SIGN UP LOGIN
MLB Computer picks

MLB Sports Betting Markets Report – August 11, 2025

Straight from the sharp desk at ATS STATS. We’re scanning the board for buy signals, sucker lines, and inefficiencies that’ll make your bookie beg for mercy. Let’s break it down like Wall Street with a baseball bat.


💹 Top 5 Investment-Grade Plays – Market Value Meets Confidence

  1. MILWAUKEE -207 vs PITTSBURGH
    🔥 9-game SU win streak | BULLISH (9 days)
    📈 73-44 record | 39-20 at home
    📉 Pirates have dropped 2 straight and can’t hit on the road
    💎 A-grade steamroller — chalk worth riding
  2. KANSAS CITY -156 vs WASHINGTON
    📊 Royals hold a 63% SOS edge | 2-game Under streak
    ⚠️ Nats offense stuck in neutral with 5 straight Unders
    💰 Solid mid-tier chalk in a favorable matchup
  3. DETROIT -144 @ CHI WHITE SOX
    🔥 6-game OVER streak | 68% vs C-type teams
    📉 Sox still a bottom-feeder despite rare win yesterday
    ⚖️ Tigers’ bats live — value in both side & total
  4. SAN DIEGO +118 @ SAN FRANCISCO (Live Dog Alert)
    💥 Padres on 3-game OVER run | 63% SOS
    📊 Giants stuck in a 4-game UNDER rut — offense flat
    💡 Road dog with matchup edge in bullpen
  5. CINCINNATI -126 vs PHILADELPHIA
    📈 Reds on 2-game win streak | 54.9% C.O.W.
    📉 Phillies face park downgrade + travel
    💎 Small chalk at home — favorable spot

🐕‍🦺 More Live Dogs Worth Watching – Contrarian Value
HOUSTON +143 vs BOSTON
🔥 Astros off SU win | 60% vs B-type teams
⚠️ Boston road form slipping — 26-32 away

MINNESOTA +150 @ NY YANKEES
📊 Twins solid vs A/B squads, Yanks in BEARISH cycle
💣 High variance, but payoff is real


⚠️ Overbought or Overhyped Favorites – Use Caution
ST LOUIS -219 vs COLORADO
📉 Cards in neutral cycle, Rockies bad but overpriced line
💣 Parlay only, not standalone

LA DODGERS -181 @ LA ANGELS
📊 Cross-town rivalry game, Angels bats heating (3 O’s)


🔥 Totals to Watch – Offense Incoming
KC/WAS (9) – Royals hot vs weak arms
DET/CWS (8.5) – Tigers bats + Sox pen = runs
OAK/TB (9.5) – Both pens volatile, OVER live
PHI/CIN (9.5) – Bullpen blow-up potential


🎯 Monday’s Top 5 Market Picks Recap
MILWAUKEE -207 – Ride the 9-game heater
KANSAS CITY -156 – SOS edge vs weak Nats
DETROIT -144 – C-team crusher with live bats
SAN DIEGO +118 – Road dog with pen edge
CINCINNATI -126 – Small chalk in favorable spot

 

📊 For Full Line Moves, Betting Tools & the Complete Raymond Report ➡ www.atsstats.com