Brooklyn Nets (-3) vs. Atlanta Hawks (227.0) Preview & Prediction (12/04/2019)

The Brooklyn Nets will be on the road Wednesday taking the court against the Hawks at State Farm Arena in Atlanta. The Nets will be looking for their second win in three games following a 109-106 loss at home against the Miami Heat on Sunday. The Hawks will be looking for back-to-back wins after beating the Golden State Warriors 104-79 at home their last time on the court.

The Brooklyn Nets are now 10-10 following a 109-106 loss at home against the Miami Heat. Spencer Dinwiddie was able to connect on 10 of 21 from the field to lead the Nets with 29 points. Both Garrett Temple and Taurean Prince were able to pass the ball for five assists while Jarrett Allen pulled down a team-high 12 rebounds. Brooklyn had four different players finish the game with a double-digit scoring night.

The Nets have been good for an average of 112.2 points per game on the offensive end of the court while hitting 44.9 percent from the field. They have been able to pass the ball for an average of 23.8 assists per night while grabbing 46.8 rebounds. Defensively, they allow an average of 113.7 points per game to their opponents. Brooklyn has been taking the ball away for 6.9 steals every time they are on the court to go along with 5.2 blocks. They will be looking to avoid back-to-back losses.

The Atlanta Hawks are now 5-16 on the season following a 104-79 win at home against the Golden State Warriors. Trae Young was able to knock down 10 of 19 from the field to lead the Hawks with 24 points while passing the ball for a team-high seven assists. Damian Jones was able to pull down eight rebounds. Atlanta had four different players with at least 11 points in the game.

The Hawks have been able to put the ball in the net for an average of 107.6 points per game this season while shooting 44.9 from the field. Atlanta has passed the ball for an average of 23.2 assists per night with 42.1 rebounds. On the defensive end of the floor, Dallas gives up 117.2 points per night. The Hawks average 8.8 steals per game to go along with 4.7 blocks. They will be looking for back-to-back wins.

As of Tuesday night both the point spread and total were off for this game. I’m liking Brooklyn to win on the road, here. They’re scoring more points, pulling down more rebounds, and passing the ball for more assists. Kyrie Irving won’t be on the court, but the Hawks have a few injury issues of their own. I like the Nets getting the win.

NBA Stats and Trends:

  • Brooklyn is 5-2 SU in their previous seven games.
  • Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in their previous five games vs. Atlanta.
  • Atlanta is 1-5 SU in their previous six games at home.
  • Atlanta is 1-10 SU in their previous 11 games.
Brooklyn Nets -3   ( -147 ) Vs. Atlanta Hawks Atlanta Hawks 3  ( 127 ) Vs. Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn Nets

Brooklyn Nets
SIDE :3

Vs.
Date: 2019-12-04
Time: 19:35:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Atlanta Hawks

Atlanta Hawks
O/U :227

118.83 Forecast
(O/U 226.74 )
107.91
40% C.O.C 43%
41% C.O.G.O 41%
1.45 MSV 10.87
(B) BULLISH PVI (C) BEARISH
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (NBA,NHL & MLB)
C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.
C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

DMVI = (Daily Market Value Index) – The DMVI is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the DMVI, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams. The DMVI is a tool to find value vs. the current line.

