Memphis Grizzlies (225.5) vs. San Antonio Spurs (11) Preview & Prediction (11/11/2019)

The Memphis Grizzlies will be on the road Monday taking the court against the Spurs at the AT&T Center in San Antonio. The Grizzlies will be looking to end a two-game skid following a 138-122 loss at home to the Dallas Mavericks. The Spurs will be looking for their second win in three games following a 135-115 loss at home to the Boston Celtics their last time on the court.

The Memphis Grizzlies are now 2-7 on the year following a 138-122 loss to the Dallas Mavericks. Jaren Jackson Jr. was able to hit 10 of 17 from the field to lead Memphis with 23 points.Tyus Jones passed the ball around for a team-high eight assists while Dillon Brooks, Kyle Anderson, and Solomon Hill each grabbed five rebounds. The Grizzlies had seven different players with at least 11 points in the game.

The Grizzlies have been good for an average of 108.7 points per game on the offensive end of the court while hitting 44.8 percent from the field. They have been able to pass the ball for an average of 25.8 assists per night while grabbing 45.8 rebounds. Defensively, they allow an average of 120.1 points per game to their opponents. Memphis has been taking the ball away for 8.3 steals every time they are on the court to go along with 6.1 blocks. They will be looking for to avoid a third consecutive loss.

The San Antonio Spurs are now 5-4 on the season following a 135-115 loss at home to the Boston Celtics.Demar Derozan was able to connect on 6 of 15 from the field to lead San Antonio with 22 points. Both DeRozan and Dejounte Murray were able to pass the ball for four assists while both Trey Lyles and Chimezie Metu grabbed eight rebounds. San Antonio had four different players with a double-digit night scoring.

The Spurs have been able to put the ball in the net for an average of 112.6 points per game this season while shooting 45.8 from the field. San Antonio has passed the ball for an average of 23.4 assists per night with 49.7 rebounds. On the defensive end of the floor, San Antonio gives up 112.7 points per night. The Spurs average 5.9 steals per game to go along with 5.7 blocks. They will be looking for to avoid back-to-back losses.

The Spurs will take the floor as 11 point favorites in this one with the total sitting at 226.5. I’m liking them to cover this spread for two reasons. For starters, the Grizzlies have been horrible on the defensive side of the court this season. They are allowing opponents to put the ball in the basket for an average of 120.1 points per game. Secondly, the Spurs have been in a funk only a big win at home will fix. Memphis is currently dealing with a couple of significant injuries and Popovich has always been about taking advantage of the situation. I’m putting a couple of dollars on the Spurs to cover the spread, here.

NBA Stats and Trends:

  • The Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in their previous six games.
Memphis Grizzlies 11   ( 534 ) Vs. San Antonio Spurs San Antonio Spurs -11  ( -750 ) Vs. Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis Grizzlies (225.5) vs. San Antonio Spurs (11) Preview & Prediction (11/11/2019)

Memphis Grizzlies
O/U :225.5

Vs.
Date: 2019-11-11
Time: 19:35:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Memphis Grizzlies (225.5) vs. San Antonio Spurs (11) Preview & Prediction (11/11/2019)

