The Denver Nuggets will kick off the 2019-20 regular season in Portland against the Trail Blazers at the Moda Center. While neither of these teams is expected to win the conference, both of them will make plenty of noise this season in the West.
Denver had a breakout season last year and will receive plenty of attention in 2019. Portland has was one of the best backcourts in the league and will be hoping there’s enough talent up and down the rest of their roster to throw down with the bigger threats in the Western Conference.
The Denver Nuggets wrapped up the preseason with four consecutive wins, including one against Portland on 10/17, 110-104. The Nuggets were 41 of 89 from the field and made eight of their 28 shots from behind the arc. Denver was 20 of 31 from the charity stripe and had 46 rebounds, 37 off the defensive glass.
As a team, Denver had 24 assists and 16 steals. They had 12 turnovers in the game resulting in 14 points. The Nuggets has 22 fast break points and 50 points from inside the paint. Their largest lead in the game was 11 points.
In their preseason finale against the Nuggets, Portland was able to connect on 38 of 80 field-goal attempts while making 11 of 31 from behind the three-point line. They made 17 of 23 shots worth one point apiece and had 52 rebounds, eight on the offensive end of the court.
The Blazers passed the ball for 21 assists and came away with six steals on defense. They had five blocked shots and 25 turnovers in the game, good for 30 points. Portland had 12 points off the fast break and 38 from inside the paint. They had 21 fouls as a team and led by as many as nine points in the game.
The line has Portland -1.5 in this matchup with the total sitting at 219.5. Here’s the way I’m looking at it. These two teams played in each of their last preseason games in Denver with a final score of 110-104.
There’s a huge difference in the level of excitement from the crowd and the adrenaline of the players between the last preseason game and the first of the regular season. These are both great teams who are under the radar with the offseason moves of a few other teams. Both Portland and Denver have something to prove. I’m liking the total going over 219.5 with the Blazers getting the win at home.
NBA Stats and Trends:
The total has gone over in four of Denver’s previous five games.
The total has gone over in each of Denver’s previous eight games on the road.
The total has gone over in each of Denver’s previous five games on the road in Portland.
The total has gone over in eight of Portland’s previous 12 games.
Nuggets vs. Trailblazers Game Notes
Denver Nuggets 1.5 ( 100 ) Vs. Portland Trailblazers
Portland Trailblazers -1.5 ( -120 ) Vs. Denver Nuggets
Vs. Date: 2019-10-23 Time: 22:05:00
Forecast (O/U 218.23 )
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL, CFB and NFL)
C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team. C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER. MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.
BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-3) in their last 3 games.
BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.
L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.
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