PVI = (Performance Value Index) – The Performance Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 7-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) in their last 7 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (3-4 or 4-3) in their last 7 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-7, 1-6 or 2-5) in their last 7 games.
Raymond Report
Brooklyn Nets Atlanta Hawks
Season Record : 10-10 Season Record : 4-16
Away Record : 4-6 Away Record : 2-9
Home Record : 6-4 Home Record : 2-7
Line : -3 Line : 3
O/U : 227 O/U : 227
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Lost 109 – 106 vs Miami Heat Last game: Won 79 – 104 vs Golden State Warriors
SU: 16-27 ATS: 24-18-1 O/U: 16-26-1
SU: 8-6 ATS: 5-9-0 O/U: 5-8-1
Current game: vs. Atlanta Hawks Current game: vs. Brooklyn Nets
SU: 16-27 ATS: 22-21-0 O/U: 23-18-2
SU: 27-16 ATS: 20-23-0 O/U: 23-18-2
Next Game: At CHARLOTTE Next Game: At CHARLOTTE
SU: 10-14 ATS: 11-13-0 O/U: 11-12-1
SU: 20-11 ATS: 14-16-1 O/U: 12-17-2
Days Rest : 2 (0/-3.0 RF) Days Rest : 1 (0/3.0 HD)
(L) SU:  (50 %) ATS:  (50%) O/U: (75%)
(L) SU: (44%) ATS: (44%) O/U: (72%)
(T) SU: (0-0) ATS: (0-0-0) O/U: (0-0-0)
(T) SU: (1-1) ATS: (1-1-0) O/U: (1-1-0)
Streaks : 1 SU Lost – 2 ATS Win – 1 Push Streaks : 10 SU Lost – 1 ATS Lost – 1 Over
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 38.78% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 62.24%
Home Favorite: 4 Win -3 Lost   (PF)112.14 – (PA)111.71 Home Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Home Underdog: 2 Win -1 Lost   (PF)113.67 – (PA)110.67 Home Underdog: 2 Win -7 Lost   (PF)107.67 – (PA)113.67
Road Favorite: 1 Win -2 Lost   (PF)115 – (PA)116 Road Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Road Underdog: 3 Win -4 Lost   (PF)110.43 – (PA)115.86 Road Underdog: 2 Win -9 Lost   (PF)107.82 – (PA)123.55
Last 3 game: 1 Win 2 Lost    (PF)109.33 – (PA)112.33 Last 3 game: 1 Win 2 Lost    (PF)106.33 – (PA)114
Last 5 game: 3 Win 2 Lost    (PF)107.8 – (PA)108.8 Last 5 game: 1 Win 4 Lost    (PF)106.8 – (PA)115.6
Last 7 game: 5 Win 2 Lost   (PF)108 – (PA)104.57 Last 7 game: 1 Win 6 Lost   (PF)107.57 – (PA)117.86
Last 10 game: 6 Win 4 Lost   (PF)105.2 – (PA)105.9 Last 10 game: 1 Win 9 Lost   (PF)108.2 – (PA)123.2
Last 15 game: 8 Win 7 Lost   (PF)109.4 – (PA)111.27 Last 15 game: 2 Win 13 Lost   (PF)108.93 – (PA)122.6
Situations (Brooklyn Nets) Situations (Atlanta Hawks)
Coming off a vs. Southeast Opponent. (MIA) Coming off a vs. Pacific Opponent. (G.S.)
Coming off a home underdog lost Coming off a home fav win
Coming off a 1 game losing streak Coming off a 1 game winning streak
Coming off 1 push Coming off 1 under
Scored 110 or less points FOR in their last game Scored 100 or more points FOR in their last game
Allowed 105 or more points AGAINST in their last game Allowed 80 or less points AGAINST in their last game
Coming off 2 game home stand Coming off a 1 game Home Stand
Coming off 2 ATS win Coming off 1 ATS win
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
Query ATS SU O/U
When ANY NBA Team played as a Home team – During the month of December – Coming off a Win over Western Pacific opponent – Coming off a Home win – Coming off a 20 or more point win 23-19-1 35-8 20-23-0

 

What is the Raymond Report?

The Raymond Report is a unique Sports Analytics tip sheet based on the 3-Key Fundamentals of Sports Handicapping;
A) Line/Price Value ($): When calculating the “Value” of a line or price, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a past game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game. (Perception vs. Reality = Value)
B) Percentage Play (%): Every time a team wins or covers (Side or Totals), their chances of repeating that same action decreases, based on the law of average theory.
C) V.I.C. (Vegas Index Cycle): The intangibles of special circumstances. (Letdown factor, Look ahead, Line-moves, Shelf Scouting, Gut Feeling, etc…)

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