Golden State Warriors (219) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (12) Preview & Prediction (11/09/2019)

The Golden State Warriors will be on the road Saturday taking the court against the Thunder at Chesapeake Energy Arena in Oklahoma City. The Warriors will be looking to put an end to a two-game skid after falling 125-119 in overtime against the Timberwolves in Minnesota on Friday. The Thunder will be looking for a third win in four games following a 112-121 in San Antonio against the Spurs on Thursday.

 

The Golden State Warriors are now 2-7 on the year following a 119-125 overtime loss in Minnesota against the Timberwolves on Friday.D’Angelo Russell was able to knock down 19 of 37 from the field to lead the Warriors with 52 points on the night. He also passed the ball for a team-high five assists while he and Alec Burks grabbed nine rebounds. Golden State had three players with at least 12 points in the game.

 

The Warriors have been good for an average of 112.6 points per game on the offensive end of the court while hitting 42.8 percent from the field. They have been able to pass the ball for an average of 24.6 assists per night while grabbing 45.7 rebounds. Defensively, they allow an average of 121.9 points per game to their opponents. Golden State has been taking the ball away for 7.4 steals every time they are on the court to go along with 3.4 blocks. They will be looking to avoid a third consecutive loss.

 

The Oklahoma City Thunder are now 3-5 on the season following a 121-112 loss in San Antonio against the Spurs. Danilo Gallinaoi was able to drop 7 of 10 from the field to lead the team with 27 points. Dennis Schroder was able to pass the ball for a team-high nine assists while Nerlens Noel grabbed six rebounds. Oklahoma City had six different players with at least 10 points in the game.

 

The Thunder have been able to put the ball in the net for an average of 105.0 points per game this season while shooting 44.7 from the field. OKC has passed the ball for an average of 19.6 assists per night with 45.9 rebounds. On the defensive end of the floor, Oklahoma City gives up 103.3 points per night. The Thunder average 7.4 steals per game to go along with 4.8 blocks. They will be looking to avoid back-to-back losses.

 

The Oklahoma City Thunder will take the court as 12 point favorites in the game with the total sitting at 226. I’m liking the Thunder to win here simply because it will be the second game in as many nights for the Warriors. I don’t see OKC doing enough to cover the 12 points, though. I think Golden State will keep things close until there’s just a few minutes left in the game.

 

Golden State is 10-5 ATS in their previous 15 against the Thunder.

Golden State is 8-3-1 ATS in their previous 12 vs. the Northwest division.

 

 

Golden State Warriors 12   ( 588 ) Vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Oklahoma City Thunder -12  ( -850 ) Vs. Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors

Golden State Warriors
O/U :219

Vs.
Date: 2019-11-09
Time: 20:05:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder
SIDE :12

99.51 Forecast
(O/U 215.03 )
115.52
48% C.O.C 35%
44% C.O.G.O 44%
10.07 MSV -0.95
(C) BEARISH MVI (C) NEUTRAL
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL, CFB and NFL)
C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.
C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.
MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.

VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-3) in their last 3 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
Golden State Warriors Oklahoma City Thunder
Season Record : 2-6 Season Record : 3-4
Away Record : 1-2 Away Record : 0-2
Home Record : 1-4 Home Record : 3-2
Line : 12 Line : -12
O/U : 219 O/U : 219
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Lost 119 – 125 vs Minnesota Timberwolves Last game: Lost 112 – 121 vs San Antonio Spurs
SU: 9-27 ATS: 12-23-1 O/U: 16-20-0
SU: 33-19 ATS: 27-25-0 O/U: 20-30-2
Current game: vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Current game: vs. Golden State Warriors
SU: 14-31 ATS: 22-22-1 O/U: 23-20-2
SU: 31-14 ATS: 22-22-1 O/U: 23-20-2
Next Game: Vs. UTAH Next Game: Vs. MILWAUKEE
SU: 4-17 ATS: 8-12-1 O/U: 11-10-0
SU: 12-3 ATS: 8-7-0 O/U: 6-8-1
Days Rest : 0 (+9.5/+12.0 RD) Days Rest : 1 (-9.5/-12.0 HF)
(L) SU:  (0 %) ATS:  (100%) O/U: (100%)
(L) SU: (77.8%) ATS: (33.3%) O/U: (55.6%)
(T) SU: (0-0) ATS: (0-0-0) O/U: (0-0-0)
(T) SU: (0-0) ATS: (0-0-0) O/U: (0-0-0)
Streaks : 2 SU Lost – 1 ATS Win – 3 Over Streaks : 1 SU Lost – 1 ATS Lost – 1 Over
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 46.94% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 36.73%
Home Favorite: 0 Win -1 Lost   (PF)110 – (PA)121 Home Favorite: 2 Win -1 Lost   (PF)100.67 – (PA)98.33
Home Underdog: 1 Win -3 Lost   (PF)111.5 – (PA)119.75 Home Underdog: 1 Win -1 Lost   (PF)109.5 – (PA)97
Road Favorite: 0 Win -1 Lost   (PF)92 – (PA)120 Road Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Road Underdog: 1 Win -1 Lost   (PF)123 – (PA)126 Road Underdog: 0 Win -2 Lost   (PF)103.5 – (PA)108
Last 3 game: 1 Win 2 Lost    (PF)119.33 – (PA)124 Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (PF)109.67 – (PA)106.33
Last 5 game: 1 Win 4 Lost    (PF)111 – (PA)118.4 Last 5 game: 2 Win 3 Lost    (PF)108 – (PA)107.4
Last 7 game: 2 Win 5 Lost   (PF)114.14 – (PA)119.43 Last 7 game: 3 Win 4 Lost   (PF)106.43 – (PA)103.71
Last 10 game: 2 Win 7 Lost   (PF)112.56 – (PA)121.89 Last 10 game: 3 Win 5 Lost   (PF)105 – (PA)103.25
Last 15 game: 2 Win 7 Lost   (PF)112.56 – (PA)121.89 Last 15 game: 3 Win 5 Lost   (PF)105 – (PA)103.25
Situations (Golden State Warriors) Situations (Oklahoma City Thunder)
Coming off a vs. Northwest Opponent. (MIN) Coming off a vs. Southwest Opponent. (S.A.)
Coming off a road favorite lost Coming off a road favorite lost
Coming off a 2 game losing streak Coming off a 1 game losing streak
Coming off 3 overs Coming off 1 over
Scored 120 or less points FOR in their last game Scored 115 or less points FOR in their last game
Allowed 120 or more points AGAINST in their last game Allowed 120 or more points AGAINST in their last game
Coming off 2 game road stand Coming off a 1 game Road Stand
Coming off 1 ATS win Coming off 1 ATS lost
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
Query ATS SU O/U
When OKLAHOMA team played as a -9.5 to -12.0 Home Favorite – After a non division game – Coming off 1 over 20-15-0 28-7 18-16-1
When OKLAHOMA team played as a -9.5 to -12.0 Home Favorite – with 1 day off – Coming off a Road loss 7-14-0 17-4 11-10-0
When ANY NBA Team played as a -9.5 to -12.0 Home Favorite – Before a non division game – playing on Saturday – with 1 day off – Scored 115 or less points FOR in their last game – Coming off a Road loss as a Underdog – Coming off a 1 ATS lost 20-16-1 34-3 14-22-1

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