NBA Market Pulse Report – February 12, 2025

If you’re betting on the NBA, understanding market trends is just as crucial as analyzing individual matchups. The Sports Betting Index (SBI) from ATS STATS tracks how Favorites, Underdogs, Overs, and Unders are performing, providing insight into where the market is trending. Let’s break down the latest trends using the Raymond Report SBI Charts.

🔥 SU (Straight Up) Market Trends – Favorites vs. Underdogs 🔥

✅ Favorites have been winning at 67.1% on the season, indicating a strong bullish market for teams expected to win.

📈 Recent Trends:

• Last 7 Days: 67.1% Favorites (Bullish) – Steady with the season average, meaning favorites continue to dominate.
• Last 3 Days: 74% Favorites (Bullish) – An even stronger run for chalk bettors.
• Last 1 Day: 75% Favorites (Bullish) – A great night for favorites in the NBA.

🔹 Takeaway: The market has been heavily favoring favorites, with the last three days seeing a particularly strong surge. If this continues, books might start inflating lines, so bettors should monitor spreads closely for potential overvalued favorites.

📊 ATS (Against the Spread) – Who’s Covering?

📉 ATS Favorites: 45% (Neutral to Bearish)
📈 ATS Underdogs: 55% (Neutral to Bullish)

📊 Recent Trends:

• Last 7 Days: 48% Favorites, 52% Underdogs (Neutral, but leaning to underdogs).
• Last 3 Days: 56% Favorites, 44% Underdogs (Bullish for favorites).
• Last 1 Day: 75% Favorites, 25% Underdogs (Very Bullish for favorites).

🔹 Takeaway: While favorites have been winning straight up, the ATS trends suggest underdogs have been covering at a solid rate over the past week. However, favorites had a strong covering night yesterday, so the market may be adjusting. Bettors should be cautious laying heavy points and look for value in underdogs getting too many points.

💰 O/U Market – Are Overs or Unders Dominating?

📈 Season-to-Date: 53% Overs vs. 47% Unders (Neutral Market).

📊 Recent Trends:

• Last 7 Days: 57.1% Overs (Bullish for Overs).
• Last 3 Days: 46% Overs (Neutral Market).
• Last 1 Day: 25% Overs (Very Bearish for Overs).

🔹 Takeaway: The past 7 days have been bullish for Overs, but the last 3 days show a shift back to neutral, and yesterday was extremely bearish. This could signal a market correction towards Unders in the near future. Slower-paced teams or defensive matchups may be good Under plays.

🔍 Key Betting Angles for Today’s NBA Games

📌 Favorites Winning but Not Always Covering: Be cautious of big spreads—while favorites are winning outright, underdogs have been covering at a high rate. Moneyline parlays could be a safer alternative to ATS bets for chalk bettors.

📌 Overs Have Been Hot, But…: Yesterday’s big dip in Overs suggests a market shift toward Unders. Bettors should analyze pace and defensive matchups before automatically betting on high totals.

📌 Watch for Public Inflation on Favorites: With Favorites dominating SU but struggling ATS, sportsbooks might be inflating lines on high-profile teams like the Lakers, Celtics, and Nuggets. Look for value on short underdogs in competitive matchups.

🔑 Get the Full NBA Betting Breakdown Inside the Raymond Report!

💡 Want to stay ahead of the market? The Raymond Report SBI Charts give you:
✔ Historical Betting Trends for Every Team
✔ Short-Term & Long-Term Market Corrections
✔ Performance Indicators for Favorites, Underdogs, Overs, and Unders

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