Miami Heat (213) vs. Boston Celtics (5.5) Preview & Prediction (12/04/2019)

The Miami Heat  will be on the road Wednesday taking the court against the Celtics at TD Garden in Boston. The Heat will be looking for a fourth consecutive win after beating the Raptors 121-110 in Toronto on Tuesday. The Celtics will be looking for back-to-back wins after beating the Knicks 113-104 in New York their last time on the court.

The Miami Heat are now 15-5 following a 121-110 win against the Raptors in Toronto. Both Jimmy Butler and Duncan Robinson were able to score 22 points. Butler was able to pass the ball for a team-high 12 assists while leading the Heat with 13 rebounds. Miami had five different players finish the game with a double-digit night scoring.

The Heat have been good for an average of 111.4 points per game on the offensive end of the court while hitting 47.7 percent from the field. They have been able to pass the ball for an average of 25.0 assists per night while grabbing 44.6 rebounds. Defensively, they allow an average of 105.1 points per game to their opponents. Miami has been taking the ball away for 8.9 steals every time they are on the court to go along with 4.6 blocks. They will be looking for a fourth consecutive win

The Boston Celtics are now 14-5 following a 113-104 win against the Knicks in New York. Jayson Tatum was able to knock down 10 of 23 from the field to lead the Celtics with 30 points. Kemba Walker passed the ball for a team-high 10 assists while Enes Kanter pulled down 11 rebounds. Boston had five different players finish the game with at least 11 points.

The Celtics have been able to put the ball in the net for an average of 110.7 points per game this season while shooting 44.1 from the field. Boston has passed the ball for an average of 23.7 assists per night with 46.6 rebounds. On the defensive end of the floor, Boston gives up 104.5 points per night. The Celtics average 8.8 steals per game to go along with 5.7 blocks. They will be looking for back-to-back wins.

Boston will take the court as five and a half point favorites with the total sitting at 213 on the game. These teams have very close numbers up and down the stat sheet. I like the Celtics covering this spread simply because it will be Miami’s second tough opponent on the road in as many nights. I think the Heat keep things close for about three and a half quarters but I like Boston pulling away late. My money’s on the Celtics minus five and a half.

The trends don’t support this pick.

Miami Heat 5.5   ( 192 ) Vs. Boston Celtics Boston Celtics -5.5  ( -230 ) Vs. Miami Heat
Miami Heat (213) vs. Boston Celtics (5.5) Preview & Prediction (12/04/2019)

Miami Heat
O/U :213

Vs.
Date: 2019-12-04
Time: 19:35:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Miami Heat (213) vs. Boston Celtics (5.5) Preview & Prediction (12/04/2019)

Boston Celtics
SIDE :5.5

103.3 Forecast
(O/U 211.29 )
107.99
31% C.O.C 36%
27% C.O.G.O 27%
-7.88 MSV -6.39
(A) BULLISH MVI (A) NEUTRAL
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL, CFB and NFL)
C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.
C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.
MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-3) in their last 3 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
Miami Heat Boston Celtics
Season Record : 14-5 Season Record : 14-5
Away Record : 6-5 Away Record : 7-5
Home Record : 8-0 Home Record : 7-0
Line : 5.5 Line : -5.5
O/U : 213 O/U : 213
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Last game:
SU: 17-19 ATS: 20-15-1 O/U: 19-17-0
SU: 26-24 ATS: 21-29-0 O/U: 28-22-0
Current game: vs. Current game: vs.
SU: 18-32 ATS: 23-27-0 O/U: 19-30-1
SU: 32-18 ATS: 27-23-0 O/U: 19-30-1
Next Game: Next Game:
SU: 13-13 ATS: 11-15-0 O/U: 16-10-0
SU: 5-6 ATS: 2-8-1 O/U: 7-4-0
Days Rest : 0 (+3.5/+6.0 RD) Days Rest : 2 (-3.5/-6.0 HF)
(L) SU:  (33.3 %) ATS:  (50%) O/U: (66.7%)
(L) SU: (71.4%) ATS: (42.9%) O/U: (85.7%)
(T) SU: (0-1) ATS: (0-1-0) O/U: (0-1-0)
(T) SU: (1-0) ATS: (0-1-0) O/U: (0-1-0)
Streaks : Streaks :
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: % Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: %
Home Favorite: 7 Win -0 Lost   (PF)117.29 – (PA)100.71 Home Favorite: 6 Win -0 Lost   (PF)116 – (PA)109.83
Home Underdog: 1 Win -0 Lost   (PF)129 – (PA)100 Home Underdog: 1 Win -0 Lost   (PF)116 – (PA)105
Road Favorite: 4 Win -0 Lost   (PF)109.75 – (PA)102 Road Favorite: 5 Win -2 Lost   (PF)109.86 – (PA)101.57
Road Underdog: 2 Win -5 Lost   (PF)103.86 – (PA)112 Road Underdog: 2 Win -3 Lost   (PF)104.6 – (PA)102
Last 3 game:  Last 3 game: 
Last 5 game: Last 5 game:
Last 7 game:  Last 7 game:
Last 10 game: Last 10 game:
Last 15 game:  Last 15 game:
Situations (Miami Heat) Situations (Boston Celtics)
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
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