Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs Preview & Prediction (07/16/2019)

Today at Wrigley Field, ATS Stats provides a preview and prediction on the game between the Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds for Tuesday July 16th, 2019

The Chicago Cubs 50-43 SU will host the Cincinnati Reds 42-48 SU in the second game of a three game set. The Reds are a different team with Luis Castillo on the mound and struggle to provide a compliment to their ace on the mound. The Cubs are already favored in this one, which is no guarantee due to a tough matchup.

Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds Preview & Prediction

  • Game Preview: Chicago Cubs (Mills) vs. Cincinnati Reds (DeSclafani)
  • Game Time & Date: Tuesday July 16th, 2019 – First pitch: 8:05 pm
  • Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
  • MLB Odds: Chicago Cubs (-130) vs. Cincinnati Reds (NA) – OVER/UNDER NA
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Pitching Preview

The Cubs will start Alec Mills for the first time ever and the Vegas line is interesting, as usually first time starters are approached with far more caution when setting lines. This speaks to odds makers lack of faith in Anthony DeSclafani on the road and with good reason has he is only 5-4 with a 4.26 ERA. Not bad, but not great either.

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Reds vs. Cubs Game Notes

The Cincinnati Reds are coming off a 6-3 win over the Chicago Cubs and are currently coming off a 4 Game Road Trip. Furthermore, the Cincinnati Reds are currently 43-48 SU on the season and are coming off a 1 game winning streak. Plus, the Chicago Cubs are currently 50-44 SU on the season, lost their last game to the Cincinnati Reds and allowed 6 runs against in their last game.

In closing, the Chicago Cubs will be playing the Cincinnati Reds on Wednesday.

Cincinnati Reds    ( 117 ) Vs. Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs   ( -129 ) Vs. Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs Preview & Prediction (07/16/2019)

Cincinnati Reds
(Pitcher: Anthony Desclafani )
TR: Win 9 Loss 8
O/U/P: 8 – 8 – 1
O/U :

Vs.
Date: 2019-07-16
Time: 20:05:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs Preview & Prediction (07/16/2019)

Chicago Cubs
(Pitcher: A Mills )
TR: Win 0 Loss 0
O/U/P: 0 – 0 – 0
SIDE :-129

2.84 Forecast
(O/U 5.06 )
2.22
43% C.O.W 40%
45% C.O.G.O 45%
133 DMVI -156
(C) NEUTRAL MVI (B) BULLISH
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (NBA,NHL & MLB)
C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

DMVI = (Daily Market Value Index) – The DMVI is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the DMVI, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams. The DMVI is a tool to find value vs. the current line.

VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 7-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) in their last 7 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (3-4 or 4-3) in their last 7 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-7, 1-6 or 2-5) in their last 7 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
MLB Betting
Cincinnati Reds Chicago Cubs
Season Record : 43-48 Season Record : 50-44
Away Record : 19-27 Away Record : 18-27
Home Record : 24-21 Home Record : 32-17
Line : 117 Line : -129
O/U : O/U :
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Win 6 – 3 vs Chicago Cubs ( K Hendricks ) Last game: Lost 6 – 3 vs Cincinnati Reds ( L Castillo )
Current game: vs. Chicago Cubs ( A Mills ) Current game: vs. Cincinnati Reds ( A DeSclafani )
Next Game: At CHICAGO CUBS Next Game: Vs. CINCINNATI
Streaks : 1 SU Win – 1 Under Streaks : 1 SU Lost – 1 Under
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 46.94% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 26.53%
Home Favorite: 16 Win -12 Lost   (RF)5 – (RA)3.75 Home Favorite: 31 Win -15 Lost   (RF)4.96 – (RA)3.65
Home Underdog: 8 Win -9 Lost   (RF)3.76 – (RA)4.88 Home Underdog: 1 Win -2 Lost   (RF)5 – (RA)5.67
Road Favorite: 2 Win -0 Lost   (RF)6 – (RA)2 Road Favorite: 11 Win -9 Lost   (RF)5.8 – (RA)5.2
Road Underdog: 17 Win -27 Lost   (RF)4.23 – (RA)3.95 Road Underdog: 7 Win -18 Lost   (RF)4.84 – (RA)5.08
Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (RF)10.67 – (RA)7.33 Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (RF)7 – (RA)4.33
Last 5 game: 2 Win 3 Lost    (RF)7 – (RA)7.2 Last 5 game: 3 Win 2 Lost    (RF)5.2 – (RA)3.8
Last 7 game: 3 Win 4 Lost   (RF)5.43 – (RA)6.14 Last 7 game: 5 Win 2 Lost   (RF)6.14 – (RA)3.57
Last 10 game: 5 Win 5 Lost   (RF)5.2 – (RA)5.5 Last 10 game: 5 Win 5 Lost   (RF)5.4 – (RA)5.4
Last 15 game: 7 Win 8 Lost   (RF)4.53 – (RA)5.33 Last 15 game: 7 Win 8 Lost   (RF)5.4 – (RA)5.33
Team Record Team Record
A Desclafani’s Last 3 game: 1 Win – 2 Lost (RF)5 – (RA)6.67 A Mills’s Last 3 game: 0 Win – 0 Lost (RF)0 – (RA)0
A Desclafani’s Last 5 game: 3 Win – 2 Lost (RF)5.2 – (RA)5 A Mills’s Last 5 game: 0 Win – 0 Lost (RF) – (RA)0
A Desclafani’s Last 7 game: 3 Win – 4 Lost (RF)3.86 – (RA)4 A Mills’s Last 7 game: 0 Win – 0 Lost (RF)0 – (RA)0
A Desclafani’s Last 10 game: 4 Win – 6 Lost (RF)3.5 – (RA)4.6 A Mills’s Last 10 game: 0 Win – 0 Lost (RF)0 – (RA)0
A Desclafani’s Last 15 game: 9 Win – 6 Lost (RF)4.53 – (RA)3.8 A Mills’s Last 15 game: 0 Win – 0 Lost (RF)0 – (RA)0
Situations (Cincinnati Reds) Situations (Chicago Cubs)
Coming off vs. NL Central opponent (CHC) Coming off vs. NL Central opponent (CIN)
Coming off a road underdog win Coming off a home fav lost
Coming off a 1 game winning streak Coming off a 1 game losing streak
Coming off 1 under Coming off 1 under
Scored 3 runs against in last game Scored 6 runs against in last game
Coming off a 4 Game Road Trip Coming off a 4 Game Home Stand
Trends Trends
Query SU O/U
Query SU O/U

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