Denver Nuggets (203) vs. Boston Celtics (3) Preview & Prediction (12/06/2019)

The Denver Nuggets will be on the road Friday taking the court against the Celtics at TD Garden in Boston. Denver will be looking for back-to-back wins after beating the Knicks 129-92 in New York on Thursday. Boston will be looking for a third consecutive win after beating the Miami Heat 112-93 at home their last time on the court.

The Denver Nuggets are now 14-5 on the year following a 129-92 win against the Knicks in New York. Will Barton was able to knock down 6 of 9 from the field to lead the Nuggets with 17 points. Nikola Jokic passed the ball for a team-high eight assists while Mason Plumlee pulled down 11 rebounds. Denver had an impressive eight players finish with at least 10 points on the night.

The Nuggets have been good for an average of 106.1 points per game on the offensive end of the court while hitting 44.5 percent from the field. They have been able to pass the ball for an average of 25.9 assists per night while grabbing 46.9 rebounds. Defensively, they allow an average of 101.9 points per game to their opponents. Denver has been taking the ball away for 8.0 steals every time they are on the court to go along with 5.0 blocks. They will be looking for a second win in as many nights.

The Boston Celtics come into this one 15-5 following a 112-93 win at home against the Miami Heat. Jaylen Brown connected on 10 of 20 from the field to lead the Celtics with 31 points. Kemba Walker passed the ball for a team-high seven assists while Robert Williams III pulled down 10 rebounds. Boston had three different players finish the game with a double-digit night scoring.

The Celtics have been able to put the ball in the net for an average of 110.8 points per game this season while shooting 44.1 from the field. Boston has passed the ball for an average of 23.6 assists per night with 46.5 rebounds. On the defensive end of the floor, Boston gives up 103.9 points per night. The Celtics average 8.9 steals per game to go along with 5.9 blocks. They will be looking for a third consecutive win.

Boston will take the court as three-point favorites with the total sitting at 203 on the game. I’m liking the Celtics to cover this spread. They will have a rowdy weekend home crowd and it will be back-to-back games for the Nuggets. I don’t care who you are, beating a team like Denver beat the Knicks on Thursday takes something out of you. I like Boston covering the three points at home.

 NBA Stats and Trends:

  • Boston is 6-2 ATS in their previous eight games.
  • Boston is 12-6 ATS in their previous 18 games vs. the Northwest division.
Denver Nuggets 3   ( 133 ) Vs. Boston Celtics Boston Celtics -3  ( -153 ) Vs. Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets
O/U :203

Vs.
Date: 2019-12-06
Time: 20:05:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Boston Celtics

Boston Celtics
SIDE :3

98.92 Forecast
(O/U 199.67 )
100.75
% C.O.W %
60% C.O.C 35%
58% C.O.G.O 58%
-6.06 MSV -7.15
(A) BULLISH MVI (A) NEUTRAL
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL, CFB,NBA and NFL)
C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.
MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.

VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-1) in their last 3 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
Denver Nuggets Boston Celtics
Season Record : 14-5 Season Record : 15-5
Away Record : 6-2 Away Record : 7-5
Home Record : 8-3 Home Record : 8-0
Line : 3 Line : -3
O/U : 203 O/U : 203
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Won 129 – 92 vs New York Knicks Last game: Won 93 – 112 vs Miami Heat
SU: 7-15 ATS: 9-13-0 O/U: 15-6-1
SU: 63-21 ATS: 46-36-2 O/U: 42-39-3
Current game: vs. Boston Celtics Current game: vs. Denver Nuggets
SU: 5-17 ATS: 8-13-1 O/U: 12-10-0
SU: 17-5 ATS: 13-8-1 O/U: 12-10-0
Next Game: At BROOKLYN Next Game: Vs. CLEVELAND
SU: 9-10 ATS: 11-8-0 O/U: 10-9-0
SU: 21-19 ATS: 13-27-0 O/U: 20-19-1
Days Rest : 0 (0/+3.0 RD) Days Rest : 1 (0/-3.0 HF)
(L) SU:  (6-3-0) ATS:  (6-3-0) O/U:  (4-5-0)
(L) SU:  (17-11-0) ATS: (16-11-1) O/U: (14-14-0)
(T) SU: (0-0) ATS: (0-0-0) O/U: (0-0-0)
(T) SU: (2-0) ATS: (2-0-0) O/U: (2-0-0)
Streaks : 1 SU Win – 1 ATS Win – 1 Over Streaks : 2 SU Win – 2 ATS Win – 1 Under
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 40.82% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 55.1%
Home Favorite: 8 Win -3 Lost   (PF)106.82 – (PA)101.82 Home Favorite: 7 Win -0 Lost   (PF)115.43 – (PA)107.43
Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Home Underdog: 1 Win -0 Lost   (PF)116 – (PA)105
Road Favorite: 6 Win -2 Lost   (PF)108 – (PA)100.88 Road Favorite: 5 Win -2 Lost   (PF)109.86 – (PA)101.57
Road Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Road Underdog: 2 Win -3 Lost   (PF)104.6 – (PA)102
Last 3 game: 1 Win 2 Lost    (PF)107.33 – (PA)99 Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (PF)110.67 – (PA)103
Last 5 game: 3 Win 2 Lost    (PF)111 – (PA)101 Last 5 game: 4 Win 1 Lost    (PF)111.2 – (PA)104.2
Last 7 game: 5 Win 2 Lost   (PF)108 – (PA)98.86 Last 7 game: 4 Win 3 Lost   (PF)107.43 – (PA)103.43
Last 10 game: 7 Win 3 Lost   (PF)110.9 – (PA)102.4 Last 10 game: 6 Win 4 Lost   (PF)105.5 – (PA)100.9
Last 15 game: 11 Win 4 Lost   (PF)107.73 – (PA)101.13 Last 15 game: 11 Win 4 Lost   (PF)111.53 – (PA)104.2
Situations (Denver Nuggets) Situations (Boston Celtics)
Coming off a vs. Atlantic Opponent. (NY) Coming off a vs. Southeast Opponent. (MIA)
Coming off a road underdog win Coming off a home fav win
Coming off a 1 game winning streak Coming off a 2 game winning streak
Coming off 1 over Coming off 1 under
Scored 120 or more points FOR in their last game Scored 110 or more points FOR in their last game
Allowed 95 or less points AGAINST in their last game Allowed 95 or less points AGAINST in their last game
Coming off a 1 game Road Stand Coming off a 1 game Home Stand
Coming off 1 ATS win Coming off 2 ATS win
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
Query ATS SU O/U
When BOSTON team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Vs Northwest opponent – Coming off 2 ATS win 10-4-0 12-2 4-10-0

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