Not all wins are created equal — and in baseball betting, role matters just as much as the team name on the jersey.
We broke down every MLB team’s Straight-Up (SU) performance this season as a Home Favorite (HF), Home Underdog (HD), Road Favorite (RF), and Road Underdog (RD).
The results? Some teams are printing money in certain roles… and torching bankrolls in others.
💰 Bet-On Spots – Green Zone Performers
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Boston Red Sox (HD) – 10–3 SU as a home dog. Fenway magic when they’re getting plus money.
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New York Yankees (HD) – 9–1 SU. Rarely dogs at home, but when they are, they make books pay.
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Houston Astros (HD/RD) – 9–1 SU at home as a dog, 14–9 SU as a road dog — travel tough.
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Toronto Blue Jays (HF/HD) – 29–9 SU as home chalk, 17–7 SU as a home dog — one of the best home splits in baseball.
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Milwaukee Brewers (All Roles) – Winning records in every category — the most balanced betting team in MLB.
🚫 Fade Zones – Red Flag Roles
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Colorado Rockies (HD/RD) – 16–39 SU as a home dog, 14–44 SU as a road dog. Consistently bad value.
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Chicago White Sox (RD) – 17–40 SU. Road dog tickets burn fast.
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Baltimore Orioles (HF) – 19–22 SU as home chalk — overpriced in their own park.
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Atlanta Braves (RF) – 13–18 SU when favored away from home — name brand, low payout.
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Texas Rangers (RF/RD) – Elite at home as chalk (29–9 SU), but mediocre on the road (RF 9–11, RD 15–24).
Key Takeaways for Bettors
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Know the role before you bet the name. The “better” team isn’t always better in that spot.
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Look for mispriced home dogs. Boston, Houston, Toronto, and the Yankees are all dangerous when undervalued at home.
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Fade road dog disasters. Colorado, the White Sox, and Pittsburgh are long-term bankroll drainers.
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Balanced teams are rare. Milwaukee’s ability to win in all four roles makes them a safe anchor for parlays and moneyline combos.
📈 Want the full Role Splits chart with ROI & ATS breakdowns?
Get the complete 2025 MLB betting analytics inside the member’s area at ATSstats.com — updated daily so you always know which roles to ride and which to avoid.