Los Angeles Lakers (208.5) vs. Denver Nuggets (2) Preview & Prediction (12/03/2019)

The Los Angeles Lakers will be on the road Tuesday taking the court against the Nuggets at the Pepsi Center in Denver. The Lakers will be looking for their second win in three games following a 114-100 loss at home to the Dallas Mavericks on Sunday. The Nuggets will also be looking to avoid back-to-back losses after falling 100-97 in overtime in Sacramento against the Kings their last time on the court.

The Los Angeles Lakers are now 17-3 on the season following a 114-100 loss to the Dallas Mavericks. Anthony Davis was able to connect on 10 of 21 from the field to lead the Lakers with 27 points. Lebron James was able to pass the ball for a team-high eight assists while both Davis and Javale McGee pulled down 10 rebounds. Los Angeles had three different players finish the game with at least 10 points.

The Lakers have been good for an average of 112.2 points per game on the offensive end of the court while hitting 48.2 percent from the field. They have been able to pass the ball for an average of 26.6 assists per night while grabbing 44.9 rebounds. Defensively, they allow an average of 104.1 points per game to their opponents. L.A. has been taking the ball away for 8.5 steals every time they are on the court to go along with 7.3 blocks. They will be looking to avoid a second consecutive loss.

The Denver Nuggets are now 13-4 following a 100-97 loss in Sacramento against the Kings. Gary Harris was able to knock down 8 of 16 from the field to lead Denver with 25 points. Both Jamal Murray and Nikola Jokic passed the ball for six assists while Will Barton pulled down 12 rebounds. Denver had at five different players finish the game with a double-digit scoring night,

The Nuggets have been able to put the ball in the net for an average of 106.7 points per game this season while shooting 44.7 from the field. Denver has passed the ball for an average of 25.9 assists per night with 47.6 rebounds. On the defensive end of the floor, Denver gives up 101.8 points per night. The Nuggets average 7.9 steals per game to go along with 5.1 blocks. They will be looking to avoid back-to-back losses.

The Nuggets will take the court as two-point favorites with the total sitting at 211 on the game. I’m liking the Lakers to cover this spread on Tuesday. They are averaging more points per game, shooting a higher percentage from the field, and passing for more assists. Yes, Denver is very strong on the defensive side of the court, but I don’t think the Lakers are ready to lose back-to-back games. My money’s on Los Angeles covering this spread.

The trends don’t support this pick.

Los Angeles Lakers 2   ( 115 ) Vs. Denver Nuggets Denver Nuggets -2  ( -135 ) Vs. Los Angeles Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers (208.5) vs. Denver Nuggets (2) Preview & Prediction (12/03/2019)

Los Angeles Lakers
O/U :208.5

Vs.
Date: 2019-12-03
Time: 21:05:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Los Angeles Lakers (208.5) vs. Denver Nuggets (2) Preview & Prediction (12/03/2019)

Denver Nuggets
SIDE :2

102.42 Forecast
(O/U 204.57 )
102.15
56% C.O.C 43%
75% C.O.G.O 75%
-7.8 MSV -4.63
(A) BULLISH MVI (A) BULLISH
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL, CFB and NFL)
C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.
C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.
MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-3) in their last 3 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
Los Angeles Lakers Denver Nuggets
Season Record : 17-3 Season Record : 13-4
Away Record : 8-1 Away Record : 5-2
Home Record : 9-2 Home Record : 8-2
Line : 2 Line : -2
O/U : 208.5 O/U : 208.5
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Lost 114 – 100 vs Dallas Mavericks Last game: Lost 97 – 100 vs Sacramento Kings
SU: 24-18 ATS: 21-20-1 O/U: 22-18-2
SU: 29-21 ATS: 25-24-1 O/U: 27-23-0
Current game: vs. Denver Nuggets Current game: vs. Los Angeles Lakers
SU: 23-28 ATS: 21-30-0 O/U: 24-24-3
SU: 28-23 ATS: 29-22-0 O/U: 24-24-3
Next Game: At UTAH Next Game: At NEW YORK
SU: 17-14 ATS: 16-15-0 O/U: 14-16-1
SU: 4-6 ATS: 4-6-0 O/U: 5-5-0
Days Rest : 1 (0/+3.0 RD) Days Rest : 2 (0/-3.0 HF)
(L) SU:  (42.9 %) ATS:  (46.4%) O/U: (57.1%)
(L) SU: (46.2%) ATS: (38.5%) O/U: (76.9%)
(T) SU: (0-0) ATS: (0-0-0) O/U: (0-0-0)
(T) SU: (1-0) ATS: (1-0-0) O/U: (0-1-0)
Streaks : Streaks :
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: % Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: %
Home Favorite: 9 Win -2 Lost   (PF)110.18 – (PA)98.82 Home Favorite: 8 Win -2 Lost   (PF)107.9 – (PA)101.5
Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Road Favorite: 7 Win -1 Lost   (PF)114.13 – (PA)110.5 Road Favorite: 5 Win -2 Lost   (PF)105 – (PA)102.14
Road Underdog: 1 Win -0 Lost   (PF)119 – (PA)110 Road Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (PF)113 – (PA)109 Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (PF)110 – (PA)102.67
Last 5 game: 4 Win 1 Lost    (PF)112.4 – (PA)107.8 Last 5 game: 4 Win 1 Lost    (PF)106.2 – (PA)99
Last 7 game: 6 Win 1 Lost   (PF)114.86 – (PA)110.43 Last 7 game: 6 Win 1 Lost   (PF)109 – (PA)100.29
Last 10 game: 9 Win 1 Lost   (PF)114.5 – (PA)106.5 Last 10 game: 8 Win 2 Lost   (PF)108.4 – (PA)102.2
Last 15 game: 13 Win 2 Lost   (PF)112.53 – (PA)105.4 Last 15 game: 11 Win 4 Lost   (PF)106.53 – (PA)101.53
Situations (Los Angeles Lakers) Situations (Denver Nuggets)
Coming off a vs. Southwest Opponent. (DAL) Coming off a vs. Pacific Opponent. (SAC)
Coming off a home fav lost Coming off a road underdog lost
Coming off a 1 game losing streak Coming off a 1 game losing streak
Coming off 5 or more unders Coming off 2 unders
Scored 100 or less points FOR in their last game Scored 100 or less points FOR in their last game
Allowed 110 or more points AGAINST in their last game Allowed 100 or more points AGAINST in their last game
Coming off 2 game home stand Coming off a 1 game Road Stand
Coming off 1 ATS lost Coming off 1 ATS lost
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
When LA LAKERS team played as a pk to 3 Road Underdog – with 1 day off – Coming off a Loss over Western Southwest opponent – Scored 100 or less points FOR in their last game 3-7-0 3-7 8-2-0
Query ATS SU O/U
When ANY NBA Team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Vs Pacific opponent – Last 2 years – During the month of December – Coming off a 1 game road stand – Coming off a Road loss – Coming off a 1 ATS lost 10-8-1 16-3 12-7-0
When ANY NBA Team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Vs Conference Opponent – with 2 day off – Total is between 205 to 210 – Allowed 100 or more points AGAINST in their last game – Coming off 2 unders – Coming off a 1 ATS lost 11-5-1 15-2 9-8-0

 

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