Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds Preview & Prediction (07/01/2019)

Today at Great America, ATS Stats provides a preview and prediction on the game between the Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers for Monday July 1st, 2019.

The Cincinnati Reds 38-43 SU are also starting to have the appearance that they are putting things together despite some glaring holes. The Reds will prepare to welcome the Milwaukee Brewers 45-39 SU to town in what should be a hotly contested matchup. Only 7 wins separate first and last in the NL central the most narrow gap between first and last in all other divisions by far with an average of 21 games. It’s tight and these teams all think they have a shot. Vegas has this game as EVEN as well.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers Preview & Prediction

  • Game Preview: Cincinnati Reds (Mahle) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (Houser)
  • Game Time & Date: Monday July 1st, 2019 – First pitch: 7:10 pm
  • Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
  • MLB Odds: Cincinnati Reds (-105) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (-105) – OVER/UNDER 10.0
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Pitching Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers will start Adrian Houser who is 2-2 with a 2.94 ERA in 33 innings, but he does allow a ton of base runners to go along with a great k-rate. Tyler Mahle will get the nod for the Reds. The Cincinnati starter is a grotesque 2-8 with a 4.35 ERA. The Reds starter can miss some bets to, but all in all this pitching matchup appears to go straight down the middle.

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Brewers vs. Reds Game Notes

The Milwaukee Brewers are coming off a 2-1 win over the Pittsburgh Pirates and are currently coming off a 10 or more Game Home Stand. Furthermore, the Milwaukee Brewers are currently 45-39 SU on the season and are coming off a 2 game winning streak. Plus, the Cincinnati Reds are currently 38-43 SU on the season, won their last game over the Chicago Cubs and allowed 6 runs against in their last game.

In closing, the Cincinnati Reds will be playing the Milwaukee Brewers on Tuesday.

Milwaukee Brewers    ( -114 ) Vs. Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds   ( 104 ) Vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds Preview & Prediction (07/01/2019)

Milwaukee Brewers
(Pitcher: Adrian Houser )
TR: Win 1 Loss 2
O/U/P: 1 – 2 – 0
SIDE :-114

Vs.
Date: 2019-07-01
Time: 19:10:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds Preview & Prediction (07/01/2019)

Cincinnati Reds
(Pitcher: Tyler Mahle )
TR: Win 4 Loss 10
O/U/P: 3 – 10 – 1
O/U :10

5.2 Forecast
(O/U 10.25 )
5.05
40% C.O.W 43%
72% C.O.G.O 72%
-153 DMVI 123
(B) NEUTRAL MVI (C) BEARISH
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (NBA,NHL & MLB)
C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

DMVI = (Daily Market Value Index) – The DMVI is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the DMVI, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams. The DMVI is a tool to find value vs. the current line.

VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 7-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) in their last 7 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (3-4 or 4-3) in their last 7 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-7, 1-6 or 2-5) in their last 7 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
MLB Betting
Milwaukee Brewers Cincinnati Reds
Season Record : 45-39 Season Record : 38-43
Away Record : 18-21 Away Record : 17-25
Home Record : 27-18 Home Record : 21-18
Line : -114 Line : 104
O/U : 10 O/U : 10
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Win 1 – 2 vs Pittsburgh Pirates ( Z Davies ) Last game: Win 6 – 8 vs Chicago Cubs ( J Lester )
Current game: vs. Cincinnati Reds ( T Mahle ) Current game: vs. Milwaukee Brewers ( A Houser )
Next Game: At CINCINNATI Next Game: Vs. MILWAUKEE
Streaks : 2 SU Win – 5 Under Streaks : 1 SU Win – 1 Over
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 46.94% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 51.02%
Home Favorite: 24 Win -16 Lost   (RF)4.83 – (RA)5.18 Home Favorite: 14 Win -12 Lost   (RF)5.08 – (RA)3.88
Home Underdog: 3 Win -2 Lost   (RF)4.8 – (RA)2.8 Home Underdog: 7 Win -6 Lost   (RF)4.15 – (RA)4.38
Road Favorite: 7 Win -7 Lost   (RF)5.29 – (RA)5.29 Road Favorite: 2 Win -0 Lost   (RF)6 – (RA)2
Road Underdog: 11 Win -14 Lost   (RF)4.6 – (RA)4.6 Road Underdog: 15 Win -25 Lost   (RF)3.8 – (RA)3.73
Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (RF)2.33 – (RA)1.67 Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (RF)4.67 – (RA)5
Last 5 game: 3 Win 2 Lost    (RF)2.6 – (RA)2.2 Last 5 game: 2 Win 3 Lost    (RF)3.2 – (RA)5
Last 7 game: 4 Win 3 Lost   (RF)3.29 – (RA)3.43 Last 7 game: 2 Win 5 Lost   (RF)3.71 – (RA)5.43
Last 10 game: 5 Win 5 Lost   (RF)3.7 – (RA)4.7 Last 10 game: 5 Win 5 Lost   (RF)4.7 – (RA)4.8
Last 15 game: 6 Win 9 Lost   (RF)3.8 – (RA)4.8 Last 15 game: 8 Win 7 Lost   (RF)4.6 – (RA)4.47
Team Record Team Record
A Houser’s Last 3 game: 1 Win – 2 Lost (RF)4.33 – (RA)5.67 T Mahle’s Last 3 game: 1 Win – 2 Lost (RF)1.67 – (RA)4.67
A Houser’s Last 5 game: 1 Win – 2 Lost (RF)4.33 – (RA)5.67 T Mahle’s Last 5 game: 2 Win – 3 Lost (RF)1 – (RA)4.2
A Houser’s Last 7 game: 1 Win – 2 Lost (RF)4.33 – (RA)5.67 T Mahle’s Last 7 game: 3 Win – 4 Lost (RF)3.71 – (RA)4.14
A Houser’s Last 10 game: 1 Win – 2 Lost (RF)4.33 – (RA)5.67 T Mahle’s Last 10 game: 3 Win – 7 Lost (RF)3.4 – (RA)4.3
A Houser’s Last 15 game: 1 Win – 2 Lost (RF)4.33 – (RA)5.67 T Mahle’s Last 15 game: 4 Win – 10 Lost (RF)2.86 – (RA)4
Situations (Milwaukee Brewers) Situations (Cincinnati Reds)
Coming off vs. NL Central opponent (PIT) Coming off vs. NL Central opponent (CHC)
Coming off a home fav win Coming off a home underdog win
Coming off a 2 game winning streak Coming off a 1 game winning streak
Coming off 5 unders or more Coming off 1 over
Scored 1 runs against in last game Scored 6 runs against in last game
Coming off a 10 or more Game Home Stand Coming off a 3 Game Home Stand
Trends Trends
Query SU O/U
Query SU O/U
When CINCINNATI team Played as Home team as a Underdog – After a division game – Vs Division Opponent – Coming off a series win – Coming off 1 over 9-2 4-7-0

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