GAME IDENTIFIER: NEW ORLEANS PELICANS (25-47) vs. NEW YORK KNICKS (48-25)
DATE: Tuesday, March 24, 2026
LOCATION: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
TIP-OFF: 19:30:00 EST
RAYMOND REPORT DATA SUMMARY
| METRIC | NEW ORLEANS PELICANS | NEW YORK KNICKS |
|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +8 (-108) | -8 (-108) |
| MONEYLINE | +280 | -370 |
| TOTAL (O/U) | 231.5 | 231.5 |
| C.O.W. (Confidence of Winning) | 30.00% | 75.62% |
| FORECASTED SCORE | 112.2 | 120.14 |
| PROJECTED TOTAL | 232.34 | 232.34 |
| PVI – SOS GRADE | (C) BULLISH (6 D) | (A) BULLISH (7 D) |
| CURRENT STREAK | 1 SU LOST / 6 UNDER | 6 SU WIN / 1 OVER |
SITUATIONAL ANALYSIS & FORECAST
The Raymond Report for March 24, 2026, generates a high-conviction profile for the New York Knicks as they host the New Orleans Pelicans. New York enters this contest as an 8-point home favorite, supported by a dominant 75.62% Confidence of Winning (COW).
The Knicks’ offensive output has surged recently, coming off a massive 145-point performance against Washington. The computer forecast projects a final score of 120.14 to 112.2 in favor of the Knicks, suggesting a narrow cover of the 8-point spread and a total landing near 232.34: slightly above the market average of 231.5.
NEW YORK KNICKS: HOME ELITE STATUS
New York has established Madison Square Garden as a statistical fortress this season.
- Home Record (SU): 27-9
- Home Record (ATS): 24-11-1
- Home Favorite (SU): 26-8
- Last 10 Games (SU): 7-3
- Strength of Schedule (SOS): Ranked (A) Bullish over the last 7 days.
NEW ORLEANS PELICANS: ROAD STRUGGLES
The Pelicans continue to struggle away from home and against high-tier competition.
- Road Record (SU): 9-25
- Road Underdog (SU): 5-24
- Last 10 Games (ATS): 8-2-0 (High efficiency against numbers, but low win conversion).
- Eastern Conference Performance: 5-14 SU vs. East opponents.
STATISTICAL BREAKDOWN: LAST 100 GAMES COMPARISON
A deep dive into the ATS Stats Database reveals the following performance metrics based on the last 100 comparable situational starts for both franchises:
NEW ORLEANS PELICANS (AS ROAD UNDERDOG)
- SU Record: 4-15-0
- ATS Record: 7-10-2
- O/U Record: 7-12-0
- Average Points For: 110.1
- Average Points Against: 119.55
NEW YORK KNICKS (AS HOME FAVORITE)
- SU Record: 74-25-0
- ATS Record: 48-49-2
- O/U Record: 36-63-0
- Average Points For: 120.24
- Average Points Against: 109.85
The data indicates that while the Knicks win straight up in 74% of these situations, they cover the spread at a rate of 49.5%. However, the Pelicans’ road underdog SU record (4-15) highlights a significant lack of upset potential in this specific spot.
TREND ALERT: THE UNDER DOMINANCE
While the market is looking at a high-flying Knicks offense, the situational trends for New Orleans point heavily toward the Under.
KEY TREND:
The UNDER is 2-11-0 (15.4%) for the Pelicans when played as a 7 to 9.5 point Away Underdog with 2 days of rest over the last 10 years.
This matches the current Pelicans streak of 6 consecutive games finishing Under the total. New Orleans has scored 110 or fewer points in their last outing and struggles to maintain pace against defensive-minded teams like New York.
KNICKS TREND QUERY:
When any NBA team played as a -6.5 to -9.0 Home Favorite, with a total of 220 or more, coming off a 20+ point win and 1 Over:
- SU Record: 17-4
- ATS Record: 10-11-0
- O/U Record: 10-11-0
This query emphasizes the Knicks’ high probability of securing the win, though the ATS margin remains a coin-flip at 47.6%.
TEAM STRENGTHS & SOS INDICATORS
The Raymond Report utilizes PVI (Performance Value Index) and SOS (Strength of Schedule) to determine the current “heat” of a team.
- New York Knicks (Bullish – A): The Knicks are playing at an elite level, with a 6-game winning streak. Their Strength of Schedule over the last 7 games is rated at 16.33% (meaning they are facing and beating the competition they should beat convincingly).
- New Orleans Pelicans (Bullish – C): Despite their poor SU record, the Pelicans are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games. This suggests they are being undervalued by bookmakers but lack the closing power to win games outright. Their SOS over the last 7 games is significantly tougher at 40.82%.
SITUATIONAL SPLITS & PERFORMANCE METRICS
| SITUATION | PELICANS AVG PF/PA | KNICKS AVG PF/PA |
|---|---|---|
| Last 3 Games | 111.67 – 106.33 | 124.67 – 105.00 |
| Last 5 Games | 113.80 – 107.40 | 117.00 – 102.80 |
| Last 10 Games | 117.90 – 111.70 | 117.60 – 107.30 |
| Last 15 Games | 118.60 – 113.13 | 115.13 – 104.20 |
The Knicks’ defensive consistency is the standout metric here. In their last 15 games, they are holding opponents to just 104.2 points per game, which is nearly 9 points better than the Pelicans’ defensive output over the same span.
RAYMOND REPORT BEST BETS
PRIMARY SELECTION: NEW YORK KNICKS MONEYLINE (-370)
With a 75.62% COW and a 74-25 SU record in this specific home favorite situation, the Knicks are the cornerstone of any parlay or high-confidence straight bet.
SECONDARY SELECTION: UNDER 231.5
The 2-11 trend for the Pelicans as a road dog on 2 days’ rest is too significant to ignore. Additionally, the Pelicans are riding a 6-game Under streak. While the Knicks can score in bunches, New Orleans’ inability to contribute meaningfully on the road (9-25 SU) should keep the total from eclipsing 231.5.
CONTRASTING ANGLE (ATS): NEW ORLEANS PELICANS +8
If playing the spread, the Pelicans’ 8-2 ATS record in their last 10 games suggests they can keep the game within three possessions. However, the Knicks’ recent 145-point outburst suggests they have the ceiling to blow this open.
BETTING TOOLS & RESOURCES
To further analyze this matchup and other NBA games today, including the Brooklyn Nets vs. Portland Trail Blazers, utilize the following ATS Stats tools:
- SOS (Strength of Schedule): Compare team difficulty ratings to identify inflated records.
- PVI (Performance Value Index): Track momentum shifts before the market adjusts.
- COW/COL (Confidence of Winning/Losing): Proprietary AI metrics for win probability.
- Database Query: Run over 20 years of historical data to find situational edges.
For full access to the Raymond Report and daily high-percentage trends, visit our membership options page.
SUMMARY BOX SCORE PREDICTION
- FINAL SCORE: New York Knicks 120 – New Orleans Pelicans 111
- ATS WINNER: New York Knicks -8
- TOTAL WINNER: UNDER 231.5
- MARKET MOVEMENT: Watch for the total to drop as game time approaches due to New Orleans’ under streak.
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