MLB Game Preview: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox (4/8/25)

📍 Fenway Park, Boston | Tuesday, April 8, 2025 | First Pitch: 6:45 PM EST
🧠 Powered by The Raymond Report – ATSSTATS.com

---

🧾 Game Line

• Toronto Blue Jays: +170 ML | +1.5 RL
• Boston Red Sox: -205 ML | -1.5 RL
• Over/Under: 8

---

⚾ Starting Pitchers

Toronto Blue Jays: Easton Lucas (LHP)

• Last 3 Games: 1-0 (RF: 4.0, RA: 2.0)
• Yet to allow more than 2 runs this season
• Strong early control, still gaining MLB experience

Boston Red Sox: Garrett Crochet (LHP)

• First official start in 2025
• No recent sample at starter; used primarily in relief in prior seasons
• Big stage debut as Boston looks to bounce back at home

---

🔍 Recent Performance & Trends

Team	SU	ATS	O/U	Last Game
Toronto	6-5	8-3-0	3-8-0	Won 6-2 vs BOS
Boston	6-5	7-4-0	4-6-1	Lost 6-2 vs TOR

Last 5 Games:

• TOR: 2-3 SU (RF: 2.6, RA: 2.8)
• BOS: 4-1 SU (RF: 9.2, RA: 6.0)

Last 10 Games:

• TOR: 6-4 SU (RF: 3.9, RA: 3.1)
• BOS: 5-5 SU (RF: 6.0, RA: 4.9)

---

📊 Raymond Report Indicators

Metric	Toronto	Boston
C.O.W. (Chances of Winning)	35.08%	65.09%
C.O.G.O. (Chances of Game Going Over)	71%	71%
DMVI (Market Value Index)	-110	108
VIC (Market Confidence)	B (Neutral – 3 Days)	B (Bullish – 2 Days)
SOS (Last 7 Games)	65.31%	32.66%

---

🧠 Situational Breakdown

Toronto Blue Jays

• Coming off a 4-game road trip
• Facing an AL East opponent after a win
• Riding an 8-game Under streak
• 1-3 SU on the road (0-4 O/U on the road)
• Averaging just 2.25 runs per game on the road as an underdog

Boston Red Sox

• Coming off a 4-game home stand
• Facing an AL East opponent after a loss
• Averaging 9.2 runs over their last 5 games
• 3-1 SU at home this season
• Have hit the Over in only 2 of 8 home games this year

---

🔎 Notable Trends

• Blue Jays:
  • The Under is 15-41-1 when playing as a road team in April over the last 4 seasons
  • 8-3 ATS overall this season, with solid run line value
• Red Sox:
  • In this exact scenario (Home vs. Lefty, Game 2 of a series, off an Under and AL East loss), Boston is just 4-8 SU, but 10-2 O/U

---

📬 Final Thoughts

The Red Sox come in as heavy favorites after dropping the opener, but with a fresh face on the mound in Garrett Crochet. Toronto’s Easton Lucas is off to a solid start and will look to continue keeping hitters off-balance. Both teams enter this one at 6-5 on the season, but approach the game with very different profiles — Boston with firepower, Toronto with discipline and unders.

With a total sitting at 8, and both pitchers still proving their MLB staying power, tonight’s matchup could come down to bullpen depth and situational hitting.

---

For more insights like this, including Ron’s daily premium picks, system indicators, and betting tools, visit 👉 ATSSTATS.com

🧠 Data-driven. No fluff. Just winning intelligence.

---