NBA Market Value Index (MVI)

As of December 23, 2025

Most NBA fans watch the standings. Smart investors watch the price.
That’s exactly what the NBA Market Value Index (MVI) does — it treats teams like assets, not emotions. Wins, losses, streaks, market price, and recent form all get baked into one brutal truth: is this team trending up, flat, or headed for the clearance rack?

Let’s break down the league as investors, not box-score tourists.

🟢 A-GRADE TEAMS — BULLISH ASSETS

These are your blue-chip stocks. Strong records, positive momentum, and market respect.

• Detroit Pistons (23-6)
  Yes, Detroit. And no, that’s not a typo. Elite win rate, 6-1 last seven, confidence at 85%. The market finally caught up — but this thing is still trending higher.

• Denver Nuggets (21-7)
  Classic Denver. Efficient, boring, profitable. The Nuggets don’t spike headlines — they spike bankrolls.

• San Antonio Spurs (21-8)
  Structure beats chaos. Always has. The Spurs are on a 3-game heater and priced like a contender.

• New York Knicks (21-8)
  The Knicks are no longer an emotional trade — they’re an actual asset. Same MVI lane as San Antonio.

• Oklahoma City Thunder (26-3)
  The strongest raw record in the league. Slight dip in recent form keeps confidence lower than Detroit, but make no mistake — this is elite.

• Boston Celtics (18-11)
  Not flashy lately, but still fundamentally sound. A long-term hold with upside.

• Minnesota Timberwolves (19-10)
  Quietly consistent. The market respects them — and it should.

• Los Angeles Lakers (19-8)
  Neutral confidence short-term, but still an A-grade asset overall. Price matters here — don’t chase.

• Houston Rockets (17-9)
  This is where casual bettors get confused. Houston is good… just not cheap anymore.

🟡 B-GRADE TEAMS — NEUTRAL / RANGE-BOUND

Tradable assets. Timing matters more than talent.

• Philadelphia 76ers, Golden State Warriors, Cleveland Cavaliers, Phoenix Suns, Orlando Magic

These teams live in the middle lane. They’ll beat you one night, burn you the next. Perfect for situational plays — terrible for blind loyalty.

• Toronto Raptors & Atlanta Hawks
  Records look fine. Trend does not. That’s how money gets trapped.

🟠 C-GRADE TEAMS — NEUTRAL BUT FRAGILE

Low price doesn’t always mean value.

• Brooklyn Nets, Chicago Bulls, Memphis Grizzlies
  Some short-term wins, but the foundation is shaky. These are dead-cat bounce candidates.

• Dallas Mavericks & Portland Trail Blazers
  Market still inflates perception. Reality says otherwise.

• Charlotte Hornets
  Cheap. Still not value. There’s a difference.

🔴 BEARISH TEAMS — AVOID OR FADE

These are the falling knives.

• Sacramento Kings, Indiana Pacers, Los Angeles Clippers, Utah Jazz, Milwaukee Bucks, Washington Wizards, Miami Heat

Low confidence. Bad trends. Negative momentum.
This is where bettors say, “They’re due.”
Markets say, “They’re broken.”

📌 Final Investor Take

The NBA isn’t about who’s “good.”
It’s about who’s overpriced, underpriced, or misread by the market.

That’s the edge the Market Value Index gives you — and why ATSStats members stop guessing and start positioning.

If you want the daily MVI updates, confidence shifts, and market traps before the books adjust, you know where to find it.

👉 ATSStats.com
Because betting blind is expensive — and Vegas charges interest. 😏