By 80% Club Stats – ATSSTATS.com Contributor
Tuesday, May 6th, 2025

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As the MLB season moves into full swing, sharp bettors are digging past batting averages and ERA to uncover one of the most valuable tools in their arsenal: historical system trends. At ATSStats.com, the 80% Club tracks these golden nuggets — trends that hit at 80% or better over a significant sample size — and turns them into actionable insights for bettors.

Today, the 80% Club highlights a few key matchups and trends that could shape your Tuesday betting card.

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Dodgers Dominate Marlins in Head-to-Head Matchups

One of the most glaring trends on the board today involves the Los Angeles Dodgers when facing the Miami Marlins. In their last 15 matchups — whether home or away — the Dodgers are 11-4 straight up and a staggering 13-2 to the Over.

That’s not just a trend; that’s a blueprint.

With both teams clashing again today, bettors would be wise to consider not just backing the Dodgers, but also expecting a higher-scoring affair.

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Rasmussen’s Unders: Pitching Edge or Bookmaker’s Blind Spot?

Drew Rasmussen continues to be a quiet moneymaker for Under bettors. When his teams have played with totals between 7.5 and 8.0, they’ve gone 2-12-1 to the Under. That’s not an accident — it’s consistency.

If Rasmussen toes the rubber today under similar conditions, the Under deserves serious attention.

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Arizona’s May Malaise Continues

Historically, the Diamondbacks have struggled in May, posting a 2-8 record straight up and an equally underwhelming 2-8 Over/Under record. Whether it’s a scheduling quirk or a slow-starting roster, May simply hasn’t been kind to the snakes in the desert.

They’re a fade candidate until this trend reverses — if it ever does.

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White Sox Woes vs. Royals

The Chicago White Sox, when listed as underdogs against the Kansas City Royals, have lost 9 of the last 10 meetings. More troubling, they’ve also gone just 2-8 to the Over/Under, indicating not just losses, but underwhelming offensive performances.

This is not a rivalry — it’s a one-sided affair.

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Smart Money on the Yankees Bounce-Back

If there’s one team that knows how to rebound, it’s the New York Yankees. After losing a one-run game and allowing four runs, the Yankees have gone 10-2 in their next game under those same circumstances. They’re also 16-3 at home against NL West teams after a loss in that context.

Sometimes the pinstripes just write their own narrative — and it often ends in victory.

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Today’s Sharpest Situational Angles

• Atlanta Braves, as a -220 to -240 favorite on a Tuesday: 12-1 SU
• Chicago Cubs, as a home favorite in May (between -140 and -160): 12-3 SU
• Colorado Rockies, as underdogs after three straight losses: 1-10 SU, 2-9 O/U

While trends alone don’t guarantee wins, they do offer a peek behind the curtain — especially when they’ve stood the test of time over dozens of games and multiple seasons.

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Final Word: Follow the Numbers, Not the Noise

In an industry full of hype and hot takes, the 80% Club delivers something rare: verified performance-based data that cuts through the guesswork.

As you build your card for today, remember: trends don’t lie, but people often do.

Get the full suite of today’s 80% Club betting angles at www.atsstats.com. The reports are free — the edge is yours.

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📌 For more insights, follow us on Twitter @ATSStats and join the 80% Club every day for the sharpest angles in the game.

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