San Antonio Spurs
SIDE :11

106.81 Forecast
(O/U 226.59 )
119.78
72% C.O.C 72%
40% C.O.G.O 40%
15.25 MSV -0.16
(C) BEARISH MVI (B) NEUTRAL
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL, CFB and NFL)
C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.
C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.
MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-3) in their last 3 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
Memphis Grizzlies San Antonio Spurs
Season Record : 2-7 Season Record : 5-4
Away Record : 0-3 Away Record : 1-2
Home Record : 2-4 Home Record : 4-2
Line : 11 Line : -11
O/U : 225.5 O/U : 225.5
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Lost 138 – 122 vs Dallas Mavericks Last game: Lost 135 – 115 vs Boston Celtics
SU: 8-22 ATS: 14-16-0 O/U: 15-14-1
SU: 7-4 ATS: 6-4-1 O/U: 4-7-0
Current game: vs. San Antonio Spurs Current game: vs. Memphis Grizzlies
SU: 7-42 ATS: 22-23-4 O/U: 23-26-0
SU: 42-7 ATS: 23-22-4 O/U: 23-26-0
Next Game: At CHARLOTTE Next Game: At MINNESOTA
SU: 2-3 ATS: 5-0-0 O/U: 1-4-0
SU: 25-9 ATS: 20-14-0 O/U: 11-17-6
Days Rest : 1 (+9.5/+12.0 RD) Days Rest : 1 (-9.5/-12.0 HF)
(L) SU:  (28.6 %) ATS:  (57.1%) O/U: (57.1%)
(L) SU: (70%) ATS: (30%) O/U: (60%)
(T) SU: (0-1) ATS: (0-1-0) O/U: (0-1-0)
(T) SU: (0-0) ATS: (0-0-0) O/U: (0-0-0)
Streaks : 2 SU Lost – 2 ATS Lost – 1 Over Streaks : 1 SU Lost – 1 ATS Lost – 2 Over
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 57.14% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 48.98%
Home Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Home Favorite: 4 Win -1 Lost   (PF)118.6 – (PA)118
Home Underdog: 2 Win -4 Lost   (PF)116.67 – (PA)120.5 Home Underdog: 0 Win -1 Lost   (PF)96 – (PA)103
Road Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Road Favorite: 1 Win -1 Lost   (PF)113.5 – (PA)109
Road Underdog: 0 Win -3 Lost   (PF)92.67 – (PA)119.33 Road Underdog: 0 Win -1 Lost   (PF)97 – (PA)103
Last 3 game: 1 Win 2 Lost    (PF)115 – (PA)125.67 Last 3 game: 1 Win 2 Lost    (PF)112 – (PA)118.33
Last 5 game: 1 Win 4 Lost    (PF)110 – (PA)119.6 Last 5 game: 2 Win 3 Lost    (PF)111.8 – (PA)113.6
Last 7 game: 2 Win 5 Lost   (PF)110.71 – (PA)121.57 Last 7 game: 3 Win 4 Lost   (PF)109.86 – (PA)111.57
Last 10 game: 2 Win 7 Lost   (PF)108.67 – (PA)120.11 Last 10 game: 5 Win 4 Lost   (PF)112.56 – (PA)112.67
Last 15 game: 2 Win 7 Lost   (PF)108.67 – (PA)120.11 Last 15 game: 5 Win 4 Lost   (PF)112.56 – (PA)112.67
Situations (Memphis Grizzlies) Situations (San Antonio Spurs)
Coming off a vs. Southwest Opponent. (DAL) Coming off a vs. Atlantic Opponent. (BOS)
Coming off a home underdog lost Coming off a home fav lost
Coming off a 2 game losing streak Coming off a 1 game losing streak
Coming off 1 over Coming off 2 overs
Allowed 120 or more points AGAINST in their last game Scored 115 or less points FOR in their last game
Coming off a 1 game Home Stand Allowed 120 or more points AGAINST in their last game
Coming off 2 ATS lost Coming off 2 game home stand
3 game in 4 nights Coming off 1 ATS lost
After 1 day off After 1 day off
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
Query ATS SU O/U
When SAN ANTONIO team played as a Home team – Before a conference game – After a non conference game – Scored 115 or less points FOR in their last game – Coming off a 1 game loss 29-8-2 34-5 17-20-2
When SAN ANTONIO team played as a -9.5 to -12.0 Home Favorite – After a non division game – Coming off a 1 game loss – Coming off 1 ATS lost 19-15-1 31-4 20-15-0
When SAN ANTONIO team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Last 5 years – During the month of November – Coming off vs Eastern conference opponent 5-5-0 8-2 7-3-0
When SAN ANTONIO team played as a -9.5 to -12.0 Home Favorite – with 1 day off – Coming off 2 game home stand 8-11-0 16-3 8-11-0
When SAN ANTONIO team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Vs Conference Opponent – Coming off 1 ATS lost – Coming off a 1 game loss 47-31-3 66-15 39-40-2
When ANY NBA Team played as a -9.5 to -12.0 Home Favorite – Before a non division game – with 1 day off – Coming off 2 overs – Coming off a 1 game loss 18-11-1 28-2 18-12-0
When ANY NBA Team played as a -9.5 to -12.0 Home Favorite – Vs Conference Opponent – After a non division game – Total is 220 or more – Coming off vs Eastern conference opponent – Coming off a Home loss as a Favorite – Coming off a 1 game loss 22-15-2 34-5 18-21-0

 

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