Miami Heat (4.5) vs. Cleveland Cavaliers (216) Preview & Prediction (11/14/2019)

The Miami Heat will be on the road Thursday taking the court against the Cavaliers at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland. The Heat will be looking for back-to-back wins following a 117-108 win at home against the Detroit Pistons on Tuesday. The Cavaliers will be looking for their second win in three games following a 98-97 loss in Philadelphia against the 76ers their last time on the court.

The Miami Heat are now 7-3 on the season following a 117-108 win at home against the Detroit Pistons. Both Jimmy Butler and Kendrick Nunn were able to put the ball in the basket for 20 points. Butler was able to pass the ball for a team-high 13 assists while Bam Adebayo was able to bring down 14 rebounds. The Heat had six players with at least 11 points in the game.

The Heat have been good for an average of 111.7 points per game on the offensive end of the court while hitting 46.7 percent from the field. They have been able to pass the ball for an average of 25.9 assists per night while grabbing 44.6 rebounds. Defensively, they allow an average of 105.7 points per game to their opponents. Miami has been taking the ball away for 9.6 steals every time they are on the court to go along with 5.5 blocks. They will be looking for back-to-back losses.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are now 4-6 following a 97-98 loss in Philadelphia to the 76ers. Both Jordan Clarkson and Kevin Love were able to score 20 points. Collin Sexton led the Cavaliers with four assists while Tristan Thompson pulled in 12 rebounds. Cleveland had four different players with double-digit scoring nights.

The Cavaliers have been able to put the ball in the net for an average of 106.1 points per game this season while shooting 43.7 from the field. Cleveland has passed the ball for an average of 20.4 assists per night with 46.0 rebounds. On the defensive end of the floor, Cleveland gives up 107.0 points per night. The Cavs average 7.4 steals per game to go along with 3.7 blocks. They will be looking to avoid back-to-back losses.

Miami will take the floor as four and a half point favorites in the game with the total sitting at 216. I’m liking Miami to cover the spread in this one. The Heat are doing all of the little things this season. They make the extra pass, dive after the loose ball and fight for the last rebounds. I think they will go far in the Eastern Conference this year if they continue playing as hard as they currently are. Nonetheless, I like Miami covering the spread on Thursday night.

NBA Stats and Trends:

  • Miami is 5-1 ATS in their previous six games vs. Cleveland.
  • Miami is 7-0-1 ATS in their previous eight games played on a Thursday night.
  • Cleveland is 6-12 ATS in their last 18 Thursday games.
Miami Heat -4.5   (  ) Vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Cleveland Cavaliers 4.5  (  ) Vs. Miami Heat
Miami Heat (4.5) vs. Cleveland Cavaliers (216) Preview & Prediction (11/14/2019)

Miami Heat
SIDE :4.5

Vs.
Date: 2019-11-14
Time: 18:05:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Miami Heat (4.5) vs. Cleveland Cavaliers (216) Preview & Prediction (11/14/2019)

Cleveland Cavaliers
O/U :216

107.99 Forecast
(O/U 212.88 )
104.89
38% C.O.C 13%
61% C.O.G.O 61%
-8 MSV 1.13
(A) BULLISH MVI (C) NEUTRAL
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL, CFB and NFL)
C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.
C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.
MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-3) in their last 3 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
Miami Heat Cleveland Cavaliers
Season Record : 7-3 Season Record : 4-6
Away Record : 3-3 Away Record : 2-4
Home Record : 4-0 Home Record : 2-2
Line : -4.5 Line : 4.5
O/U : 216 O/U : 216
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Won 108 – 117 vs Detroit Pistons Last game: Lost 97 – 98 vs Philadelphia 76ers
SU: 19-30 ATS: 21-27-1 O/U: 17-29-3
SU: 34-13 ATS: 21-25-1 O/U: 23-23-1
Current game: vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Current game: vs. Miami Heat
SU: 21-20 ATS: 21-20-0 O/U: 13-28-0
SU: 20-21 ATS: 20-21-0 O/U: 13-28-0
Next Game: Vs. NEW ORLEANS Next Game: Vs. PHILADELPHIA
SU: 5-9 ATS: 6-8-0 O/U: 8-6-0
SU: 19-12 ATS: 18-12-1 O/U: 15-16-0
Days Rest : 1 (-3.5/-6.0 RF) Days Rest : 1 (3.5/6.0 HD)
(L) SU:  (61.5 %) ATS:  (30.8%) O/U: (53.8%)
(L) SU: (23.1%) ATS: (38.5%) O/U: (53.8%)
(T) SU: (0-0) ATS: (0-0-0) O/U: (0-0-0)
(T) SU: (0-2) ATS: (0-1-1) O/U: (2-0-0)
Streaks : 1 SU Win – 1 ATS Lost – 1 Over Streaks : 1 SU Lost – 3 ATS Win – 3 Under
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 51.02% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 55.1%
Home Favorite: 3 Win -0 Lost   (PF)116.33 – (PA)102 Home Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Home Underdog: 1 Win -0 Lost   (PF)129 – (PA)100 Home Underdog: 2 Win -2 Lost   (PF)112.75 – (PA)115
Road Favorite: 1 Win -0 Lost   (PF)106 – (PA)97 Road Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Road Underdog: 2 Win -3 Lost   (PF)106.6 – (PA)110.8 Road Underdog: 2 Win -4 Lost   (PF)101.67 – (PA)101.67
Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (PF)107 – (PA)103.67 Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (PF)106 – (PA)95
Last 5 game: 3 Win 2 Lost    (PF)107.8 – (PA)104 Last 5 game: 2 Win 3 Lost    (PF)108.4 – (PA)107
Last 7 game: 5 Win 2 Lost   (PF)108.14 – (PA)102 Last 7 game: 3 Win 4 Lost   (PF)107.71 – (PA)106.86
Last 10 game: 7 Win 3 Lost   (PF)111.7 – (PA)105.7 Last 10 game: 4 Win 6 Lost   (PF)106.1 – (PA)107
Last 15 game: 7 Win 3 Lost   (PF)111.7 – (PA)105.7 Last 15 game: 4 Win 6 Lost   (PF)106.1 – (PA)107
Situations (Miami Heat) Situations (Cleveland Cavaliers)
Coming off a vs. Central Opponent. (DET) Coming off a vs. Atlantic Opponent. (PHI)
Coming off a home fav win Coming off a road favorite lost
Coming off a 1 game winning streak Coming off a 1 game losing streak
Coming off 1 over Coming off 3 unders
Scored 115 or more points FOR in their last game Scored 100 or less points FOR in their last game
Allowed 110 or less points AGAINST in their last game Allowed 95 or more points AGAINST in their last game
Coming off a 1 game Home Stand Coming off 3 game road stand
After 1 day off Coming off 3 ATS win
After 1 day off
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
Query ATS SU O/U

 

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