Dallas Mavericks (218) vs. Boston Celtics (3.5) Preview & Prediction (11/11/2019)

The Dallas Mavericks will be on the road Monday taking the court against the Celtics at TD Garden in Boston. Dallas will be looking for their third win in a row after beating the Grizzlies 138-122 in Memphis on Tuesday. The Celtics will be looking to keep their winning streak going following a 135-115 win against the Spurs in San Antonio their last time on the court.

The Dallas Mavericks are now 6-3 on the season following a 138-122 win against the Grizzlies in Memphis. Luka Doncic was able to drop 9 of 16 from the field to lead the Mavericks with 24 points in the game. Doncic was able to pass the ball for a team-high eight assists while adding 14 rebounds to his stat sheet. Dallas had an impressive eight players with at least 11 points on the night.

The Mavericks have been good for an average of 116.3 points per game on the offensive end of the court while hitting 45.8 percent from the field. They have been able to pass the ball for an average of 24.2 assists per night while grabbing 48.0 rebounds. Defensively, they allow an average of 111.9 points per game to their opponents. Dallas has been taking the ball away for 5.9 steals every time they are on the court to go along with 4.3 blocks. They will be looking for a second win in a row.

The Boston Celtics are now 7-1 on the season following a 135-115 win against the Spurs in San Antonio. Jaylen Brown was able to connect on 10 of 18 from the field to lead the team with 30 points. Kemba Walker managed to pass the ball for a team-high eight assists while Brown, Jayson Tatum, and Robert Williams III each pulled down seven rebounds. Boston had five different players with at least 11 points in the game.

The Celtics have been able to put the ball in the net for an average of 113.1 points per game this season while shooting 44.8 from the field. Boston has passed the ball for an average of 23.8 assists per night with 46.5 rebounds. On the defensive end of the floor, Boston gives up 103.8 points per night. The Celtics average 8.5 steals per game to go along with 6.9 blocks. They will be looking for an eighth consecutive win.

The Celtics will take the floor as three and a half point favorites on Monday with the total sitting at 217.5. It’s yet to be determined just how much of a factor it will be for the Celtics going without Gordon Hayward. Even without their starting SF, I like Boston covering the points in this one. They are the stronger team on the defensive end of the court and I don’t think running with a smaller lineup will exactly hurt the Celtics. My money’s on Boston -3.5.

NBA Stats and Trends:

  • Dallas is 2-4 ATS in their previous six games vs. Boston.
  • Boston is 5-1-1 ATS in their previous seven games.
Dallas Mavericks 3.5   ( 140 ) Vs. Boston Celtics Boston Celtics -3.5  ( -160 ) Vs. Dallas Mavericks
Dallas Mavericks (218) vs. Boston Celtics (3.5) Preview & Prediction (11/11/2019)

Dallas Mavericks
O/U :218

Vs.
Date: 2019-11-11
Time: 19:35:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Dallas Mavericks (218) vs. Boston Celtics (3.5) Preview & Prediction (11/11/2019)

Boston Celtics
SIDE :3.5

107.14 Forecast
(O/U 220.47 )
113.33
61% C.O.C 14%
38% C.O.G.O 38%
-5.15 MSV -8.77
(A) NEUTRAL MVI (A) BULLISH
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL, CFB and NFL)
C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.
C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.
MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-3) in their last 3 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
Dallas Mavericks Boston Celtics
Season Record : 6-3 Season Record : 7-1
Away Record : 4-0 Away Record : 4-1
Home Record : 2-3 Home Record : 3-0
Line : 3.5 Line : -3.5
O/U : 218 O/U : 218
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Won 138 – 122 vs Memphis Grizzlies Last game: Won 135 – 115 vs San Antonio Spurs
SU: 15-13 ATS: 17-11-0 O/U: 9-18-1
SU: 11-6 ATS: 10-7-0 O/U: 8-9-0
Current game: vs. Boston Celtics Current game: vs. Dallas Mavericks
SU: 13-9 ATS: 14-8-0 O/U: 11-11-0
SU: 9-13 ATS: 8-14-0 O/U: 11-11-0
Next Game: At NEW YORK Next Game: Vs. WASHINGTON
SU: 6-6 ATS: 4-8-0 O/U: 6-6-0
SU: 14-21 ATS: 11-23-1 O/U: 13-22-0
Days Rest : 1 (+3.5/+6.0 RD) Days Rest : 1 (-3.5/-6.0 HF)
(L) SU:  (23.1 %) ATS:  (30.8%) O/U: (53.8%)
(L) SU: (70%) ATS: (60%) O/U: (60%)
(T) SU: (1-0) ATS: (1-0-0) O/U: (1-0-0)
(T) SU: (0-0) ATS: (0-0-0) O/U: (0-0-0)
Streaks : 1 SU Win – 1 ATS Win – 1 Over Streaks : 7 SU Win – 2 ATS Win – 1 Over
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 44.9% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 48.98%
Home Favorite: 2 Win -3 Lost   (PF)109.2 – (PA)110.4 Home Favorite: 2 Win -0 Lost   (PF)108 – (PA)104
Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Home Underdog: 1 Win -0 Lost   (PF)116 – (PA)105
Road Favorite: 2 Win -0 Lost   (PF)134.5 – (PA)116.5 Road Favorite: 3 Win -0 Lost   (PF)115 – (PA)98.33
Road Underdog: 2 Win -0 Lost   (PF)116 – (PA)111 Road Underdog: 1 Win -1 Lost   (PF)114 – (PA)111
Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (PF)115.67 – (PA)111.33 Last 3 game: 3 Win 0 Lost    (PF)120.67 – (PA)105
Last 5 game: 3 Win 2 Lost    (PF)117.6 – (PA)112.8 Last 5 game: 5 Win 0 Lost    (PF)116.4 – (PA)104.4
Last 7 game: 4 Win 3 Lost   (PF)116.57 – (PA)113 Last 7 game: 7 Win 0 Lost   (PF)116 – (PA)103.29
Last 10 game: 6 Win 3 Lost   (PF)116.33 – (PA)111.89 Last 10 game: 7 Win 1 Lost   (PF)113.13 – (PA)103.75
Last 15 game: 6 Win 3 Lost   (PF)116.33 – (PA)111.89 Last 15 game: 7 Win 1 Lost   (PF)113.13 – (PA)103.75
Situations (Dallas Mavericks) Situations (Boston Celtics)
Coming off a vs. Southwest Opponent. (MEM) Coming off a vs. Southwest Opponent. (S.A.)
Coming off a road underdog win Coming off a road favorite win
Coming off a 1 game winning streak Coming off a 7 game winning streak
Coming off 1 over Coming off 1 over
Scored 120 or more points FOR in their last game Scored 120 or more points FOR in their last game
Coming off a 1 game Road Stand Allowed 116 or less points AGAINST in their last game
Coming off 1 ATS win Coming off 3 game road stand
3 game in 4 nights Coming off 2 ATS win
After 1 day off After 1 day off
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
Query ATS SU O/U
When BOSTON team played as a Home team – Last 2 years – After a non conference game – Coming off vs Western conference opponent 17-13-0 25-5 18-12-0

 

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