New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Preview & Prediction (07/25/2019)

Today at Fenway Park, ATS Stats provides a preview and prediction on the game between the Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees for Thursday July 25th, 2019

The Boston Red Sox 56-47 SU prepare to host the New York Yankees 65-35 SU in a classic AL East showdown between two historic ball clubs looking to make their playoff runs. Both teams the Red Sox and Yankees are 3-2 in their last 5 games and evenly matched on paper. Vegas likes the Yankees in this one likely due to a 27-18 road record while the Red Sox are below .500 at home.

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Preview & Prediction

  • Game Preview: Boston Red Sox (Porcello) vs. New York Yankees (Tanaka)
  • Game Time & Date: Thursday July 25th, 2019 – First pitch: 7:10 pm
  • Location: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
  • MLB Odds: Boston Red Sox (NA) vs. New York Yankees (-120) – OVER/UNDER NA
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Pitching Preview

The Boston Red Sox will start Rick Porcello who is 8-7 with a 5.61 ERA and gives up a ton of base runners. The New York Yankees will start Masahiro Tanaka who is 7-5 with a 4.00 ERA and does not typically shine in big games. Porcellos stat line really sours Vegas on the Red Sox in this one, but if he can give up 3 or fewer runs Boston will win this game.

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Yankees vs. Red Sox Game Notes

The New York Yankees are coming off a 10-7 win over the Minnesota Twins and are currently coming off a 3 Game Road Trip. Furthermore, the New York Yankees are currently 66-35 SU on the season and are coming off a 2 game winning streak. Plus, the Boston Red Sox are currently 56-47 SU on the season, lost their last game to the Tampa Bay Rays and allowed 3 runs against in their last game.

In closing, the Boston Red Sox will be playing the New York Yankees on Friday.

New York Yankees    ( -117 ) Vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox   ( 107 ) Vs. New York Yankees
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Preview & Prediction (07/25/2019)

New York Yankees
(Pitcher: Masahira Tanaka )
TR: Win 12 Loss 8
O/U/P: 9 – 10 – 1
SIDE :-117

Vs.
Date: 2019-07-25
Time: 19:10:00

Generated from
Previous Games
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Preview & Prediction (07/25/2019)

Boston Red Sox
(Pitcher: Rick Porcello)
TR: Win 12 Loss 8
O/U/P: 13 – 7 – 0
O/U :11

3.21 Forecast
(O/U 6.13 )
2.92
34% C.O.C 39%
30% C.O.G.O 30%
-206 DMVI -188
(A) BULLISH MVI (B) NEUTRAL
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (NBA,NHL & MLB)
C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.
C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.DMVI = (Daily Market Value Index) – The DMVI is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the DMVI, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams. The DMVI is a tool to find value vs. the current line.

VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 7-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) in their last 7 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (3-4 or 4-3) in their last 7 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-7, 1-6 or 2-5) in their last 7 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
MLB Betting
New York Yankees Boston Red Sox
Season Record : 66-35 Season Record : 56-47
Away Record : 28-18 Away Record : 32-22
Home Record : 38-17 Home Record : 24-25
Line : -117 Line : 107
O/U : 11 O/U : 11
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Win 10 – 7 vs Minnesota Twins ( J Odorizzi ) Last game: Lost 2 – 3 vs Tampa Bay Rays ( D Price )
Current game: vs. Boston Red Sox ( R Porcello ) Current game: vs. New York Yankees ( M Tanaka )
Next Game: At BOSTON Next Game: Vs. NY YANKEES
Streaks : 2 SU Win – 5 Over Streaks : 1 SU Lost – 1 Under
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 28.57% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 42.86%
Home Favorite: 35 Win -14 Lost   (RF)5.16 – (RA)3.57 Home Favorite: 24 Win -19 Lost   (RF)5.84 – (RA)5.19
Home Underdog: 3 Win -3 Lost   (RF)6.5 – (RA)4.33 Home Underdog: 0 Win -6 Lost   (RF)4 – (RA)8.17
Road Favorite: 18 Win -10 Lost   (RF)7.32 – (RA)5.68 Road Favorite: 27 Win -17 Lost   (RF)6.16 – (RA)4.89
Road Underdog: 10 Win -8 Lost   (RF)5.06 – (RA)4.72 Road Underdog: 5 Win -5 Lost   (RF)3.6 – (RA)3.8
Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (RF)10 – (RA)9 Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (RF)5.33 – (RA)3.67
Last 5 game: 3 Win 2 Lost    (RF)9 – (RA)8 Last 5 game: 3 Win 2 Lost    (RF)6.6 – (RA)4.4
Last 7 game: 5 Win 2 Lost   (RF)8.43 – (RA)6.29 Last 7 game: 4 Win 3 Lost   (RF)5.71 – (RA)4.71
Last 10 game: 7 Win 3 Lost   (RF)7.6 – (RA)5.3 Last 10 game: 6 Win 4 Lost   (RF)5.9 – (RA)5.5
Last 15 game: 9 Win 6 Lost   (RF)5.93 – (RA)4.2 Last 15 game: 9 Win 6 Lost   (RF)5.93 – (RA)5.53
Team Record Team Record
M Tanaka’s Last 3 game: 3 Win – 0 Lost (RF)7.67 – (RA)3.67 R Porcello’s Last 3 game: 3 Win – 0 Lost (RF)12.33 – (RA)6.67
M Tanaka’s Last 5 game: 5 Win – 0 Lost (RF)9.4 – (RA)5.8 R Porcello’s Last 5 game: 3 Win – 2 Lost (RF)7.4 – (RA)8.6
M Tanaka’s Last 7 game: 7 Win – 0 Lost (RF)8.86 – (RA)4.86 R Porcello’s Last 7 game: 5 Win – 2 Lost (RF)8.14 – (RA)6.57
M Tanaka’s Last 10 game: 8 Win – 2 Lost (RF)7.5 – (RA)4.8 R Porcello’s Last 10 game: 6 Win – 4 Lost (RF)7.3 – (RA)6.1
M Tanaka’s Last 15 game: 10 Win – 5 Lost (RF)6.33 – (RA)4.6 R Porcello’s Last 15 game: 10 Win – 5 Lost (RF)6.87 – (RA)5.13
Situations (New York Yankees) Situations (Boston Red Sox)
Coming off vs. AL Central opponent (MIN) Coming off vs. AL East opponent (TAM)
Coming off a road favorite win Coming off a road favorite lost
Coming off a 2 game winning streak Coming off a 1 game losing streak
Coming off 5 overs or more Coming off 1 under
Scored 7 runs against in last game Scored 3 runs against in last game
Coming off a 3 Game Road Trip Coming off a 6 Game Road Trip
Trends Trends
Query SU O/U
Query SU O/U
When ANY MLB Team Played as Home team as a Underdog – Vs AL Conference – After a conference game – During the month of July – Coming off a 1 game loss – Coming off a 1 run lost – Coming off a Loss vs. AL EAST opponent 8-9 3-13-1

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