Detroit Tigers (8.5) vs. Houston Astros (-495) Preview & Prediction (08/22/2019)

Today at Minute Maid, ATS Stats provides a preview and prediction on the game between the Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers for Thursday August 22nd, 2019.

The Houston Astros 81-47 SU will look for the series win tonight against the Detroit Tigers 38-86 SU, but wait there’s more. Shouldn’t this be for the sweep? You would think that with Verlander pitching at home against two scrub pitchers that the Vegas line of Houston -550 would be a no brainer. After all it was the biggest line in favor of one team in 15 years, and for some books in was the biggest MLB line in their history. Once the Tigers one in improbably fashion, this one game was considered to be the biggest upset in the history of major league baseball… based on the odds of course. Vegas just made an absolute killing – and look to entice bettors again with another monstrous line.

Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers Preview & Prediction

• Game Preview: Houston Astros (Cole) vs. Detroit Tigers (Zimmermann)
• Game Time & Date: Thursday August 22nd, 2019 – First pitch: 8:10 pm
• Location: Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
• MLB Odds: Houston Astros (-500) vs Detroit Tigers (400) – OVER/UNDER 8.5
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Pitching Preview

The Houston Astros will start Gerritt Cole who is 14-5 with a 2.87 ERA. The Tigers will hope there’s magic in the arm of Jordan Zimmermann who is 1-8 with a 6.66 ERA. Bettors will be looking to make their money back tonight, but a Detroit win will send people jumping out of windows.

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Detroit Tigers 1.5   ( 418 ) Vs. Houston Astros	Houston Astros -1.5  ( -495 ) Vs. Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers (Pitcher: Jordan Zimmerman) TR: Win 3 Loss 12 O/U/P: 8 – 7 – 0 O/U :8.5 Vs. Date: 2019-08-22 Time: 20:10:00 Generated from Previous Games Houston Astros (Pitcher: Gerrit Cole) TR: Win 18 Loss 8 O/U/P: 14 – 12 – 0 SIDE :-495 2.98 Forecast (O/U 8.19 ) 5.21 68% C.O.C 35% 78% C.O.G.O 78% 252 DMVI -301 (C) BEARISH MVI (A) NEUTRAL
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (NBA,NHL & MLB) C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team. C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game. *Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.DMVI = (Daily Market Value Index) – The DMVI is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the DMVI, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams. The DMVI is a tool to find value vs. the current line. VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 7-game cycle. BULLISH = Team is either (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) in their last 7 games. NEUTRAL = Team is either (3-4 or 4-3) in their last 7 games. BEARISH = Team is either (0-7, 1-6 or 2-5) in their last 7 games. L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.
Detroit Tigers	Houston Astros
Season Record : 38-87	Season Record : 81-47
Away Record : 21-43	Away Record : 36-31
Home Record : 17-44	Home Record : 45-16
Line : 418	Line : -495
O/U : 8.5	O/U : 8.5
LINEMOVES	LINEMOVES
Last game: Win 2 – 1 vs Houston Astros ( J Verlander )	Last game: Lost 2 – 1 vs Detroit Tigers ( D Norris )
Current game: vs. Houston Astros ( G Cole )	Current game: vs. Detroit Tigers ( J Zimmermann )
Next Game: At MINNESOTA	Next Game: Vs. LA ANGELS
Streaks : 1 SU Win – 1 Under	Streaks : 1 SU Lost – 1 Under
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 46.94%	Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 61.22%
Home Favorite: 10 Win -11 Lost   (RF)4.62 – (RA)5.43	Home Favorite: 44 Win -15 Lost   (RF)5.56 – (RA)3.83
Home Underdog: 7 Win -33 Lost   (RF)2.75 – (RA)6.45	Home Underdog: 1 Win -1 Lost   (RF)2.5 – (RA)2.5
Road Favorite: 1 Win -3 Lost   (RF)2.75 – (RA)4	Road Favorite: 35 Win -24 Lost   (RF)5.68 – (RA)4.05
Road Underdog: 20 Win -40 Lost   (RF)3.85 – (RA)5.05	Road Underdog: 1 Win -7 Lost   (RF)3.63 – (RA)5.75
Last 3 game: 1 Win 2 Lost    (RF)3 – (RA)4	Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (RF)4 – (RA)3
Last 5 game: 1 Win 4 Lost    (RF)2.6 – (RA)3.6	Last 5 game: 3 Win 2 Lost    (RF)4 – (RA)3.6
Last 7 game: 2 Win 5 Lost   (RF)2.43 – (RA)3.57	Last 7 game: 3 Win 4 Lost   (RF)4 – (RA)4
Last 10 game: 3 Win 7 Lost   (RF)2.8 – (RA)4.8	Last 10 game: 4 Win 6 Lost   (RF)4.4 – (RA)4.7
Last 15 game: 5 Win 10 Lost   (RF)3.13 – (RA)5.2	Last 15 game: 8 Win 7 Lost   (RF)6.8 – (RA)4.53
Team Record	Team Record
J Zimmermann’s Last 3 game: 1 Win – 2 Lost (RF)3.67 – (RA)4	G Cole’s Last 3 game: 2 Win – 1 Lost (RF)7.33 – (RA)2.67
J Zimmermann’s Last 5 game: 1 Win – 4 Lost (RF)2.4 – (RA)5.6	G Cole’s Last 5 game: 4 Win – 1 Lost (RF)4.4 – (RA)2.2
J Zimmermann’s Last 7 game: 1 Win – 6 Lost (RF)2.71 – (RA)5.71	G Cole’s Last 7 game: 5 Win – 2 Lost (RF)8.57 – (RA)3.14
J Zimmermann’s Last 10 game: 1 Win – 9 Lost (RF)3.2 – (RA)6	G Cole’s Last 10 game: 18 Win – 8 Lost (RF)6.12 – (RA)3.19
J Zimmermann’s Last 15 game: 3 Win – 12 Lost (RF)3.07 – (RA)5.47	G Cole’s Last 15 game: 18 Win – 8 Lost (RF)6.12 – (RA)3.19
Situations (Detroit Tigers)	Situations (Houston Astros)
Coming off vs. NL Central opponent (HOU)	Coming off vs. AL Central opponent (DET)
Coming off a road underdog win	Coming off a home fav lost
Coming off a 1 game winning streak	Coming off a 1 game losing streak
Coming off 1 under	Coming off 1 under
Scored 1 runs against in last game	Scored 2 runs against in last game
Coming off a 6 Game Road Trip	Coming off a 3 Game Home Stand
Trends	Trends
Query SU O/U	Query SU O/U When ANY MLB Team played As a -300 or more Home Favorite – Vs AL Conference – During a night game – Before a division game – Coming off vs. Left handed pitcher – Scored 1 or more runs FOR in their last game 27-6 18-13-2

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