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MLB Computer picks

MLB Sports Betting Markets Report – August 11, 2025

Straight from the sharp desk at ATS STATS. We’re scanning the board for buy signals, sucker lines, and inefficiencies that’ll make your bookie beg for mercy. Let’s break it down like Wall Street with a baseball bat.


πŸ’Ή Top 5 Investment-Grade Plays – Market Value Meets Confidence

  1. MILWAUKEE -207 vs PITTSBURGH
    πŸ”₯ 9-game SU win streak | BULLISH (9 days)
    πŸ“ˆ 73-44 record | 39-20 at home
    πŸ“‰ Pirates have dropped 2 straight and can’t hit on the road
    πŸ’Ž A-grade steamroller β€” chalk worth riding
  2. KANSAS CITY -156 vs WASHINGTON
    πŸ“Š Royals hold a 63% SOS edge | 2-game Under streak
    ⚠️ Nats offense stuck in neutral with 5 straight Unders
    πŸ’° Solid mid-tier chalk in a favorable matchup
  3. DETROIT -144 @ CHI WHITE SOX
    πŸ”₯ 6-game OVER streak | 68% vs C-type teams
    πŸ“‰ Sox still a bottom-feeder despite rare win yesterday
    βš–οΈ Tigers’ bats live β€” value in both side & total
  4. SAN DIEGO +118 @ SAN FRANCISCO (Live Dog Alert)
    πŸ’₯ Padres on 3-game OVER run | 63% SOS
    πŸ“Š Giants stuck in a 4-game UNDER rut β€” offense flat
    πŸ’‘ Road dog with matchup edge in bullpen
  5. CINCINNATI -126 vs PHILADELPHIA
    πŸ“ˆ Reds on 2-game win streak | 54.9% C.O.W.
    πŸ“‰ Phillies face park downgrade + travel
    πŸ’Ž Small chalk at home β€” favorable spot

πŸ•β€πŸ¦Ί More Live Dogs Worth Watching – Contrarian Value
HOUSTON +143 vs BOSTON
πŸ”₯ Astros off SU win | 60% vs B-type teams
⚠️ Boston road form slipping β€” 26-32 away

MINNESOTA +150 @ NY YANKEES
πŸ“Š Twins solid vs A/B squads, Yanks in BEARISH cycle
πŸ’£ High variance, but payoff is real


⚠️ Overbought or Overhyped Favorites – Use Caution
ST LOUIS -219 vs COLORADO
πŸ“‰ Cards in neutral cycle, Rockies bad but overpriced line
πŸ’£ Parlay only, not standalone

LA DODGERS -181 @ LA ANGELS
πŸ“Š Cross-town rivalry game, Angels bats heating (3 O’s)


πŸ”₯ Totals to Watch – Offense Incoming
KC/WAS (9) – Royals hot vs weak arms
DET/CWS (8.5) – Tigers bats + Sox pen = runs
OAK/TB (9.5) – Both pens volatile, OVER live
PHI/CIN (9.5) – Bullpen blow-up potential


🎯 Monday’s Top 5 Market Picks Recap
MILWAUKEE -207 – Ride the 9-game heater
KANSAS CITY -156 – SOS edge vs weak Nats
DETROIT -144 – C-team crusher with live bats
SAN DIEGO +118 – Road dog with pen edge
CINCINNATI -126 – Small chalk in favorable spot

 

πŸ“Š For Full Line Moves, Betting Tools & the Complete Raymond Report ➑ www.atsstats.com