Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs Preview & Prediction (07/15/2019)

Today at Wrigley Field, ATS Stats provides a preview and prediction on the game between the Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds for Monday July 15th, 2019

The Chicago Cubs 50-43 SU will host the Cincinnati Reds 42-48 SU in a game that will be much closer than it is on paper. The Reds are a competitive well balanced team who may be favored in this matchup if they were at home. The Cubs have been off and on, but with a 32-16 record at home, it should be expected that they will be all the way “on”.

Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds Preview & Prediction

  • Game Preview: Chicago Cubs (Hendricks) vs. Cincinnati Reds (Castillo)
  • Game Time & Date: Monday July 15th, 2019 – First pitch: 8:05 pm
  • Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
  • MLB Odds: Chicago Cubs (NA) vs. Cincinnati Reds (NA) – OVER/UNDER NA
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Pitching Preview

The Cubs will start Kyle Hendricks who is 7-7 with a 3.49 ERA. The Cincinnati Reds will go with ace and one of the best pitchers in the NL, Luis Castillo who is 8-3 with a 2.29 ERA and amazing stats across the board. Again, the Reds will be competitive in this game if not the entire series.

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Reds vs. Cubs Game Notes

The Cincinnati Reds are coming off a 10-9 lost to the Colorado Rockies and are currently coming off a 3 Game Road Trip. Furthermore, the Cincinnati Reds are currently 42-48 SU on the season and are coming off a 1 game losing streak. Plus, the Chicago Cubs are currently 50-43 SU on the season, won their last game over the Pittsburgh Pirates and allowed 3 runs against in their last game.

In closing, the Chicago Cubs will be playing the Cincinnati Reds on Tuesday.

Cincinnati Reds    ( 124 ) Vs. Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs   ( -138 ) Vs. Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs Preview & Prediction (07/15/2019)

Cincinnati Reds
(Pitcher: Luis Castillo)
TR: Win 9 Loss 9
O/U/P: 5 – 12 – 1
O/U :

Vs.
Date: 2019-07-15
Time: 20:05:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs Preview & Prediction (07/15/2019)

Chicago Cubs
(Pitcher: Kyle Hendricks )
TR: Win 7 Loss 9
O/U/P: 5 – 10 – 1
SIDE :-138

2.84 Forecast
(O/U 5.06 )
2.22
60% C.O.W 23%
44% C.O.G.O 44%
129 DMVI -157
(C) NEUTRAL MVI (B) NEUTRAL
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (NBA,NHL & MLB)
C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

DMVI = (Daily Market Value Index) – The DMVI is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the DMVI, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams. The DMVI is a tool to find value vs. the current line.

VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 7-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) in their last 7 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (3-4 or 4-3) in their last 7 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-7, 1-6 or 2-5) in their last 7 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
MLB Betting
Cincinnati Reds Chicago Cubs
Season Record : 42-48 Season Record : 50-43
Away Record : 18-27 Away Record : 18-27
Home Record : 24-21 Home Record : 32-16
Line : 124 Line : -138
O/U : O/U :
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Lost 9 – 10 vs Colorado Rockies ( A Senzatela ) Last game: Win 3 – 8 vs Pittsburgh Pirates ( T Williams )
Current game: vs. Chicago Cubs ( K Hendricks ) Current game: vs. Cincinnati Reds ( L Castillo )
Next Game: At CHICAGO CUBS Next Game: Vs. CINCINNATI
Streaks : 1 SU Lost – 2 Over Streaks : 3 SU Win – 2 Over
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 40.82% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 28.57%
Home Favorite: 16 Win -12 Lost   (RF)5 – (RA)3.75 Home Favorite: 31 Win -14 Lost   (RF)5 – (RA)3.6
Home Underdog: 8 Win -9 Lost   (RF)3.76 – (RA)4.88 Home Underdog: 1 Win -2 Lost   (RF)5 – (RA)5.67
Road Favorite: 2 Win -0 Lost   (RF)6 – (RA)2 Road Favorite: 11 Win -9 Lost   (RF)5.8 – (RA)5.2
Road Underdog: 16 Win -27 Lost   (RF)4.19 – (RA)3.98 Road Underdog: 7 Win -18 Lost   (RF)4.84 – (RA)5.08
Last 3 game: 1 Win 2 Lost    (RF)9.33 – (RA)7.33 Last 3 game: 3 Win 0 Lost    (RF)7.33 – (RA)3.33
Last 5 game: 1 Win 4 Lost    (RF)6.2 – (RA)8 Last 5 game: 4 Win 1 Lost    (RF)5.8 – (RA)3.2
Last 7 game: 3 Win 4 Lost   (RF)5 – (RA)5.71 Last 7 game: 5 Win 2 Lost   (RF)6.43 – (RA)3.57
Last 10 game: 5 Win 5 Lost   (RF)5.4 – (RA)5.8 Last 10 game: 5 Win 5 Lost   (RF)5.7 – (RA)5.6
Last 15 game: 6 Win 9 Lost   (RF)4.47 – (RA)5.6 Last 15 game: 7 Win 8 Lost   (RF)5.33 – (RA)5.13
Team Record Team Record
L Castillo’s Last 3 game: 1 Win – 2 Lost (RF)2 – (RA)4 K Hendricks’s Last 3 game: 0 Win – 3 Lost (RF)1.67 – (RA)4.33
L Castillo’s Last 5 game: 2 Win – 3 Lost (RF)2 – (RA)3.2 K Hendricks’s Last 5 game: 2 Win – 3 Lost (RF)1 – (RA)3.4
L Castillo’s Last 7 game: 3 Win – 4 Lost (RF)2.71 – (RA)3.57 K Hendricks’s Last 7 game: 3 Win – 4 Lost (RF)3.29 – (RA)3.43
L Castillo’s Last 10 game: 5 Win – 5 Lost (RF)3.9 – (RA)3.8 K Hendricks’s Last 10 game: 6 Win – 4 Lost (RF)3.5 – (RA)3.2
L Castillo’s Last 15 game: 7 Win – 8 Lost (RF)3.87 – (RA)3.73 K Hendricks’s Last 15 game: 7 Win – 8 Lost (RF)3.4 – (RA)3.6
Situations (Cincinnati Reds) Situations (Chicago Cubs)
Coming off vs. NL West opponent (COL) Coming off vs. NL Central opponent (PIT)
Coming off a road underdog lost Coming off a home fav win
Coming off a 1 game losing streak Coming off a 3 game winning streak
Coming off 2 overs Coming off 2 overs
Scored 10 runs against in last game Scored 3 runs against in last game
Coming off a 3 Game Road Trip Coming off a 3 Game Home Stand
Trends Trends
Query SU O/U
Query SU O/U
When CHICAGO CUBS team played as a Home team – After a conference game – During a night game – Coming off a Win vs. NL CENTRAL opponent – Coming off a series win 10-5 3-12-0

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