By Ron Raymond – ATS STATS
Welcome to Monday’s edition of MLB Fun Fact, where sharp bettors get smarter. Today’s 15-game board offers everything from bounce-back spots and potential letdowns to sizzling streaks and overvalued favorites. Whether you’re chasing market inefficiencies or fading the public, the Raymond Report has the data you need to make better betting decisions. Let’s jump into it!
The Milwaukee Brewers are baseball’s hottest team, riding a 10-game win streak into Seattle. Even with Brandon Woodruff on the hill and a bullish V.I.C. Rating, they’re slight dogs at +117. The Seattle Mariners, meanwhile, are coming off a rough 11-3 loss to Houston.
📌 Key Stat: Milwaukee’s Value Index sits at +130, and they’ve cashed 6 of their last 10 OVERs. If you believe in momentum, the Brew Crew is your squad tonight.
The New York Yankees are short favorites at -120 vs. the Toronto Blue Jays, who have won 3 straight. With both teams going 7-3 in their last 10 and Kevin Gausman vs. Carlos Rodón on the bump, this has classic coin-flip written all over it.
📌 COGO Alert: Just 42% for both teams, suggesting value on the UNDER (Total: 8).
The New York Mets have hit the OVER in 9 of their last 10 and take on the Angels with Tyler Anderson on the mound. Total is 8, but with the Mets’ offense rolling and Anderson’s 54% C.O.W., this could be a sneaky OVER play once again.
📌 Public Play Watch: Mets are -193 favorites, which screams inflated line — careful chasing chalk here.
The Dodgers are massive -198 favorites tonight vs. the Twins, but L.A. has dropped 3 straight and is just 2-8 SU in their last 10. Despite Dustin May’s 60.64% C.O.W., this may be a good day to fade inflated value.
📌 Raymond Report Red Flag: -274.57 VI = Most overvalued team on today’s board.
The Cleveland Guardians have quietly won 8 of their last 10 and face the Orioles at home. Tanner Bibee gets the nod and comes in with a solid 55.75% C.O.W. The Guardians are only -137 despite a bullish V.I.C. and favorable trends.
📌 Sneaky Value Alert: Guardians are 4-0 in Bibee’s last 4 starts at home vs sub-.500 teams.
The San Francisco Giants are in a world of pain with 5 straight losses and facing a Braves team with Bryce Elder starting. Despite Atlanta’s own 2-game skid, they’re short -126 favorites at home.
📌 Law of Average Play: This could be the night the Giants finally break the slump — value bettors take note.
Did You Know?
The Kansas City Royals are 6-4 SU in their last 10 but still getting undervalued by the market. Their Value Index sits at +138.33 today vs. the Cubs. With the Cubs off a loss and Royals heating up, this might be one of those sharp dog plays the books won’t love.
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🎯 Let the data lead the way. Ride the market edges. Cash it!
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