MLB Preview – Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays (03/28/2025)

📍 Rogers Centre, Toronto | ⏰ 7:07 PM EST
📊 Line: Blue Jays -130 | O’s +110 | Total: 8.5

🧢 Pitching Matchup: Charlie Morton vs. Kevin Gausman

Veteran right-handers take the bump in this AL East rematch, as Charlie Morton leads the Orioles into Game 2 of the series after a dominant 12-2 win over Toronto. Kevin Gausman looks to bounce back after the Jays were shelled in their home opener.

🟠 Baltimore Orioles (1-0 SU)

• Came out swinging in Game 1, lighting up José Berríos for 12 runs.
• Morton makes his first start of 2025 after a strong 2024 campaign.
• C.O.W: 43.41%
• Market Value Index: Bullish (1 Day)
• Trend Alert: 24-8-3 to the Over when the Orioles win Game 1 of a series on the road (last 2 years).

🔵 Toronto Blue Jays (0-1 SU)

• Got punched in the mouth in their opener, giving up 12 runs on home soil.
• Gausman toes the rubber in hopes of steadying the ship.
• C.O.W: 53.95%
• Market Value Index: Bearish (5 Days)
• Historical Trend: 81-52 SU at home after a conference game in the last 4 years.

📊 Raymond Report Forecast:

Blue Jays 4.61 – Orioles 4.31
Projected Total: 8.92

🔎 Situational Breakdown:

• Orioles are 1-0 as road dogs, scoring 12 and giving up just 2.
• Jays are 0-1 as home favorites, allowing a whopping 12 runs.
• Both teams come in off an Over, and the forecast model edges toward another potential total cash.

💡 Betting Lean:

Lean: OVER 8.5

• All signs point to fireworks again tonight — hot bats, shaky bullpen outings, and two starters still finding early-season rhythm.
• The Orioles’ road Over trend following a Game 1 win is no joke, cashing 75% of the time over the last 2 seasons.

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