Categories: NBA

NBA Fast Fact Tipsheet – Raymond Report (Nov 26, 2026)

A value-based, data-driven view for smart bettors.


🔹 Detroit Pistons (-3.5) vs Boston Celtics (O/U 231)

Forecast: DET 113.97 – BOS 113.73
VIC Rating: Both Bullish
Key Angles:

  • Detroit riding 13-game SU win streak, but ATS dip (1 ATS loss in last).
  • Boston on 5 straight ATS wins, better rest (2 days).
  • Value Edge: Boston + Points (VI +4 vs DET 0).
  • Lean: Celtics +3.5 (Contrarian Spot)
  • O/U Lean: UNDER – both C.O.G.O. 42%

🔹 New York Knicks (-6) vs Charlotte Hornets (O/U 238)

Forecast: NYK 123.13 – CHA 118.36
VIC Rating: Knicks Neutral / Hornets Bearish
Key Angles:

  • Knicks in solid rhythm (7-3 SU L10), Hornets sinking (6 straight losses).
  • Expect regression for CHA defense, inflated total at 238.
  • Lean: Knicks -6
  • O/U Lean: UNDER (C.O.G.O. 48%)

🔹 Miami Heat (-8) vs Milwaukee Bucks (O/U 237.5)

Forecast: MIA 123.33 – MIL 115.28
VIC Rating: Heat Bullish / Bucks Bearish
Key Angles:

  • Bucks on 5 straight SU & ATS losses—avoid until they show life.
  • Heat on 5-game win & cover streak, offense efficient.
  • Lean: Heat -8 (Momentum + Value)
  • O/U Lean: UNDER (Both C.O.G.O. 45%)

🔹 Oklahoma City Thunder (-8) vs Minnesota Timberwolves (O/U 227)

Forecast: OKC 120.38 – MIN 111.84
VIC Rating: Thunder Bullish / Wolves Neutral
Key Angles:

  • OKC 9 SU wins in a row; ATS 7-3 last 10 = elite form.
  • Minnesota burned out, back-to-back and lost 2 straight.
  • Lean: Thunder -8
  • O/U Lean: OVER (C.O.G.O. 66 ± High % Play)

🔹 Toronto Raptors (-10) vs Indiana Pacers (O/U 233.5)

Forecast: TOR 120.48 – IND 112.5
VIC Rating: Raptors Bullish / Pacers Bearish
Key Angles:

  • Pacers only 2 wins on the year (2-15 SU).
  • Toronto 8-game winning streak both SU & ATS.
  • Lean: Raptors -10 (Ride the Wave)
  • O/U Lean: UNDER (C.O.G.O. 54%)

🔹 New Orleans Pelicans (-3.5) vs Memphis Grizzlies (O/U 235)

Forecast: NOP 115.65 – MEM 114.74
VIC Rating: Both Bearish
Key Angles:

  • Two struggling sides — better to pass or look at total.
  • Pelicans slightly stronger at home; Grizz haven’t found flow (6-12 SU).
  • Lean: Pelicans PK (Situational Edge)
  • O/U Lean: OVER (C.O.G.O. 57%)

🔹 Golden State Warriors (-2.5) vs Houston Rockets (O/U 223.5)

Forecast: GSW 113.83 – HOU 111.71
VIC Rating: Warriors Neutral / Rockets Bullish
Key Angles:

  • Two form teams colliding; Rockets hot (7-3 ATS L10).
  • Warriors inconsistent at home but trending OVER (7-3 O/U L10).
  • Lean: Rockets +2.5 (Value Edge)
  • O/U Lean: OVER (C.O.G.O. 51%)

🔹 Portland Trail Blazers (-1.5) vs San Antonio Spurs (O/U 239.5)

Forecast: SAS 119.32 – POR 116.74
VIC Rating: Spurs Neutral / Blazers Bearish
Key Angles:

  • Spurs quietly strong ATS (7-3 last 10).
  • Portland hit-or-miss; inflated line vs better form team.
  • Lean: Spurs +1.5 (Contrarian Dog)
  • O/U Lean: OVER (C.O.G.O. 54%)

🔹 Phoenix Suns (-4.5) vs Sacramento Kings (O/U 233.5)

Forecast: PHX 117.06 – SAC 114.24
VIC Rating: Suns Bullish / Kings Bearish
Key Angles:

  • Kings 2-8 SU last 10; ATS fade material (1-9).
  • Suns steady, undervalued after loss.
  • Lean: Suns -4.5 (Bounce Back Spot)
  • O/U Lean: UNDER (C.O.G.O. 68%)

📊 Trend Summary

Category Most Bullish Teams Most Bearish Teams High % Over High % Under
Momentum OKC, TOR, MIA CHA, MIL, SAC OKC (66%), PHX (68%) DET-BOS (42%), MIA-MIL (45%)
ATS Form TOR (8-1-1), BOS (7-3), MIA (8-2) SAC (1-9), CHA (2-8)

🏁 Key Takeaways

  • Ride the Form: Toronto, Miami, and OKC are covering machines right now.
  • Fade Fatigue: Boston better-rested vs streaking Detroit; situational edge matters.
  • Totals Insight: Spot value on unders tonight — 6 of 9 games with C.O.G.O. under 55%.
  • Best Situational Plays:
    Miami -8
    Toronto -10
    Oklahoma City -8
    ⚠️ Under 231 (Detroit/Boston)
Ron Raymond
Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper and founder of ATSstats.com, creator of the Raymond Report sports betting system. Active in the industry since 1996, Ron has nearly three decades of experience analyzing market cycles, performance indicators, and value metrics across the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and CFL. Ron’s data-driven approach has helped thousands of bettors think strategically, manage risk, and win with confidence.
Ron Raymond

Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper and founder of ATSstats.com, creator of the Raymond Report sports betting system. Active in the industry since 1996, Ron has nearly three decades of experience analyzing market cycles, performance indicators, and value metrics across the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and CFL. Ron’s data-driven approach has helped thousands of bettors think strategically, manage risk, and win with confidence.

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