Houston Rockets (4.5) vs. Brooklyn Nets (241.5) Prediction & Preview (11/01/2019)

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The Houston Rockets will be on the road Friday taking the court against the Nets at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn. The Rockets will be looking for a fourth consecutive win after beating the Wizards 159-158 in Washington on Wednesday. The Nets will be looking to put an end to a two-game skid after falling 118-108 at home against the Pacers their last time on the court.

 

The Houston Rockets are won 3-1 on the season following a 159-158 win against the Wizards on Wednesday. Just in case you’re curious, yes, this game ended in regulation. James Harden led the Rockets with 59 points on an 18 of 32 night from the field. Russell Westbrook was able to pass the ball for a team-high 12 assists and Clint Capela led the team with 12 rebounds. Houston had six players with at least 11 points in the game.

 

The Rockets have been good for an average of 128.0 points per game on the offensive end of the court while hitting 45.1 percent from the field. They have been able to pass the ball for an average of 26.8 assists per night while grabbing 46.5 rebounds. Defensively, they allow an average of 127.5 points per game to their opponents. Houston has been taking the ball away for 7.3 steals every time they are on the court to go along with 5.0 blocks. They will be looking for their fourth win in a row.

 

The Brooklyn Nets are now 1-3 on the season after falling 118-108 at home against the Pacers their last time on the court. Kyrie Irving led the way for Brooklyn with 28 points while shooting 11 of 20 from the field. Spencer Dinwiddie passed the ball for a team-high seven assists and Deandre Jordan cleaned up the glass with 17 rebounds. Brooklyn had four players with at least 13 points in the game.

 

The Nets have been able to put the ball in the net for an average of 120.0 points per game this season while shooting 45.6 from the field. Brooklyn has passed the ball for an average of 22.3 assists per night with 50.3 rebounds. On the defensive end of the floor, Brooklyn gives up 122.0 points per night. The Nets average 7.8 steals per game to go along with 5.3 blocks. They will be looking to end a two-game skid.

 

The Rockets will be on the court as 3.5 point favorites in this one with the total sitting at 240.5. After Wednesday’s game in Washington, it’s hard to study Houston’s stats. The numbers will more than likely drop a tad after the next four or five games. Still, I don’t think they have an issue covering in this one.

 

I was actually looking for the spread to be a little higher than it is. I just don’t think the Nets are solid enough on the defensive end of the court to keep up with the Rockets through four quarters. My money is on Houston covering the points.

 NBA Stats and Trends

  • Brooklyn is 0-8 ATS in their previous eight games.
  • Brooklyn is 0-5 ATS in their previous five games at home.
  • Houston is 5-0 ATS in their previous five games vs. the Atlantic Division.
Houston Rockets -4.5   ( -180 ) Vs. Brooklyn Nets Brooklyn Nets 4.5  ( 155 ) Vs. Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets

Houston Rockets
SIDE :4.5

Vs.
Date: 2019-11-01
Time: 19:05:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Brooklyn Nets

Brooklyn Nets
O/U :241.5

117.01 Forecast
(O/U 228.76 )
111.75
100% C.O.C 100%
21% C.O.G.O 21%
-0.67 MSV 1.67
(A) BULLISH MVI (C) BEARISH
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL, CFB and NFL)
C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.
C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.
MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.

VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-3) in their last 3 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
Houston Rockets Brooklyn Nets
Season Record : 3-1 Season Record : 1-3
Away Record : 1-0 Away Record : 0-1
Home Record : 2-1 Home Record : 1-2
Line : -4.5 Line : 4.5
O/U : 241.5 O/U : 241.5
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Won 159 – 158 vs Washington Wizards Last game: Lost 118 – 108 vs Indiana Pacers
SU: 7-11 ATS: 9-9-0 O/U: 7-9-2
SU: 22-23 ATS: 19-25-1 O/U: 26-18-1
Current game: vs. Brooklyn Nets Current game: vs. Houston Rockets
SU: 15-7 ATS: 14-8-0 O/U: 13-9-0
SU: 7-15 ATS: 8-14-0 O/U: 13-9-0
Next Game: At MIAMI Next Game: At DETROIT
SU: 7-5 ATS: 7-4-1 O/U: 5-6-1
SU: 20-12 ATS: 20-12-0 O/U: 12-18-2
Days Rest : 1 (-3.5/-6.0 RF) Days Rest : 1 (3.5/6.0 HD)
(L) SU:  (50 %) ATS:  (25%) O/U: (50%)
(L) SU: (20%) ATS: (40%) O/U: (60%)
(T) SU: (0-0) ATS: (0-0-0) O/U: (0-0-0)
(T) SU: (0-0) ATS: (0-0-0) O/U: (0-0-0)
Streaks : 3 SU Win – 4 ATS Lost – 3 Over Streaks : 2 SU Lost – 4 ATS Lost – 2 Over
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 28.75% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: %
Home Favorite: 2 Win -1 Lost   (PF)117.67 – (PA)117.33 Home Favorite: 1 Win -2 Lost   (PF)115.67 – (PA)118
Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Road Favorite: 1 Win -0 Lost   (PF)159 – (PA)158 Road Favorite: 0 Win -1 Lost   (PF)133 – (PA)134
Road Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Road Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Last 3 game: 3 Win 0 Lost    (PF)133.67 – (PA)131 Last 3 game: 1 Win 2 Lost    (PF)118 – (PA)120.33
Last 5 game: 3 Win 1 Lost    (PF)128 – (PA)127.5 Last 5 game: 1 Win 3 Lost    (PF)120 – (PA)122
Last 7 game: 3 Win 1 Lost   (PF)128 – (PA)127.5 Last 7 game: 1 Win 3 Lost   (PF)120 – (PA)122
Last 10 game: 3 Win 1 Lost   (PF)128 – (PA)127.5 Last 10 game: 1 Win 3 Lost   (PF)120 – (PA)122
Last 15 game: 3 Win 1 Lost   (PF)128 – (PA)127.5 Last 15 game: 1 Win 3 Lost   (PF)120 – (PA)122
Situations (Houston Rockets) Situations (Brooklyn Nets)
Coming off a vs. Southeast Opponent. (WAS) Coming off a vs. Central Opponent. (IND)
Coming off a road underdog win Coming off a home fav lost
Coming off a 3 game winning streak Coming off a 2 game losing streak
Coming off 3 overs Coming off 2 overs
Scored 120 or more points FOR in their last game Scored 110 or less points FOR in their last game
Coming off a 1 game Road Stand Allowed 115 or more points AGAINST in their last game
Coming off 4 ATS lost Coming off a 1 game Home Stand
Coming off 4 ATS lost
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
When HOUSTON team played as a 3.5 to 6.0 Road Favorite – Before a non conference game – After a non conference game – Coming off a Road win 5-4-1 8-2 5-5-0
Query ATS SU O/U
When ANY NBA Team played as a Home team – During the month of November – After a non division game – Total is 220 or more – Coming off a 4 ATS lost – Coming off a Home loss as a Favorite – Coming off a Home loss 15-11-1 21-6 22-5-0

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