The Raymond Report MLB Market Value Index (MVI) is here for Friday, August 22, 2025, and today’s chart gives us a crystal-clear look at which teams are bullish buys, bearish fades, and sneaky dogs hiding in plain sight. Let’s break it down.
🔝 A-Tier: Milwaukee Brewers (NEUTRAL)
- Record: 80-48 (.63)
- Market Value: -250 | Confidence: 42%
- Cycle: 3-4 L7, 1W | Status: Neutral
Milwaukee is the lone “A” grade, but they’re overpriced and in a neutral cycle. At -250 MVI, the Brewers are overvalued in the market. Bettors should avoid paying the premium unless they catch a soft matchup.
🥈 B-Tier: Contenders with Market Value
🔥 Bullish Teams (Buy Signals)
- Detroit Tigers (76-53) – 6-1 last 7, 3-game win streak, 85% confidence. One of the best value plays right now.
- Philadelphia Phillies (74-53) – 4 straight wins, bullish with 71% confidence.
- Chicago Cubs (73-55) – 5-2 run, undervalued compared to record.
- Los Angeles Dodgers (73-55) – Hot again at 5-2, confidence 71%.
- New York Yankees (69-58) – Heating up with 71% confidence.
- Kansas City Royals (66-62) – 6-1 surge, finally gaining respect in the market.
🚨 Bearish Teams (Fade Material)
- Houston Astros (70-58) – Just 2-5 last 7, confidence down to 28%. Overpriced and dangerous to back right now.
- Seattle Mariners (68-60) – 5-game losing streak, only 14% confidence. Ice cold.
- Cleveland Guardians (64-61) – 2-5 slump with little market trust.
⚖️ Neutral Teams (Wait & See)
Toronto, San Diego, Boston, Mets, and Cincinnati are stuck in “coin-flip” territory. Not overpriced, not underpriced — they’re matchup-dependent plays.
⚾ C-Tier: Pretenders & Sneaky Dogs
🔥 Bullish Risers (Underdogs with Value)
- Oakland A’s (59-70) – 5-2 run, still undervalued.
- Atlanta Braves (58-69) – Yes, Atlanta’s bad season is warming up with a 6-1 run.
- Baltimore Orioles (59-68) – 5-2 surge makes them a live dog.
- Colorado Rockies (37-90) – Even at the bottom, they’ve gone 5-2. Perfect underdog spoiler role.
🚨 Bearish Collapses
- Minnesota Twins (57-69) – 1-6 stretch, brutal form.
- Miami Marlins (60-67) – 2-5 last 7, confidence fading.
- Chicago White Sox (45-82) – 1-6 and lifeless.
⚖️ Neutral Clubs
San Francisco, Tampa Bay, Angels, Washington, and Pittsburgh are all inconsistent but occasionally dangerous. These teams are better suited for totals and spot plays.
🧠 Betting Takeaways (Raymond Report System)
- Play the Streaks – Detroit, Philly, Cubs, Dodgers, Yankees, and Royals are bullish streak teams worth following.
- Shop for Value – Underdog plays like Oakland, Baltimore, Atlanta, and even Colorado offer sneaky dog moneyline or +1.5 RL value.
- Fade Inflation – Milwaukee (overpriced at -250) and Houston (slumping but still expensive) are the worst value teams on today’s board.
- Stay Patient on Neutrals – Teams like Toronto, San Diego, and Boston need a streak before they can be trusted again.
✅ Summary:
- Top Bullish Value: Detroit, Philadelphia, Cubs, Dodgers, Yankees, Kansas City.
- Fade Material: Seattle, Houston, Cleveland, Minnesota, White Sox.
- Sneaky Dog Plays: Oakland, Baltimore, Atlanta, Colorado.
- Overvalued Elite: Milwaukee.
👉 For more daily reports, systems, and betting tips, visit ATS Stats – Home of the Raymond Report.
