New York Mets starting pitcher Jacob deGrom winds up during the first inning of a baseball game against the Arizona Diamondbacks, Monday, Sept. 9, 2019, in New York. (AP Photo/Kathy Willens)
by Ron Raymond | Published August 18, 2025
Straight from the sharp desk at ATS STATS — we’re scanning today’s board for buy signals, live dogs, and overbought favorites that could trap the public. Let’s break it down like Wall Street with a baseball bat.
💹 Top 5 Investment-Grade Plays – Market Value Meets Confidence
MILWAUKEE -102 @ CHICAGO CUBS
🔥 BULLISH (16 days) | 78-45 overall
📉 Lost yesterday but still league’s steadiest money-maker
💡 Bounce-back spot vs Cubs (BEARISH Under trend – 7 straight)
ATLANTA -206 vs CHI WHITE SOX
📊 72.73% C.O.W. | 5-game SU win streak
📉 Sox in freefall (4 straight losses, 44-80 overall)
💎 Chalky, but mismatch across the board
DETROIT -156 vs HOUSTON
📈 BULLISH (4 days) | 39-24 at home
⚾ Tigers hot at Comerica while Astros cooled (2 SU L last 3)
💡 Value chalk in a high-confidence home spot
SAN DIEGO -150 vs SAN FRANCISCO
📊 Bounce-back angle: Padres off 3 straight losses
📉 Giants BEARISH (5 days) and inconsistent vs B-rated teams
💡 Market gives SD the edge at Petco
BALTIMORE +102 @ BOSTON (Live Dog Alert)
⚾ 2 straight Overs, bats warming up
📉 Boston coming off a loss, showing -0.95 DMVI edge
💡 Price gives value if O’s pen holds late
🐕🦺 More Live Dogs Worth Watching – Contrarian Value
CINCINNATI -112 @ LA ANGELS – Reds streaky but matchup even
ARIZONA -119 @ CLEVELAND – Snapping 3-game skid spot
ST LOUIS +112 @ MIAMI – Cards in 5-game skid, but buy-low potential
⚠️ Overbought or Overhyped Favorites – Use Caution
LA DODGERS -304 @ COLORADO – Huge chalk in Coors, inflated line risk
PHILADELPHIA -105 vs SEATTLE – Phillies steady, but Mariners desperate after 2 L’s
TORONTO -109 @ PITTSBURGH – Jays chalk on road vs Pirates team that grinds at home
🔥 Totals to Watch – Offense Incoming
LAD/COL (11) – Coors + Dodgers power bats
BOS/BAL (8.5) – O’s trending Over, Sox pen taxed
KC/TEX (9.5) – Rangers in 4 straight Overs, Royals bats clicking
MIA/STL (7.5) – Low total, but both lineups inconsistent
🎯 Monday’s Top 5 Market Picks Recap
MILWAUKEE -102 – Bullish bounce-back
ATLANTA -206 – Sox fade continues
DETROIT -156 – Home chalk with form
SAN DIEGO -150 – Giants fade spot
BALTIMORE +102 – Live dog value at Fenway
📊 For Full Line Moves, Betting Tools & the Complete Raymond Report ➡ www.atsstats.com
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