Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs Preview & Prediction (07/17/2019)

Today at Wrigley Field, ATS Stats provides a preview and prediction on the game between the Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds for Wednesday July 17th, 2019

The Chicago Cubs 50-43 SU will host the Cincinnati Reds 42-48 SU in the finale of this three game series. The Reds held on nicely last night despite being over matched on paper. The Cubs are far from dominant, but should’ve been able to make quicker and easier work of the Reds. This is why you play the game, and this one should be competitive as well.

Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds Preview & Prediction

  • Game Preview: Chicago Cubs (Darvish) vs. Cincinnati Reds (Gray)
  • Game Time & Date: Wednesday July 17th, 2019 – First pitch: 2:20 pm
  • Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
  • MLB Odds: Chicago Cubs (NA) vs. Cincinnati Reds (NA) – OVER/UNDER NA
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Pitching Preview

The Cubs will start Yu Darvish who is 2-4 with a 4.72 ERA but has been much better in his last two starts. Sonny Gray is 5-5 with a 3.42 ERA, which is highly respectable, and should be able to challenge the Cubs in this game. If Darvish is on, he will be tough to beat, but that is simply not a guarantee this season.

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Reds vs. Cubs Game Notes

The Cincinnati Reds are coming off a 4-3 lost to the Chicago Cubs and are currently coming off a 5 Game Road Trip. Furthermore, the Cincinnati Reds are currently 43-49 SU on the season and are coming off a 1 game losing streak. Plus, the Chicago Cubs are currently 51-44 SU on the season, won their last game over the Cincinnati Reds and allowed 3 runs against in their last game.

In closing, the Chicago Cubs will be playing the San Diego Padres on Friday.

Cincinnati Reds    ( 117 ) Vs. Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs   ( -129 ) Vs. Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs Preview & Prediction (07/17/2019)

Cincinnati Reds
(Pitcher: Sonny Gray)
TR: Win 10 Loss 7
O/U/P: 5 – 11 – 1
O/U :

Vs.
Date: 2019-07-17
Time: 14:20:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs Preview & Prediction (07/17/2019)

Chicago Cubs
(Pitcher: Yu Darvish)
TR: Win 8 Loss 11
O/U/P: 9 – 8 – 2
SIDE :-129

2.84 Forecast
(O/U 5.06 )
2.22
43% C.O.W 40%
45% C.O.G.O 45%
133 DMVI -149
(C) BEARISH MVI (B) BULLISH
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (NBA,NHL & MLB)
C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

DMVI = (Daily Market Value Index) – The DMVI is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the DMVI, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams. The DMVI is a tool to find value vs. the current line.

VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 7-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) in their last 7 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (3-4 or 4-3) in their last 7 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-7, 1-6 or 2-5) in their last 7 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
MLB Betting
Cincinnati Reds Chicago Cubs
Season Record : 43-49 Season Record : 51-44
Away Record : 19-28 Away Record : 18-27
Home Record : 24-21 Home Record : 33-17
Line : 117 Line : -129
O/U : O/U :
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Lost 3 – 4 vs Chicago Cubs ( A Mills ) Last game: Win 3 – 4 vs Cincinnati Reds ( A DeSclafani )
Current game: vs. Chicago Cubs ( Y Darvish ) Current game: vs. Cincinnati Reds ( S Gray )
Next Game: Vs. ST LOUIS Next Game: Vs. SAN DIEGO
Streaks : 1 SU Lost – 2 Under Streaks : 1 SU Win – 2 Under
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 53.06% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 30.61%
Home Favorite: 16 Win -12 Lost   (RF)5 – (RA)3.75 Home Favorite: 32 Win -15 Lost   (RF)4.94 – (RA)3.64
Home Underdog: 8 Win -9 Lost   (RF)3.76 – (RA)4.88 Home Underdog: 1 Win -2 Lost   (RF)5 – (RA)5.67
Road Favorite: 2 Win -0 Lost   (RF)6 – (RA)2 Road Favorite: 11 Win -9 Lost   (RF)5.8 – (RA)5.2
Road Underdog: 17 Win -28 Lost   (RF)4.2 – (RA)3.96 Road Underdog: 7 Win -18 Lost   (RF)4.84 – (RA)5.08
Last 3 game: 1 Win 2 Lost    (RF)6 – (RA)5.67 Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (RF)5 – (RA)4
Last 5 game: 2 Win 3 Lost    (RF)7.4 – (RA)5.8 Last 5 game: 4 Win 1 Lost    (RF)5.8 – (RA)3.8
Last 7 game: 2 Win 5 Lost   (RF)5.71 – (RA)6.71 Last 7 game: 5 Win 2 Lost   (RF)5.14 – (RA)3.57
Last 10 game: 5 Win 5 Lost   (RF)4.9 – (RA)5.1 Last 10 game: 6 Win 4 Lost   (RF)5.3 – (RA)3.9
Last 15 game: 7 Win 8 Lost   (RF)4.67 – (RA)5.27 Last 15 game: 8 Win 7 Lost   (RF)5.47 – (RA)5.2
Team Record Team Record
S Gray’s Last 3 game: 2 Win – 1 Lost (RF)3.67 – (RA)2 Y Darvish’s Last 3 game: 1 Win – 2 Lost (RF)4 – (RA)4.67
S Gray’s Last 5 game: 4 Win – 1 Lost (RF)6.6 – (RA)3.2 Y Darvish’s Last 5 game: 2 Win – 3 Lost (RF)2.4 – (RA)4
S Gray’s Last 7 game: 5 Win – 2 Lost (RF)5.43 – (RA)3.29 Y Darvish’s Last 7 game: 3 Win – 4 Lost (RF)4.57 – (RA)4.86
S Gray’s Last 10 game: 8 Win – 2 Lost (RF)5.5 – (RA)2.9 Y Darvish’s Last 10 game: 4 Win – 6 Lost (RF)4.5 – (RA)4.7
S Gray’s Last 15 game: 10 Win – 5 Lost (RF)5 – (RA)3.2 Y Darvish’s Last 15 game: 7 Win – 8 Lost (RF)4.6 – (RA)4.4
Situations (Cincinnati Reds) Situations (Chicago Cubs)
Coming off vs. NL Central opponent (CHC) Coming off vs. NL Central opponent (CIN)
Coming off a road underdog lost Coming off a home fav win
Coming off a 1 game losing streak Coming off a 1 game winning streak
Coming off 2 unders Coming off 2 unders
Scored 4 runs against in last game Scored 3 runs against in last game
Coming off a 5 Game Road Trip Coming off a 5 Game Home Stand
Trends Trends
Query SU O/U
When CINCINNATI team played as a Road team – Playing on Wednesday – Vs Division Opponent – Coming off a 2 game under – Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 5-7 9-2-1
Query SU O/U

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