Atlanta Hawks (227.5) vs. Portland Trailblazers (8) Preview & Prediction (11/10/2019)

The Atlanta Hawks will be on the road Sunday taking the court against the Trail Blazers at the Moda Center in Portland. The Hawks will be looking to put an end to a two-game skid following a 121-109 loss at home against the Sacramento Kings on Friday. The Blazers will be looking for their first win in five games after losing 119-115 at home against the Brooklyn Nets their last time on the court.

 

The Atlanta Hawks are now 3-5 on the season following a 121-109 loss at home to the Sacramento Kings. Trae Young was able to connect on 12 of 22 from the field to lead Atlanta with 30 points. He was also able to pass the ball for a team-high 12 assists while Jabari Parker grabbed eight rebounds. Atlanta had three players with at least 17 points in the game.

 

The Hawks have been able to put the ball in the net for an average of 103.4 points per game this season while shooting 46.3 from the field. Atlanta has passed the ball for an average of 22.9 assists per night with 43.1 rebounds. On the defensive end of the floor, Atlanta gives up 107.0 points per night. The Hawks average 8.6 steals per game to go along with 5.0 blocks. They will be looking to avoid a third consecutive loss.

 

The Portland Trail Blazers are now 3-6 following a 119-115 loss at home against the Brooklyn Nets. Damian Lillard dropped 19 of 33 from the field to lead the Blazers with 60 points. He was also able to pass the ball for a team-high five assists while Hassan Whiteside hauled in 15 rebounds. Portland had three different players with at least 15 points on the night.

 

The Trail Blazers have been good for an average of 113.0 points per game on the offensive end of the court while hitting 44.8 percent from the field. They have been able to pass the ball for an average of 17.0 assists per night while grabbing 45.9 rebounds. Defensively, they allow an average of 114.8 points per game to their opponents. Portland has been taking the ball away for 6.4 steals every time they are on the court to go along with 5.8 blocks. They will be looking to avoid a fifth straight loss.

 

The Trail Blazers will take the court as eight and a half point favorites in this game with the total sitting at 227.5. I like Portland getting the win at home on Sunday but I don’t see them covering this spread against Atlanta. The Hawks have been solid even in losing efforts when it comes to passing the ball and that is something Portland had struggled defending this season. If the Hawks are able to spread the ball for the open shooter on the perimeter, they might even find themselves in a position to win late in the game.

 

Atlanta is 11-4 ATS in their previous 15 games vs. the Western Conference.

Portland is 0-9-1 ATS in their previous 10 games played in November.

 

 

Atlanta Hawks 8   ( 281 ) Vs. Portland Trailblazers Portland Trailblazers -8  ( -350 ) Vs. Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks

Atlanta Hawks
O/U :227.5

Vs.
Date: 2019-11-10
Time: 21:05:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Portland Trailblazers

Portland Trailblazers
SIDE :8

109.92 Forecast
(O/U 227.17 )
117.25
58% C.O.C 75%
68% C.O.G.O 68%
1.4 MSV 1.95
(C) BEARISH MVI (C) BEARISH
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL, CFB and NFL)
C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.
C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.
MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.

VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-3) in their last 3 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
Atlanta Hawks Portland Trailblazers
Season Record : 3-4 Season Record : 3-4
Away Record : 1-1 Away Record : 3-2
Home Record : 2-3 Home Record : 0-2
Line : 8 Line : -8
O/U : 227.5 O/U : 227.5
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Lost 121 – 109 vs Sacramento Kings Last game: Lost 119 – 115 vs Brooklyn Nets
SU: 8-18 ATS: 12-14-0 O/U: 14-11-1
SU: 8-6 ATS: 6-8-0 O/U: 7-6-1
Current game: vs. Portland Trailblazers Current game: vs. Atlanta Hawks
SU: 9-14 ATS: 14-9-0 O/U: 9-14-0
SU: 14-9 ATS: 9-14-0 O/U: 9-14-0
Next Game: At DENVER Next Game: At SACRAMENTO
SU: 3-13 ATS: 6-9-1 O/U: 8-8-0
SU: 20-10 ATS: 15-14-1 O/U: 14-14-2
Days Rest : 1 (+6.5/+9.0 RD) Days Rest : 1 (-6.5/-9.0 HF)
(L) SU:  (28.6 %) ATS:  (57.1%) O/U: (85.7%)
(L) SU: (81.8%) ATS: (36.4%) O/U: (72.7%)
(T) SU: (0-0) ATS: (0-0-0) O/U: (0-0-0)
(T) SU: (0-0) ATS: (0-0-0) O/U: (0-0-0)
Streaks : 2 SU Lost – 2 ATS Lost – 1 Over Streaks : 4 SU Lost – 3 ATS Lost – 2 Under
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 44.9% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 48.98%
Home Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Home Favorite: 0 Win -1 Lost   (PF)128 – (PA)129
Home Underdog: 2 Win -3 Lost   (PF)100.8 – (PA)104.6 Home Underdog: 0 Win -1 Lost   (PF)100 – (PA)108
Road Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Road Favorite: 2 Win -1 Lost   (PF)114 – (PA)112.67
Road Underdog: 1 Win -1 Lost   (PF)107 – (PA)106 Road Underdog: 1 Win -1 Lost   (PF)115.5 – (PA)116
Last 3 game: 1 Win 2 Lost    (PF)103.33 – (PA)111.33 Last 3 game: 0 Win 3 Lost    (PF)111.33 – (PA)117.67
Last 5 game: 1 Win 4 Lost    (PF)100.8 – (PA)110.4 Last 5 game: 1 Win 4 Lost    (PF)112.8 – (PA)116.2
Last 7 game: 2 Win 5 Lost   (PF)101.43 – (PA)108 Last 7 game: 2 Win 5 Lost   (PF)113.57 – (PA)116.14
Last 10 game: 3 Win 5 Lost   (PF)103.38 – (PA)107 Last 10 game: 3 Win 6 Lost   (PF)113 – (PA)114.78
Last 15 game: 3 Win 5 Lost   (PF)103.38 – (PA)107 Last 15 game: 3 Win 6 Lost   (PF)113 – (PA)114.78
Situations (Atlanta Hawks) Situations (Portland Trailblazers)
Coming off a vs. Pacific Opponent. (SAC) Coming off a vs. Atlantic Opponent. (BN)
Coming off a home underdog lost Coming off a home fav lost
Coming off a 2 game losing streak Coming off a 4 game losing streak
Coming off 1 over Coming off 2 unders
Scored 110 or less points FOR in their last game Scored 115 or less points FOR in their last game
Allowed 120 or more points AGAINST in their last game Allowed 115 or more points AGAINST in their last game
Coming off 4 game home stand Coming off a 1 game Home Stand
Coming off 2 ATS lost Coming off 1 ATS lost
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
When ATLANTA team played as a 6.5 to 9 Road Underdog – Last 4 years – Coming off 1 over 3-9-0 3-9 10-2-0
Query ATS SU O/U
When PORTLAND team played as a -6.5 to -9.0 Home Favorite – After a non conference game – Coming off vs Eastern conference opponent – Coming off a Home loss as a Favorite 5-6-0 9-2 7-4-0
When PORTLAND team played as a -6.5 to -9.0 Home Favorite – Before a conference game – Coming off 1 game home stand 8-5-0 12-1 8-5-0
When ANY NBA Team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Total is 220 or more – with 1 day off – During the month of November – Coming off a 1 game home stand 15-6-1 18-4 13-9-0

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