by Ron Raymond | Published August 23, 2025
Straight from the sharp desk at ATS STATS — today’s MLB board looks like a Saturday stock exchange with chalk inflated and dogs lurking for value. We’re scanning for buy signals, contrarian dogs, and overbought favorites that could trap the public. Let’s break it down like Wall Street with a baseball bat.
💹 Top Investment-Grade Plays – Market Value Meets Confidence
MILWAUKEE -137 vs SAN FRANCISCO
📊 54.94% C.O.W. | Brewers 81–48 overall, A-graded stability
📉 Giants 3-game skid, stuck in Bearish cycle
💡 Blue-chip chalk — Brew Crew still trading above market line
DETROIT -126 vs KANSAS CITY
🔥 3-game SU win streak | 77–53 overall
📊 51.44% C.O.W. | Bullish (9) cycle, dominant 43–24 at home
💡 Tigers undervalued — steady mid-cap stock with upside
TORONTO -138 @ MIAMI
📊 48.72% C.O.W. | Jays 75–54 overall, strong vs C-type clubs
📉 Marlins in Bearish (14), bats cooling
💡 Jays remain a buy signal at short chalk
PHILADELPHIA -227 vs WASHINGTON
📊 65.97% C.O.W. | Phillies 74–54 overall, Bullish (3) cycle
📉 Nats only 23.6% C.O.W., can’t compete in this price range
💡 Expensive, but fundamentals back Philly
SAN DIEGO +118 vs LA Dodgers (Live Dog Alert)
🔥 Padres on 3-game SU win streak
📊 Contrarian edge at Petco vs public-heavy Dodgers
💡 Buy signal on home dog with momentum
🐕 Other Live Dogs Worth Watching
- BOSTON -137 @ Yankees – Sox momentum, Bronx line inflated
- ARIZONA +108 vs Reds – D-Backs trending upward, Reds overpriced on road
- OAKLAND +154 @ Seattle – A’s sneaky value with 3-game win streak
⚠️ Overbought Favorites – Handle with Care
- PITTSBURGH -169 vs Colorado – Pirates not trustworthy chalk
- PHILADELPHIA -227 vs Washington – inflated line, limited value return
- NY YANKEES +112 vs Boston – public overbuying Bronx streaks
🔥 Totals Watch – Runs on the Horizon
- BOS/NYY (8.5) – Rivalry bats live, Yanks on 5 straight Overs
- KC/DET (8.5) – Both in Bullish cycles, Tigers bats heating
- LAD/SD (8.5) – Dodgers pen shaky, Padres offense clicking
- OAK/SEA (8.0) – Athletics loose, Mariners pitching suspect
🎯 Saturday’s Top 5 Market Picks Recap
- MILWAUKEE -137 – A-grade chalk, Giants fade
- DETROIT -126 – Tigers bullish, KC soft on road
- TORONTO -138 – Jays steady vs Marlins
- PHILADELPHIA -227 – Heavy chalk but market stable
- SAN DIEGO +118 – Live home dog with momentum
📈 Closing Bell
That wraps up today’s MLB betting picks and predictions for August 23, 2025. The Raymond Report reminds you: don’t chase overpriced chalk, play disciplined, and buy value before the market corrects.
👉 For full line moves, betting tools, and the complete Raymond Report ➡ ATSStats.com
