Advertisement

MLB Sports Betting Markets Report – August 28, 2025

sports betting picks

Straight from the sharp desk at ATS STATS β€” we’re charting buy signals, contrarian value, and overbought chalk that could trap the public. Time to trade ballgames like blue chips.


πŸ’Ή Top Investment-Grade Plays – Market Value Meets Confidence

HOUSTON -239 vs COLORADO
πŸ“Š 70.97% C.O.W. | Rockies offense AWOL, 4-game UNDER skid
πŸ“‰ Colorado 17-50 on the road β€” dead money cycle
πŸ’‘ Astros bounce-back spot after mini skid

NY YANKEES -200 @ CHI WHITE SOX
πŸ”₯ 4-game SU win streak | 73.77% C.O.W.
πŸ“Š Sox sinking (48-85), pen can’t hold water
πŸ’‘ Bronx bats > Sox collapse = investment-grade

PHILADELPHIA -193 vs ATLANTA
πŸ“‰ Phillies on 3-game skid, but: 67.61% C.O.W.
πŸ“Š Braves weak vs B-type teams this season
πŸ’‘ Buy the dip β€” Phillies spot value at home

BOSTON -196 @ BALTIMORE
πŸ”₯ 3-game SU win streak | BULLISH
πŸ“‰ O’s on 4-game UNDER stretch, offense cooling
πŸ’‘ Sox surging while O’s fade β€” momentum edge

SAN FRANCISCO -109 vs CHICAGO CUBS (Live Dog/Value Pick)
πŸ”₯ Giants on 4-game SU win streak | CYCLE strength showing
πŸ“‰ Cubs dropped 2 straight, market over-adjusted
πŸ’‘ Short dog line with buy signal


πŸ• Other Dogs with Bite Potential

  • ATLANTA +157 @ PHILADELPHIA – Phillies skid not to ignore
  • PITTSBURGH +101 @ ST LOUIS – Quietly BULLISH, Cards sliding

⚠️ Overbought Favorites – Handle with Care

  • NY METS -260 vs MIAMI – 77% C.O.W., but price inflated
  • HOUSTON -239 vs ROCKIES – Big chalk, low ROI
  • MILWAUKEE -167 vs ARIZONA – Brew Crew strong, but line heavy

πŸ”₯ Totals Watch – Offense/Market Cycles

  • ATL/PHI (9.5) – Phillies bats due, Braves streaky
  • BOS/BAL (7.5) – Sox hot, O’s in UNDER cycle
  • COL/HOU (9) – Rockies can’t score, Houston bats may explode
  • SF/CHC (7.5) – Pitching edge but Giants bats heating

🎯 Thursday’s Top 5 Market Picks Recap

  1. HOUSTON -239 – Rockies fade continues
  2. NY YANKEES -200 – Bronx heater rolls on
  3. PHILADELPHIA -193 – Buy the dip spot
  4. BOSTON -196 – Momentum vs cold bats
  5. SAN FRANCISCO -109 – Short dog value

 

author avatar
Ron Raymond
Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper and founder of ATSstats.com, creator of the Raymond Report sports betting system. Active in the industry since 1996, Ron has nearly three decades of experience analyzing market cycles, performance indicators, and value metrics across the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and CFL. Ron’s data-driven approach has helped thousands of bettors think strategically, manage risk, and win with confidence.