Denver Nuggets (6) vs. Sacramento Kings (219.5) NBA Preview (10/28/2019)

The Denver Nuggets will be on the road against the Kings on Monday at the Golden 1 Center in Sacramento. Denver will be looking for a third consecutive win after getting a 108-107 win in overtime against the Suns on Friday. The Kings will be looking for their first win of the season following a 113-81 loss in Utah against the Jazz their last time on the court.

 

The Denver Nuggets are now 2-0 following a 108-107 win in overtime against the Phoenix Suns on Friday. Jamal Murray led the way for Denver with 27 points in the win. Nikola Jokic passed the ball for a team high 12 assists and led the Nuggets with 14 rebounds in the game. Denver had five players with double digits in points.

 

The Nuggets have been good for an average of 108.0 points per game on the offensive end of the court while hitting 40.5 percent from the field. They have been able to pass the ball for an average of 22.5 assists per night while grabbing 45.0 rebounds. Defensively, they allow an average of 103.5 points per game to their opponents. Denver has been taking the ball away for 9.0 steals every time they are on the court to go along with 8.0 blocks. They will be looking to stay undefeated on the season..

 

The Sacramento Kings are now 0-3 following a 113-81 loss in Utah against the Jazz their last time on the court. Dewayne Dedmon led the way for Sacramento with 11 points in the loss. De’Aaron Fox was able to pass the ball for five assists and Dedmon led the way with six rebounds. Sacramento had just two players with double digits scoring in the game.

 

The Kings have been able to put the ball in the net for an average of 96.0 points per game this season while shooting 39.6 from the field. Sacramento has passed the ball for an average of 16.7 assists per night with 40.3 rebounds. On the defensive end of the floor, Sacramento gives up 119.7 points per night. The Kings average 6.7 steals per game to go along with 3.3 blocks. They will be looking for their first win of the season.

 

It’s been a rough start to the season for the Kings and things aren’t going to get any easier on Monday. The Nuggets come into this one as six point favorites with the total sitting at 218. The Nuggets average 12 points more per game than the Kings while giving up 16 fewer to opponents. The Kings are eventually going to find the win column. I just don’t see it happening, here. I like Denver minus six in this one.

 NBA Stats and Trends

  • Denver is 7-2 ATS in their previous nine games vs. the Kings.
  • Denver is 10-4 ATS in their previous 14 games played in Sacramento.
  • The Kings are 0-6 ATS in their previous six games.
  • The Kings are 1-4 ATS in their previous five games at home.

 

Denver Nuggets -6   ( -235 ) Vs. Sacramento Kings Sacramento Kings 6  ( 195 ) Vs. Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets
SIDE :6

Vs.
Date: 2019-10-28
Time: 22:05:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Sacramento Kings

Sacramento Kings
O/U :219.5

112.91 Forecast
(O/U 219.53 )
106.62
50% C.O.C 100%
84% C.O.G.O 84%
-4.5 MSV 19.5
(A) BULLISH MVI (C) BEARISH
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL, CFB and NFL)
C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.
C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.
MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.

VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-3) in their last 3 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
Denver Nuggets Sacramento Kings
Season Record : 2-0 Season Record : 0-2
Away Record : 1-0 Away Record : 0-1
Home Record : 1-0 Home Record : 0-1
Line : -6 Line : 6
O/U : 219.5 O/U : 219.5
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Won 107 – 108 vs Phoenix Suns Last game: Lost 81 – 113 vs Utah Jazz
SU: 28-41 ATS: 39-31-0 O/U: 33-33-4
SU: 34-18 ATS: 29-23-0 O/U: 23-28-1
Current game: vs. Sacramento Kings Current game: vs. Denver Nuggets
SU: 13-29 ATS: 19-19-4 O/U: 23-19-0
SU: 29-13 ATS: 19-19-4 O/U: 23-19-0
Next Game: Vs. DALLAS Next Game: Vs. CHARLOTTE
SU: 5-16 ATS: 9-10-2 O/U: 8-13-0
SU: 8-3 ATS: 7-4-0 O/U: 5-5-1
Days Rest : 2 (-3.5/-6.0 RF) Days Rest : 1 (3.5/6.0 HD)
(L) SU:  (50 %) ATS:  (50%) O/U: (50%)
(L) SU: (33.3%) ATS: (33.3%) O/U: (66.7%)
(T) SU: (0-0) ATS: (0-0-0) O/U: (0-0-0)
(T) SU: (0-0) ATS: (0-0-0) O/U: (0-0-0)
Streaks : 2 SU Win – 1 ATS Lost – 2 Under Streaks : 3 SU Lost – 3 ATS Lost – 1 Under
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 66.67% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 66.67%
Home Favorite: 1 Win -0 Lost   (PF)108 – (PA)107 Home Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Home Underdog: 0 Win -1 Lost   (PF)112 – (PA)122
Road Favorite: 1 Win -0 Lost   (PF)108 – (PA)100 Road Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Road Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Road Underdog: 0 Win -1 Lost   (PF)95 – (PA)124
Last 3 game: 2 Win 0 Lost    (PF)108 – (PA)103.5 Last 3 game: 0 Win 3 Lost    (PF)96 – (PA)119.67
Last 5 game: 2 Win 0 Lost    (PF)108 – (PA)103.5 Last 5 game: 0 Win 3 Lost    (PF)96 – (PA)119.67
Last 7 game: 2 Win 0 Lost   (PF)108 – (PA)103.5 Last 7 game: 0 Win 3 Lost   (PF)96 – (PA)119.67
Last 10 game: 2 Win 0 Lost   (PF)108 – (PA)103.5 Last 10 game: 0 Win 3 Lost   (PF)96 – (PA)119.67
Last 15 game: 2 Win 0 Lost   (PF)108 – (PA)103.5 Last 15 game: 0 Win 3 Lost   (PF)96 – (PA)119.67
Situations (Denver Nuggets) Situations (Sacramento Kings)
Coming off a vs. Pacific Opponent. (PHX) Coming off a vs. Northwest Opponent. (UTA)
Coming off a home fav win Coming off a road favorite lost
Coming off a 2 game winning streak Coming off a 3 game losing streak
Coming off 2 unders Coming off 1 under
Scored 105 or more points FOR in their last game Scored 85 or less points FOR in their last game
Allowed 110 or less points AGAINST in their last game Allowed 110 or more points AGAINST in their last game
Coming off a 1 game Home Stand Coming off a 1 game Road Stand
Coming off 1 ATS lost Coming off 3 ATS lost
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
Query ATS SU O/U

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